I know I'm going to try to be first in line, but what about the rest of you? I'm not sure if the death count is where the science community wants it to be, plus Birdbrain hasn't been sworn in, so I expect there will be delays, but that's beside the point.
Originally Posted by AdolfOliverBush:
The virus surged in the south last summer, so the "Covid will go away in warm weather" theory has already been proven false.
Originally Posted by MahomesMagic:
Would you kindly share your theory on the above graphs that would be a better explanation than Hope-Simpson seasonality?
Sure. A seasonal graph has a distinguished peak and is generally flat on both side like so:
Now here is Covid:
That's not to say COVID won't eventually become seasonal, but here we are sliding into warmer months and cases are increasing again. Saying it isn't behavior related is asinine. Did you know flu cases in Dallas County during 2019 Flu season was around 18,000? Did you know Flu cases in Dallas County in 2020 were 2? Did the Flu go "out of season" or did we modify our behaviors (albeit for COVID)? [Reply]
Originally Posted by BigBeauford:
Sure. A seasonal graph has a distinguished peak and is generally flat on both side like so:
Now here is Covid:
That's not to say COVID won't eventually become seasonal, but here we are sliding into warmer months and cases are increasing again. Saying it isn't behavior related is asinine. Did you know flu cases in Dallas County during 2019 Flu season was around 18,000? Did you know Flu cases in Dallas County in 2020 were 2? Did the Flu go "out of season" or did we modify our behaviors (albeit for COVID)?
Hope-Simpson applies to different climates. The issue is that the United States is so large it encompasses different climate zones. So it does go away in the summer..for New York, Massachusetts, etc.
But then it goes up in a different zone.
Hope-Simpson still applies.
Here is the combined graph using the total United States.
Originally Posted by BleedingRed:
They are useless....... Clearly.
Let's assume masks are useless, and Texans don't follow simple instructions where Covid is involved. Why is Covid surging in Michigan, but not in Texas? [Reply]
Originally Posted by AdolfOliverBush:
Let's assume masks are useless, and Texans don't follow simple instructions where Covid is involved. Why is Covid surging in Michigan, but not in Texas?
According to your High Chief Priest Fauci it is because Texans are still behaving better than people in Michigan.
Originally Posted by AdolfOliverBush:
The virus surged in the south last summer, so the "Covid will go away in warm weather" theory has already been proven false.
Originally Posted by AdolfOliverBush:
So how do you explain the surge in the south last summer?
If people are isolating, a change in weather means nothing more than sitting around the house with the heater running and sitting around the house with the air conditioner running. [Reply]
Originally Posted by Baby Lee:
If people are isolating, a change in weather means nothing more than sitting around the house with the heater running and sitting around the house with the air conditioner running.
True, but isolating would be following CDC recommendations, which I've been told Texans aren't doing. [Reply]
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