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Saccopoo Memorial Draft Forum>*** 2022 Mock Draft Megathread ***
duncan_idaho 12:45 PM 11-23-2021
Got a mock? Pop it in this thread. Include a picture if you want. Explain your reasoning if you want. Talk about your crushes... if you want.

See a good "pro" mock? Link it up in here and I'll add it to the OP.

Duncan's latest mock

Site
The Draft Network This mock seems to be the most accurate site right now, so I go with this one. I don't pay for it, so no trades here. The plan is for this to be my last mock. I'm going to do it differently, though. I'm running 3 scenarios, and eschewing the 7th round picks, which I would use on a big swings on athleticism and potential. Lotto tickets. James Houston IV is one of them. Note: I used PFF to simulate the trade action, then manually backed up in the 2 "trade" drafts to make selections. Laborious, but gives you best of both worlds, IMO. I think PFF's trade tool is the best, but its board is whack.

Draft slot: 29

Scenario 1: The Chiefs sit pat with their picks and don't make any moves at all. Seems the least likely, but hey...
1.29 | George Karlaftis, DE, Purdue.
1.30 | Boye Mafe, DE, Minnesota.
2.50 | George Pickens, WR, Georgia.
2.62 | Travis Jones, DT, UConn.
3.94 | Zyon McCollum, CB, Sam Houston State.
3.103(Comp for Poles) | Troy Andersen, LB, Montana State.
4.121 | Coby Bryant, CB, Cincinnati.
4.135 | Velus Jones, Jr., Tennessee

Scenario 1 Debrief:
So, sitting and waiting to see what comes to me was pretty successful here. The Chiefs FLOOD the defensive line with reinforcements, including at least 1 ready-made starter and two guys who should - at minimum - be in 50/50 rotations at their spots by year end. The Chiefs still get a big outside WR with tantalizing potential. They add some crazy athletic small-school guys, and a mid-round corner who just fits in the system, and a dynamo return man who might be more at WR.

This looks pretty good. Though I have a hard time believing Karlaftis just falls to 29...

Scenario 2: The Chiefs get aggressive and trade up. But for what? In this case, let's go wide receiver. In this run, Kansas City trades picks 29, 62, and a 2023 3rd to Houston for pick 13 and a 2023 4th, because they ARE as obsessed with a WR as people expect and are aggressive to go get him when the board falls right. They then trade BACK from 30 to 35 with the Jets, also including pick 94 in order to get 69 back. Then, last but not least, KC gets aggressive one more time and moves 103 and 121 for 85 from New England, leaving the Chiefs with 6 picks in the first four rounds.
1.13 | Jameson Williams, WR, Alabama.
2.35 | Cam Thomas, DE, San Diego State.
2.50 | Jalen Pitre, S, Baylor.
3.69 | Zachary Carter, DT, Florida.
3.85 | Sam Williams, DE, Ole Miss.
4.135 | Jaylen Watson, CB, Washington State

Scenario 2 Debrief:
I'm not saying KC should do this or even that I think they will (more on that in a few minutes). I'm just saying, man, what will it look like if the Chiefs get aggressive a few times AND are doing the big move for a WR? In this scenario, KC obviously believes Williams is a game-changer at the NFL level and is taking a small 2022 hit to make 2023+ better. The defensive line still gets reinforced, but the reinforcements are all a shade worse than the sit-pat draft option. If you like Kingsley Enagbare or Josh PAscal more than Thomas, I get it and wouldn't quibble at one of those guys instead. Logan Hall, too. Pitre is such a screaming perfect fit for KC's D. Carter is a great physical talent you can dream about coaching up. Williams' utility is known and gives them a true RE option to pair against their higher-drafted bigger guy. Watson is a developmental corner.

I don't love it. I think Pitre makes the secondary a lot better and makes it easier to move on from Thornhill after 22. They have improved the defensive rotation, though one of the DEs would need to outperform expectations in Year 1 to get it to the same level as Scenario 1. In all, giving up the 2 extra selections in the top 4 rounds hurts the depth you can build, but I think it's more like what KC will do.

Scenario 3: Same movements as #2
1.13 | Jermaine Johnson II, DE, Florida State.
2.35 | Christian Watson, WR, North Dakota State.
2.50 | Sam Williams, DE, Ole Miss.
3.69 | Bryan Cook, S, Cincinnati.
3.85 | Martin Emerson, CB, Miss. State.
4.135 | Braxton Jones, T, Southern Utah

Scenario 3 Debrief:
This is the type of situation where I see KC paying the price to move up... if Johnson falls this far, I'd be shocked if KC isn't aggressively moving up. With this run, I take a risky but high upside WR in Watson (but you could sub in Pickens or Jahan Dotson or Tolbert or Metchie or Skyy Moore or really any of those tier 2 guys here if you prefer). The secondary reinforcements aren't flashy but are good fits.

In this one, I think the plan has to become adding either another safety or corner in free agency before the season. Ideally, it's someone who can handle the slot and let Sneed thriver on the outside. The DL gets a major boost and some potential star power in Johnson and Williams, and the OL gets another T option and potential long-term starter to develop.

Having completed the exercise and looking at the scenariors, I like the first one the most. But it really does come down to how the board breaks.

Older mocks
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[Reply]
duncan_idaho 06:10 PM 01-24-2022
Updated OP with a pick from #32 on PFF's simulator.

Treylon Burks fell. I didn't pass him up.

Left me short on DE options when I got around to the second round, but I think it fills a lot of other needs well enough that DE can be the free agency focus.

I really like the Burks and James Cook combo. Adds some nice versatility and speed to the offense. I add a lot of versatility and athletic ability to the back 7 on D and get a good swing tackle.

Thoughts on this one?
[Reply]
Buehler445 06:52 PM 01-24-2022
Originally Posted by duncan_idaho:
Updated OP with a pick from #32 on PFF's simulator.

Treylon Burks fell. I didn't pass him up.

Left me short on DE options when I got around to the second round, but I think it fills a lot of other needs well enough that DE can be the free agency focus.

I really like the Burks and James Cook combo. Adds some nice versatility and speed to the offense. I add a lot of versatility and athletic ability to the back 7 on D and get a good swing tackle.

Thoughts on this one?
Certainly donít hate it.

It would be nice to get some inside info on Powell. Heís old enough he canít sit on PS forever like Pringle did. If heís moving the right direction, maybe WR isnít the answer there. I like where your head is at with freaks that are versatile. On the broadcast they couldnít shut the fuck up about How awesome Samuel is and shit. And all I could think of is he is a bigger slower Hill most of th shit theyíre trying to do we do with Hill. A pick like that, if they can work would be nasty paired with Hill and Hardman. Hill on a jet sweep, a guy like Burkes with the ability to cut back inside or stretch it, Hardman on a Go route and Kelce in the middle and alert Pat do what he wants. Woof.

Youíd like more DE, but the guy from OU looks like good value there. If Kaindo could end up being competent and have a splash play a game that would be huge. But much like Powell who knows where heís at.
[Reply]
Chris Meck 08:26 AM 01-27-2022
took a trade down from #32 as I didn't feel like I was missing any elite talent.

43.
Myjai Sanders
EDGE Cincinnati-high upside edge rusher
trade icon

KC
64.
Romeo Doubs
WR Nevada-explosive WR
KC

74.
Nik Bonitto
EDGE Oklahoma-we know that Spags values versatility; this could be a Micah Parsons type player for us. Plus pass rusher and still has some coverage skills too.

trade icon
KC
96.
Coby Bryant-solid, smart, fairly polished corner. I would compare him to Ward.
CB Cincinnati
KC

134.
James Cook
RB Georgia-speed kills. He and Mckinnon would be nasty.
KC

232.
Tycen Anderson
S Toledo-big, aggressive, versatile safety. Say no to Dirty Dan in '22.
KC

252.
Chris Steele
CB USC-top flight talent, but didn't develop at USC. Worth a shot in the 7th.
[Reply]
Chris Meck 08:28 AM 01-27-2022
Originally Posted by Buehler445:
Certainly donít hate it.

It would be nice to get some inside info on Powell. Heís old enough he canít sit on PS forever like Pringle did. If heís moving the right direction, maybe WR isnít the answer there. I like where your head is at with freaks that are versatile. On the broadcast they couldnít shut the **** up about How awesome Samuel is and shit. And all I could think of is he is a bigger slower Hill most of th shit theyíre trying to do we do with Hill. A pick like that, if they can work would be nasty paired with Hill and Hardman. Hill on a jet sweep, a guy like Burkes with the ability to cut back inside or stretch it, Hardman on a Go route and Kelce in the middle and alert Pat do what he wants. Woof.

Youíd like more DE, but the guy from OU looks like good value there. If Kaindo could end up being competent and have a splash play a game that would be huge. But much like Powell who knows where heís at.
I don't think you pass on a WR because of a 5th round pick regardless.
[Reply]
htismaqe 08:30 AM 01-27-2022
I've run several mocks now and I think I've settled on taking Brisker in the first. He'd be such a valuable chess piece and he's most likely to be there at 32.
[Reply]
duncan_idaho 12:05 PM 01-27-2022
Re-ran PFF:

Trade down with Giants.

37. Enagbare (DE - versatile DE with pass rush upside)
64. Metchie III (WR - got crazy and took a shot on his return and upside)
69. Jalen Pitre (S/CB - versatile chess piece/Mathieu replacement)
3.96 Sam Williams (DE - high-upside athletic nut)
3.103 James Cook (RB - speedy pass-catching backfield option)
4.134 Bryan Cook (S - 3rd safety candidate... could slide Pitre down to the slot)
6.192 (Isaiah Thomas (DE - developmental DE, though KC doesn't actually have this pick)
7.229 Jarrett Patterson (C, Notre Dame - developmental IOL)
7.239 Velus Jones, Jr. (WR-KR - make Crow happy)
7.249 Merlin Robertson (LB - SAM option)
7.254 Tariq Woolen (CB - developmental)

Pair this with signing a Mathieu replacement in FA and a vet WR, and keeping Brown, and I like where KC is at.
[Reply]
staylor26 12:19 PM 01-27-2022
Love the idea of trading down and stacking picks.
[Reply]
kccrow 05:30 PM 01-27-2022
Originally Posted by duncan_idaho:
Re-ran PFF:

Trade down with Giants.

37. Enagbare (DE - versatile DE with pass rush upside)
64. Metchie III (WR - got crazy and took a shot on his return and upside)
69. Jalen Pitre (S/CB - versatile chess piece/Mathieu replacement)
3.96 Sam Williams (DE - high-upside athletic nut)
3.103 James Cook (RB - speedy pass-catching backfield option)
4.134 Bryan Cook (S - 3rd safety candidate... could slide Pitre down to the slot)
6.192 (Isaiah Thomas (DE - developmental DE, though KC doesn't actually have this pick)
7.229 Jarrett Patterson (C, Notre Dame - developmental IOL)
7.239 Velus Jones, Jr. (WR-KR - make Crow happy)
7.249 Merlin Robertson (LB - SAM option)
7.254 Tariq Woolen (CB - developmental)

Pair this with signing a Mathieu replacement in FA and a vet WR, and keeping Brown, and I like where KC is at.
Is there a place to toggle the board on for them as picks are going? I hate not seeing who is left available.
[Reply]
duncan_idaho 07:12 PM 01-27-2022
Originally Posted by kccrow:
Is there a place to toggle the board on for them as picks are going? I hate not seeing who is left available.

Are you on mobile? I think you have to kind of scroll around to flip back and force from available to results.
[Reply]
kccrow 07:25 PM 01-27-2022
Originally Posted by duncan_idaho:
Are you on mobile? I think you have to kind of scroll around to flip back and force from available to results.
Nope. Wonder if it's a subscription feature?
[Reply]
Buehler445 07:47 PM 01-27-2022
Originally Posted by Chris Meck:
I don't think you pass on a WR because of a 5th round pick regardless.
You donít pass on a WR because of Powell. You pass on a WR because itís not a giant gaping need if Powell is serviceable.
[Reply]
duncan_idaho 11:44 PM 01-27-2022
Originally Posted by kccrow:
Nope. Wonder if it's a subscription feature?

Weird. Even on mobile I can collapse the player window to see draft results.
[Reply]
kccrow 07:12 PM 01-28-2022
Originally Posted by Buehler445:
You donít pass on a WR because of Powell. You pass on a WR because itís not a giant gaping need if Powell is serviceable.
Powell hasn't been able to ascend to the active roster despite how bad Kemp and Gordon are. That's pretty telling. I wouldn't count on him to be anything much less serviceable at this point.
[Reply]
Urc Burry 09:11 AM 01-29-2022
Iím pretty surprised to see Nakobe Dean falling almost to us in most mocks now. I know heís undersized, but JOK was an absolute stud this year. And I think Dean would have a similar impact

Would he make any sense for us at all assuming Hitchens is out? I mean could he and Gay both be on the field at the same time in base?
[Reply]
duncan_idaho 09:20 AM 01-29-2022
That would be an awful lot of draft capital to invest at one position.

If they draft Dean, Iíd hope they do it with an eye on using some 3-3-5 sets where they keep Gay and Bolton on the field and pressure creatively/unexpectedly.

I tend to dislike odd fronts at the NFL level, but if you have 3 premium picks in the past 3 drafts invested at the position, you have to find a way to use them IMO.
[Reply]
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