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Nzoner's Game Room>Investing megathread extravaganza
DaFace 11:23 AM 06-27-2016
A place to talk about investing stuff.
[Reply]
lewdog 02:47 PM 01-13-2022
Originally Posted by petegz28:
Market appears to have rolled over this morning which I was afraid of. The last 3 days were too obvious. We could be in for another run to the downside.

FTR I am looking at the following levels for immediate-term support

QQQ - $379ish

SPY - $467ish

We go below those and bad things man, bad things
You’re pretty spot on. Definitely rolled over towards close. You just using support on the charts for predictions?
[Reply]
petegz28 02:56 PM 01-13-2022
Originally Posted by lewdog:
You’re pretty spot on. Definitely rolled over towards close. You just using support on the charts for predictions?
14-day Hull Moving Average
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DaFace 02:57 PM 01-13-2022
AMC's almost to the point I could justify a share for the free popcorn.
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stumppy 03:07 PM 01-13-2022
Originally Posted by petegz28:
Market appears to have rolled over this morning which I was afraid of. The last 3 days were too obvious. We could be in for another run to the downside.

FTR I am looking at the following levels for immediate-term support

QQQ - $379ish

SPY - $467ish

We go below those and bad things man, bad things
Guess what? Lotta red out there.
[Reply]
Rain Man 04:16 PM 01-13-2022
Geez, the day didn't start bad, and now blood is running in the streets again.
[Reply]
Infidel Goat 07:38 PM 01-13-2022
Originally Posted by Infidel Goat:
I beat the total market in 2021 but I'm hardly an active trader.

For the last thirty years, I've primarily held 100% of my Roth IRA and (for the last fifteen years) 403b in a total market index (FSKAX most recently). I'm the guy who ties the index most years.

I beat the market because I moved about half of my Roth IRA portfolio into FSRBX (Fidelity Select Banking Portfolio) in the middle of August 2020.

It was definitely a market timing move that I wouldn't usually engage in but the overall market had already snapped back from the pandemic and the banking sector hadn't yet. FSRBX did bounce back shortly after I bought it and so it was a little bit like getting the market bounce back X2 in 2020. Huzzah for me. FSRBX also had a better year than FSKAX in 2021, so I'm up against the total market index again this year.

I know that I'm overexposed in the banking sector right now, so I'd like to get back close to 100% FSKAX by the end of 2022. Short term, though, I'm still a little bullish on FSRBX because it's one of the industries most likely to benefit from higher interest rates.

Long term, I also have to decide when I want to move away from 100% equities in my retirement accounts. I passed 50 recently and will likely work at least another 10-15 years, so I'd have time to invest further and recover if the market tanked in the short term. I'm obviously still pretty aggressive with my retirement accounts right now, though.
I sold 1/2 of my FSRBX and put it into FSPHX (which is down 8% YTD).

FSRBX has had a nice early run in the year for me. Up 10.99% YTD.

My Roth is now essentially 1/3 FSKAX, 1/3 FSRBX, 1/3 FSPHX. I think FSPHX goes back up once the omicron wave passes.
[Reply]
lewdog 08:52 AM 01-14-2022
AMC in the 19’s!!!!

To the moon now?!?!?!?
[Reply]
petegz28 09:44 AM 01-14-2022
Something is telling me that we are in for a route to the downside. We are closer to the 200 SMA on the Qs than we are on the SPYs so perhaps we see those bottom out first.

But the distance between the SPY now and the 200 SMA is about 260 SP500 points which is about 2,600 Dow points.
[Reply]
scho63 09:56 AM 01-14-2022
Originally Posted by lewdog:
AMC in the 19’s!!!!

To the moon now?!?!?!?
More like the Mariana's Trench. :-)
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mr. tegu 10:33 AM 01-14-2022
I haven’t looked at my account for a week or so since so many tech growth stocks are getting absolutely hammered and I didn’t want to see it assuming it was still bad. Should have not looked so I could keep pretending they are doing good. Just got to hold on to them though.
[Reply]
neech 11:54 AM 01-14-2022
DIS was downgraded and taking a hit.

This market is brutal.
[Reply]
petegz28 12:47 PM 01-14-2022
Originally Posted by neech:
DIS was downgraded and taking a hit.

This market is brutal.
Oddly enough it has been a favorite of a lot of talking heads so far this year.

And just wait until the real selling hits.
[Reply]
scho63 12:49 PM 01-14-2022
Originally Posted by neech:
DIS was downgraded and taking a hit.

This market is brutal.
Yeah, I was in at $150 and change, hit $158 and cratered. Still liking it.
[Reply]
scho63 12:50 PM 01-14-2022
The market has low volume too
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scho63 12:50 PM 01-14-2022
Shorts enjoying their day in the sun.
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