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Saccopoo Memorial Draft Forum>*** 2022 Mock Draft Megathread ***
duncan_idaho 12:45 PM 11-23-2021
Got a mock? Pop it in this thread. Include a picture if you want. Explain your reasoning if you want. Talk about your crushes... if you want.

See a good "pro" mock? Link it up in here and I'll add it to the OP.

Duncan's latest mock

Site
The Draft Network This mock seems to be the most accurate site right now, so I go with this one. I don't pay for it, so no trades here. The plan is for this to be my last mock. I'm going to do it differently, though. I'm running 3 scenarios, and eschewing the 7th round picks, which I would use on a big swings on athleticism and potential. Lotto tickets. James Houston IV is one of them. Note: I used PFF to simulate the trade action, then manually backed up in the 2 "trade" drafts to make selections. Laborious, but gives you best of both worlds, IMO. I think PFF's trade tool is the best, but its board is whack.

Draft slot: 29

Scenario 1: The Chiefs sit pat with their picks and don't make any moves at all. Seems the least likely, but hey...
1.29 | George Karlaftis, DE, Purdue.
1.30 | Boye Mafe, DE, Minnesota.
2.50 | George Pickens, WR, Georgia.
2.62 | Travis Jones, DT, UConn.
3.94 | Zyon McCollum, CB, Sam Houston State.
3.103(Comp for Poles) | Troy Andersen, LB, Montana State.
4.121 | Coby Bryant, CB, Cincinnati.
4.135 | Velus Jones, Jr., Tennessee

Scenario 1 Debrief:
So, sitting and waiting to see what comes to me was pretty successful here. The Chiefs FLOOD the defensive line with reinforcements, including at least 1 ready-made starter and two guys who should - at minimum - be in 50/50 rotations at their spots by year end. The Chiefs still get a big outside WR with tantalizing potential. They add some crazy athletic small-school guys, and a mid-round corner who just fits in the system, and a dynamo return man who might be more at WR.

This looks pretty good. Though I have a hard time believing Karlaftis just falls to 29...

Scenario 2: The Chiefs get aggressive and trade up. But for what? In this case, let's go wide receiver. In this run, Kansas City trades picks 29, 62, and a 2023 3rd to Houston for pick 13 and a 2023 4th, because they ARE as obsessed with a WR as people expect and are aggressive to go get him when the board falls right. They then trade BACK from 30 to 35 with the Jets, also including pick 94 in order to get 69 back. Then, last but not least, KC gets aggressive one more time and moves 103 and 121 for 85 from New England, leaving the Chiefs with 6 picks in the first four rounds.
1.13 | Jameson Williams, WR, Alabama.
2.35 | Cam Thomas, DE, San Diego State.
2.50 | Jalen Pitre, S, Baylor.
3.69 | Zachary Carter, DT, Florida.
3.85 | Sam Williams, DE, Ole Miss.
4.135 | Jaylen Watson, CB, Washington State

Scenario 2 Debrief:
I'm not saying KC should do this or even that I think they will (more on that in a few minutes). I'm just saying, man, what will it look like if the Chiefs get aggressive a few times AND are doing the big move for a WR? In this scenario, KC obviously believes Williams is a game-changer at the NFL level and is taking a small 2022 hit to make 2023+ better. The defensive line still gets reinforced, but the reinforcements are all a shade worse than the sit-pat draft option. If you like Kingsley Enagbare or Josh PAscal more than Thomas, I get it and wouldn't quibble at one of those guys instead. Logan Hall, too. Pitre is such a screaming perfect fit for KC's D. Carter is a great physical talent you can dream about coaching up. Williams' utility is known and gives them a true RE option to pair against their higher-drafted bigger guy. Watson is a developmental corner.

I don't love it. I think Pitre makes the secondary a lot better and makes it easier to move on from Thornhill after 22. They have improved the defensive rotation, though one of the DEs would need to outperform expectations in Year 1 to get it to the same level as Scenario 1. In all, giving up the 2 extra selections in the top 4 rounds hurts the depth you can build, but I think it's more like what KC will do.

Scenario 3: Same movements as #2
1.13 | Jermaine Johnson II, DE, Florida State.
2.35 | Christian Watson, WR, North Dakota State.
2.50 | Sam Williams, DE, Ole Miss.
3.69 | Bryan Cook, S, Cincinnati.
3.85 | Martin Emerson, CB, Miss. State.
4.135 | Braxton Jones, T, Southern Utah

Scenario 3 Debrief:
This is the type of situation where I see KC paying the price to move up... if Johnson falls this far, I'd be shocked if KC isn't aggressively moving up. With this run, I take a risky but high upside WR in Watson (but you could sub in Pickens or Jahan Dotson or Tolbert or Metchie or Skyy Moore or really any of those tier 2 guys here if you prefer). The secondary reinforcements aren't flashy but are good fits.

In this one, I think the plan has to become adding either another safety or corner in free agency before the season. Ideally, it's someone who can handle the slot and let Sneed thriver on the outside. The DL gets a major boost and some potential star power in Johnson and Williams, and the OL gets another T option and potential long-term starter to develop.

Having completed the exercise and looking at the scenariors, I like the first one the most. But it really does come down to how the board breaks.

Older mocks
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[Reply]
Chris Meck 07:56 AM 03-31-2022
Originally Posted by CatfishBob2:
Prime Kelvin Benjamin was the best WR Cam Newton ever had besides Steve Smith. Speed doesn't attract me as much as strong hands do.

I'd like to see a combination of a power rusher and speed edge rusher this draft maybe like a Walker or Karlaftis/Williams or Mafe/Paschal
He went from a promising rookie straight downhill, with diminishing returns ever since.

So his prime was when he was 22.

No thanks.
[Reply]
RunKC 09:04 AM 03-31-2022
Not sure where to put this but it’s damn interesting

2021 @PFF pass-rush win rates (no screens, PA or designed rollouts):

Kingsley Enagbare: 40%

Aidan Hutchinson: 33%
Nik Bonitto: 33%
Arnold Ebiketie: 32%
Kayvon Thibodeaux: 30%
George Karlaftis: 29%

Boye Mafe: 25%
David Ojabo: 23%

Jermaine Johnson II: 17%

Travon Walker: 11%

— Ben Linsey (@PFF_Linsey) March 30, 2022

[Reply]
The Franchise 09:10 AM 03-31-2022
Enagbare would probably be talked about more if he had done better at the combine.
[Reply]
Chris Meck 09:31 AM 03-31-2022
Originally Posted by The Franchise:
Enagbare would probably be talked about more if he had done better at the combine.
that win rate is eye opening.
[Reply]
Hoover 09:36 AM 03-31-2022
Originally Posted by The Franchise:
Enagbare would probably be talked about more if he had done better at the combine.
Good maybe he makes it to us.
[Reply]
The Franchise 09:40 AM 03-31-2022
When running these things....I'm at a loss on how many shots to take at the DE and WR positions.

Moving forward...we don't have a ton at either one...but I'm not sure it's realistic to take 3 WRs or 3 DEs just because we have a need. I think the only time I could see 3 DEs is if they take Ojabo in the 1st.
[Reply]
Hoover 09:45 AM 03-31-2022
Originally Posted by The Franchise:
When running these things....I'm at a loss on how many shots to take at the DE and WR positions.

Moving forward...we don't have a ton at either one...but I'm not sure it's realistic to take 3 WRs or 3 DEs just because we have a need. I think the only time I could see 3 DEs is if they take Ojabo in the 1st.
I think you take 2 Edge guys, 2 WRs, and 1 DT because that's what the roster can handle. Taking 3WR or 3DEs is wasteful imo.
[Reply]
BossChief 09:46 AM 03-31-2022
Originally Posted by The Franchise:
It would be a nice draft but I just donít see Veach going DE, DE, WR and WR with the first four picks.
We have a much of guys at those positions on 1 year deals or the last year of their deal.

The last 2 PCs, Veach has mentioned the depth at DEÖ.heís looking to draft at least 2 that can start. With WR not having that much depth (but still good) I can see us taking 2, as well minimum.

Tbh Iíll be pretty surprised if we donít do exactly that.

Weíll see.
[Reply]
CatfishBob2 09:48 AM 03-31-2022
Originally Posted by Chris Meck:
He went from a promising rookie straight downhill, with diminishing returns ever since.

So his prime was when he was 22.

No thanks.
Nobody wants super-sized KB... DUHHHHH

A players prime is a players prime dude. He had a few solid years where he was a red zone MONSTER. I'll take that all day if there's that type receiver in this draft.
[Reply]
The Franchise 09:49 AM 03-31-2022
Originally Posted by BossChief:
We have a much of guys at those positions on 1 year deals or the last year of their deal.

The last 2 PCs, Veach has mentioned the depth at DEÖ.heís looking to draft at least 2 that can start. With WR not having that much depth (but still good) I can see us taking 2, as well minimum.

Tbh Iíll be pretty surprised if we donít do exactly that.

Weíll see.
Which is fine...but I still don't see two DEs and two WRs with our first four picks.
[Reply]
CatfishBob2 09:54 AM 03-31-2022
I can't see two WRs in the first four. But definitely later in the draft.

We have so many picks we can practically do what we want
[Reply]
htismaqe 09:59 AM 03-31-2022
Originally Posted by The Franchise:
Which is fine...but I still don't see two DEs and two WRs with our first four picks.
I see two DE's being much more probably than 2 WR's. I think at least one of those first 4 picks is going to be a DB.
[Reply]
The Franchise 10:01 AM 03-31-2022
Originally Posted by htismaqe:
I see two DE's being much more probably than 2 WR's. I think at least one of those first 4 picks is going to be a DB.
I'm still not convinced that we don't take a safety in the first two rounds. Spags loves his three safety looks and we could use a replacement next year if Thornhill doesn't come back.
[Reply]
htismaqe 10:06 AM 03-31-2022
Originally Posted by The Franchise:
I'm still not convinced that we don't take a safety in the first two rounds. Spags loves his three safety looks and we could use a replacement next year if Thornhill doesn't come back.
I think Dax Hill is absolutely on the table.
[Reply]
CatfishBob2 10:13 AM 03-31-2022
Originally Posted by htismaqe:
I think Dax Hill is absolutely on the table.
I think if you do that then you don't have any faith in Thornhill. I think a trio of Reid, Thornhill and a mid round safety is an upgrade from last year. S in the first is wasteful IMO
[Reply]
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