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Saccopoo Memorial Draft Forum>*** 2022 Mock Draft Megathread ***
duncan_idaho 12:45 PM 11-23-2021
Got a mock? Pop it in this thread. Include a picture if you want. Explain your reasoning if you want. Talk about your crushes... if you want.

See a good "pro" mock? Link it up in here and I'll add it to the OP.

Duncan's latest mock

Site
The Draft Network This mock seems to be the most accurate site right now, so I go with this one. I don't pay for it, so no trades here. The plan is for this to be my last mock. I'm going to do it differently, though. I'm running 3 scenarios, and eschewing the 7th round picks, which I would use on a big swings on athleticism and potential. Lotto tickets. James Houston IV is one of them. Note: I used PFF to simulate the trade action, then manually backed up in the 2 "trade" drafts to make selections. Laborious, but gives you best of both worlds, IMO. I think PFF's trade tool is the best, but its board is whack.

Draft slot: 29

Scenario 1: The Chiefs sit pat with their picks and don't make any moves at all. Seems the least likely, but hey...
1.29 | George Karlaftis, DE, Purdue.
1.30 | Boye Mafe, DE, Minnesota.
2.50 | George Pickens, WR, Georgia.
2.62 | Travis Jones, DT, UConn.
3.94 | Zyon McCollum, CB, Sam Houston State.
3.103(Comp for Poles) | Troy Andersen, LB, Montana State.
4.121 | Coby Bryant, CB, Cincinnati.
4.135 | Velus Jones, Jr., Tennessee

Scenario 1 Debrief:
So, sitting and waiting to see what comes to me was pretty successful here. The Chiefs FLOOD the defensive line with reinforcements, including at least 1 ready-made starter and two guys who should - at minimum - be in 50/50 rotations at their spots by year end. The Chiefs still get a big outside WR with tantalizing potential. They add some crazy athletic small-school guys, and a mid-round corner who just fits in the system, and a dynamo return man who might be more at WR.

This looks pretty good. Though I have a hard time believing Karlaftis just falls to 29...

Scenario 2: The Chiefs get aggressive and trade up. But for what? In this case, let's go wide receiver. In this run, Kansas City trades picks 29, 62, and a 2023 3rd to Houston for pick 13 and a 2023 4th, because they ARE as obsessed with a WR as people expect and are aggressive to go get him when the board falls right. They then trade BACK from 30 to 35 with the Jets, also including pick 94 in order to get 69 back. Then, last but not least, KC gets aggressive one more time and moves 103 and 121 for 85 from New England, leaving the Chiefs with 6 picks in the first four rounds.
1.13 | Jameson Williams, WR, Alabama.
2.35 | Cam Thomas, DE, San Diego State.
2.50 | Jalen Pitre, S, Baylor.
3.69 | Zachary Carter, DT, Florida.
3.85 | Sam Williams, DE, Ole Miss.
4.135 | Jaylen Watson, CB, Washington State

Scenario 2 Debrief:
I'm not saying KC should do this or even that I think they will (more on that in a few minutes). I'm just saying, man, what will it look like if the Chiefs get aggressive a few times AND are doing the big move for a WR? In this scenario, KC obviously believes Williams is a game-changer at the NFL level and is taking a small 2022 hit to make 2023+ better. The defensive line still gets reinforced, but the reinforcements are all a shade worse than the sit-pat draft option. If you like Kingsley Enagbare or Josh PAscal more than Thomas, I get it and wouldn't quibble at one of those guys instead. Logan Hall, too. Pitre is such a screaming perfect fit for KC's D. Carter is a great physical talent you can dream about coaching up. Williams' utility is known and gives them a true RE option to pair against their higher-drafted bigger guy. Watson is a developmental corner.

I don't love it. I think Pitre makes the secondary a lot better and makes it easier to move on from Thornhill after 22. They have improved the defensive rotation, though one of the DEs would need to outperform expectations in Year 1 to get it to the same level as Scenario 1. In all, giving up the 2 extra selections in the top 4 rounds hurts the depth you can build, but I think it's more like what KC will do.

Scenario 3: Same movements as #2
1.13 | Jermaine Johnson II, DE, Florida State.
2.35 | Christian Watson, WR, North Dakota State.
2.50 | Sam Williams, DE, Ole Miss.
3.69 | Bryan Cook, S, Cincinnati.
3.85 | Martin Emerson, CB, Miss. State.
4.135 | Braxton Jones, T, Southern Utah

Scenario 3 Debrief:
This is the type of situation where I see KC paying the price to move up... if Johnson falls this far, I'd be shocked if KC isn't aggressively moving up. With this run, I take a risky but high upside WR in Watson (but you could sub in Pickens or Jahan Dotson or Tolbert or Metchie or Skyy Moore or really any of those tier 2 guys here if you prefer). The secondary reinforcements aren't flashy but are good fits.

In this one, I think the plan has to become adding either another safety or corner in free agency before the season. Ideally, it's someone who can handle the slot and let Sneed thriver on the outside. The DL gets a major boost and some potential star power in Johnson and Williams, and the OL gets another T option and potential long-term starter to develop.

Having completed the exercise and looking at the scenariors, I like the first one the most. But it really does come down to how the board breaks.

Older mocks
Spoiler!

[Reply]
BossChief 10:31 PM 03-23-2022
Holy shit this draft has stupid potential. This is just first 4 rounds I traded from 29 to 32 with Detroit…JIMP

30. Treylon Burks WR Arkansas
32. Devonte Wyatt DT Georgia
50. David Ojabo EDGE Michigan
62. Travis Jones DT Connecticut
66. George Pickens WR Georgia
103. Calvin Austin III WR Memphis
126. Jerome Ford RB Cincinnati
135.Nick Cross S Maryland
[Reply]
kcbubb 11:13 PM 03-23-2022
https://youtu.be/3zx_WtTZULA

I know some of y’all have liked Travis Jones but watch this senior bowl video. Perrion Winfrey looks quicker and uses his hands better. I know it’s a small sample size but I got the same impression of Travis Jones in that he’s an athlete right now and his athletic ability may never translate to the field, idk. But Winfrey looks better.

Boye Mafe wasn’t overly impressive either. You can see his quickness but his arm length and hand usage will hurt him and you can see that on the video also.

Logan Hall’s strength and willingness to bill rush is interesting.

Another think I noticed was Kyron Johnson’s first step quickness. He’s not a scheme fit for us and we won’t take him but he might be an interesting pass rush specialist down the road when he develops.
[Reply]
kcbubb 11:35 PM 03-23-2022
https://youtu.be/-mRKKJOJPmE

Another senior bowl video here. Winfrey looks great. About 2 minutes in. Winfrey shows some quickness. Next play, power with the bill rush. Travis Jones doesn’t look aggressive or violent enough. Logan Hall looks more aggressive than Travis Jones. Winfrey >>> Jones
[Reply]
BossChief 11:41 PM 03-23-2022
Moving around to maximize value in the spots I think are great values. There are still 4 picks left to fill the other spots. This is the first 4 rounds.

37.

Devonte Wyatt
DT Georgia
trade icon
KC
40.

David Ojabo
EDGE Michigan
trade icon
KC
41.

Boye Mafe
EDGE Minnesota
trade icon
KC
54.

Travis Jones
DT Connecticut
trade icon
KC
62.

John Metchie III
WR Alabama
KC
68.

Skyy Moore
WR Western Michigan
trade icon
KC
85.

Arnold Ebiketie
EDGE Penn State
trade icon
KC
94.

Calvin Austin III
WR Memphis
KC
121.

Mario Goodrich
CB Clemson
KC
135.

Zyon McCollum
CB Sam Houston State
[Reply]
staylor26 12:16 AM 03-24-2022
I don’t see the value in trading out of the 1st to take Ojabo.

The 5th year option feels like a must there if you’re going to take a swing like that.

I’d take him at 29 and be done with it.
[Reply]
BossChief 01:48 AM 03-24-2022
Originally Posted by staylor26:
I donít see the value in trading out of the 1st to take Ojabo.

The 5th year option feels like a must there if youíre going to take a swing like that.

Iíd take him at 29 and be done with it.
Iím trading down from 29 to 32-37 and adding a third and still getting him almost every time.

I think Veach is going to do something similar, but I agree unless you can get top notch value in a return, that 5th year option is big for him because of the injury.
[Reply]
Chris Meck 06:15 AM 03-24-2022
I like this one a lot!

KC
29.
Lewis Cine
S Georgia-best value pick; incredibly speedy safety makes Spags 3 Safety sets deadly.

KC
30.
Devonte Wyatt
DT Georgia-true 3 down, all-around excellent DT to play next to Jones.

KC
50.
Drake Jackson
EDGE USC-super athletic, high upside EDGE. Reportedly ran a 4.5, prototype size

KC
62.
George Pickens
WR Georgia-the ACL tear cost this kid a first round slot; explosive, ideal 'X' size and speed. WR #1 sooner than later.

KC
94.
Calvin Austin III
WR Memphis-Tyreek 2 Electric Boogaloo. Unbelievable speed and shiftiness. This IS the next Hill if there is such a thing.

KC
103.
Pierre Strong Jr.
RB South Dakota State-Tired of watching RB's that can't get the edge? Me too.

KC
121.
Troy Andersen
LB Montana State-Freak athlete at 245, as in like Willie Gay level speed and size. Finishes an elite LB corps. If the key to defense has now become inside out rather than edges in, we're in stellar shape as the DT, LB, and S positions are stocked with elite talent.

KC
135.
Zyon McCollum
CB Sam Houston State-Freaky speed and size combination has to have Spags drooling. Here's your boundary corner for the next several years.
[Reply]
The Franchise 08:32 AM 03-24-2022
Originally Posted by BossChief:
Iím trading down from 29 to 32-37 and adding a third and still getting him almost every time.

I think Veach is going to do something similar, but I agree unless you can get top notch value in a return, that 5th year option is big for him because of the injury.
Youíre doing that because youíre using a mock draft site which isnít set in reality.
[Reply]
RunKC 08:39 AM 03-24-2022
The Ringer did their first rd mock and gave us George Pickens and Arnold Ebiketie

Oh yeah
[Reply]
Chris Meck 08:56 AM 03-24-2022
Originally Posted by RunKC:
The Ringer did their first rd mock and gave us George Pickens and Arnold Ebiketie

Oh yeah
both are second rounders in most mock machines I've run.

I like both players, though.
[Reply]
BossChief 11:37 AM 03-24-2022
Originally Posted by The Franchise:
Youíre doing that because youíre using a mock draft site which isnít set in reality.
This is just a really good draft where teams will make moves we donít anticipate that push guys down that we donít expect to be there. The draft is always unpredictable and picks 29-33 are always being traded for because of that.

We are in the catbird seat in this draft, my friend.
[Reply]
mkp785 11:44 AM 03-24-2022
Originally Posted by Chris Meck:
both are second rounders in most mock machines I've run.

I like both players, though.
Pickens probably won't make it to 50. If we want him we'll need to grab him in the 1st. Which, is fine since we'll get the 5th yr option on him
[Reply]
BossChief 11:50 AM 03-24-2022
32.

Drake London
WR USC
trade icon
KC
34.

Devonte Wyatt
DT Georgia
trade icon
KC
36.

David Ojabo
EDGE Michigan
trade icon
KC
64.

Christian Watson
WR North Dakota State
trade icon
KC
67.

Tariq Woolen
CB UTSA
trade icon
KC
75.

Cameron Thomas
EDGE San Diego State
trade icon
KC
103.

James Cook
RB Georgia
KC
121.

Damone Clark
LB LSU

I’d be so excited if our first 4 rounds went like this….
[Reply]
Chris Meck 02:40 PM 03-24-2022
Originally Posted by kcbubb:
https://youtu.be/-mRKKJOJPmE

Another senior bowl video here. Winfrey looks great. About 2 minutes in. Winfrey shows some quickness. Next play, power with the bill rush. Travis Jones doesnít look aggressive or violent enough. Logan Hall looks more aggressive than Travis Jones. Winfrey >>> Jones
Winfrey and Wyatt are my picks for one of those first draft slots. I'm good with either.
[Reply]
duncan_idaho 02:47 PM 03-24-2022
Originally Posted by kcbubb:
https://youtu.be/-mRKKJOJPmE

Another senior bowl video here. Winfrey looks great. About 2 minutes in. Winfrey shows some quickness. Next play, power with the bill rush. Travis Jones doesnít look aggressive or violent enough. Logan Hall looks more aggressive than Travis Jones. Winfrey >>> Jones
I would certainly hope Winfrey and Hall look quicker and more explosive than Jones, since they're entirely different types of DL.

Jones is a true NT type, a big, strong bull you pay to handle double teams on the regular against the run. What makes him intriguing is he flashes well above-average quickness and agility for a guy with that skillset, suggesting he might be able to be a true 3-down guy.

(Kind of like what separates Vita Vea).

Winfrey and Hall are both odd-front DEs who can be played inside or outside in an even front. If they're inside, they're playing an undertackle spot, not being asked to take on 2 guys each down.
[Reply]
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