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The Marty Lounge>***Official 2021 Royals Season Repository Thread***
ChiefsCountry 12:01 PM 01-07-2021
For all things Royals for the new year.

Free Agent Signings:
Carlos Santana
Mike Minor
Michael Taylor
Ervin Santana

Top 10 Prospects:
1 Bobby Witt Jr., SS
2 Asa Lacy, LHP
3 Daniel Lynch, LHP
4 Jackson Kowar, RHP
5 Erick Pena, OF
6 Nick Loftin, SS
7 Kyle Isbel, OF
8 Khali Lee, OF
9 Jonathan Bowlan, RHP
10 Carlos Hernedez, RHP
[Reply]
Ocotillo 09:49 PM 01-11-2021

MLB news: White Sox sign Liam Hendriks, top free agent closer https://t.co/YnWetwQQK2 via @Yahoo

— Tim Brown (@TBrownYahoo) January 12, 2021

[Reply]
tk13 09:49 PM 01-11-2021
They gave him a good chunk of money.

The details on Liam Hendriks' fascinating deal with the Chicago White Sox:

It is a three-year deal that will pay Hendriks $39M in those first three years. But both the buyout and fourth-year option salary are $15M, so Hendriks will receive $54M regardless of what White Sox do.

— Jeff Passan (@JeffPassan) January 12, 2021

[Reply]
Ocotillo 09:50 PM 01-11-2021

Here’s how Hendriks deal with White Sox works, per sources: He is guaranteed $54M. Buyout worth same as option. So, he gets $39M for first three years, then an additional $15M over a period of time if White Sox decline option. If White Sox pick up option, it’s four years, $54M.

— Ken Rosenthal (@Ken_Rosenthal) January 12, 2021

[Reply]
Ocotillo 09:52 PM 01-11-2021
Originally Posted by tk13:
They gave him a good chunk of money.
Crazy in this cold market a team went against the conventional wisdom that relievers are volatile and not sound four-year investments. I guess the White Sox aren't scared off by the recent history of the Rockies' signings or Mark Melancon.

Hendriks #WhiteSox becomes the highest paid reliever in MLB history per AAV surpassing Wade Davis 17.3m and Aroldis Chapman 17.2m and Kenley Jansen 16m #MLB

— Jim Bowden (@JimBowdenGM) January 12, 2021

[Reply]
tk13 09:55 PM 01-11-2021
Originally Posted by Ocotillo:
Crazy in this cold market a team went against the conventional wisdom that relievers are volatile and not sound four-year investments. I guess the White Sox aren't scared off by the recent history of the Rockies' signings or Mark Melancon.
Especially since Hendriks is gonna be 32 this year.
[Reply]
Ocotillo 10:02 PM 01-11-2021
Originally Posted by tk13:
Especially since Hendriks is gonna be 32 this year.
He's also been DFA'd four times.

It's also the ultimate buyer's market for relievers.
[Reply]
ChiefsCountry 02:30 PM 01-15-2021

We have agreed to terms with RHP Brad Keller and INF Adalberto Mondesi for the 2021 season, avoiding arbitration.

With those agreements, no arb-eligible players remain unsigned. #Royals

— Kansas City Royals (@Royals) January 15, 2021

[Reply]
KChiefs1 03:13 PM 01-15-2021

Source: #Royals agree to $1.5 million deal with shortstop Daniel Vazquez, #12 on @MLBPipeline’s Top 30 Int’l Prospects list. https://t.co/mICaTNBDWa

— Jesse Sanchez (@JesseSanchezMLB) January 15, 2021

[Reply]
KChiefs1 03:17 PM 01-15-2021
White Sox keep signing prospects.

Notable International Signings: 1/15/21 https://t.co/iOI2PyLWfA pic.twitter.com/EO5QUFli9D

— MLB Trade Rumors (@mlbtraderumors) January 15, 2021

[Reply]
Al Bundy 02:18 PM 01-18-2021

Wilson Betemit Jr. signs with the Royals.https://t.co/ictibaGwmS pic.twitter.com/321vrmlCUp

— Ben Badler (@BenBadler) January 18, 2021

[Reply]
KChiefs1 10:44 AM 01-19-2021
https://theathletic.com/2330667/2021...uture-outlook/

Royals payroll assessment: The past, the present and the future outlook
by
Alec Lewis
Originally Posted by :
Asked in November if he had a set budget for the 2021 season, Royals general manager Dayton Moore explained the present strategy, which focuses not just on one season but the next three years.

Doing so involves projections for current big leaguers. Prospect development plays a role, too. So does the free-agent market, potential trades that pop up and the looming changes that could come up once the current collective bargaining agreement expires at year’s end, among a bunch of other factors.

Moore, Royals chairman and CEO John Sherman and the collection of owners have thought through them, of course. For now, one theme has emerged.

“Where (many of our players) are in their service time,” Moore said, “is naturally going to keep our payroll a little bit down, which I’m more than fine with because we have to give our young players opportunities if we’re going to get back to a championship level of play on a consistent payroll.”

None of this is to say Moore lies in bed at night tossing and turning over dollar figures. He doesn’t. His mind flips from the Royals’ current crop of players to prospective players, and how they may or may not make sense for the team at a certain time. Those types of decisions require financial analysis, though, so the payroll remains present, hovering above what’s tumbling inside the mind, and spoken through conversation, almost as an extension of the subconscious.

With that in mind, we thought it’d be valuable to take a deeper dive into the dollar figures, seeing what we can learn from the past, thinking about what might change in the present and pondering what the books could look like in the future.

A road map from the last decade
Past experiences influence most present and future decisions, and baseball takes from life in this respect.

That said, there are many confounding variables. To name a few: The COVID-19 pandemic has altered projections and expectations in ways that lack precedent; the Royals announced a multiyear television agreement with Sinclair Broadcast Group in August; a new ownership group is making the financial decisions.

So this section comes with a caveat: Perusing past numbers can go only so far.

Let’s start with the Royals’ previous contention cycle. Moore was hired in 2006, and by 2007, the Royals’ Opening Day payroll hovered around $67 million, per Cot’s Contracts. That figure crept close to $75 million in 2010, but dipped back down as the Royals prepared to launch a competitive club from the ground up.

In 2012, the Royals made two moves that, thinking about the current state of the roster, are intriguing. They extended both Salvador Perez and Alcides Escobar before both players became arbitration-eligible. Could that happen again for pitchers such as Josh Staumont, Scott Barlow, Tyler Zuber, Brady Singer or Kris Bubic? Time will tell, of course, but Moore’s perspective on extensions is clear-cut.

“All of our players, especially the homegrown guys entering the prime of their careers, we want to do our best to keep them here long term,” Moore said recently. “You can assume that we’re always having those discussions. … We’ll always do our best to keep our good players here as long as we can.”

Getting back to the overall dollar figure, the Royals started 2014 committed to paying nearly $92 million on Opening Day. That number peaked in 2017 at around $143 million but dipped down consistently ahead of 2020. Had it not been for the COVID-19 pandemic and prorated salaries, the Royals were projected to pay nearly $89 million at the beginning of last year.

Which brings us to the present.

What’s the plan for 2021?
The Royals knew they had flexibility when this offseason arrived.

Danny Duffy and Salvador Perez were entering the final years of their deals, and Whit Merrifield was the only player under contract through 2022. So they targeted specific needs: a center fielder, which became Michael A. Taylor; a middle-of-the-order bat, which became Carlos Santana; starting pitching depth, which became Mike Minor; and bullpen help, which meant the return of Greg Holland.

Add the eight arbitration agreements into the fold and the Royals’ Opening Day payroll currently is projected around $84 million.

As we’ve noted in recent weeks, the Royals may add more players before the season begins. Moore has repeatedly mentioned a search for a left-handed bat, a player who will provide depth in the outfield but also some versatility. Starting pitching depth is a focus, and another bullpen arm may make sense, too.

How much more do the Royals have to spend? The answer may indicate where the Royals feel they are on the contention curve.

What the future looks like
Extensions made sense in the Royals’ first wave of contention under Moore and they make sense now. As mentioned earlier, Perez and Duffy are entering the final years of their contracts. Jorge Soler, meanwhile, will be a free agent at season’s end.

You could make a case for an extension for each player. Perez, 30, underwent Tommy John surgery — a rarity for a catcher — but returned in 2020 and won a Silver Slugger Award. With the young pitching rising the ranks, how could a club turn down the services of a productive veteran catcher?

Duffy, 32, posted a 4.95 ERA in 11 starts last season, but he’s a homegrown Royals pitcher, and when the Royals have used him out of the bullpen in his career, Duffy has posted a 2.57 ERA in 35 innings. Could he anchor a bullpen and help the young prospects transition for a price the Royals would be willing to pay?

Soler, 28, may be the most interesting case of all. He has had an injury-riddled career, but when he’s been healthy like he was in 2019, he can do things like lead the American League in home runs (48). Does Soler’s love for Kansas City mean he’ll be willing to take less than he could get elsewhere?

The larger question: Do the Royals have enough flexibility to extend all three of these players?

The answer to that question, of course, is affected by the younger players. Brad Keller, Hunter Dozier and Adalberto Mondesi are all homegrown players. Each agreed to deals with the Royals ahead of the arbitration deadline, but the Royals could buy out their remaining arbitration-eligible seasons by signing them to extensions. (In 2019, the Royals extended Merrifield, canceling out the final pre-arbitration season and three arbitration-eligible seasons.)

Then there’s the potential strategy the Chicago White Sox have employed recently, extending Luis Robert and Eloy Jimenez even before they made their debuts. Whether a Royals prospect such as Bobby Witt Jr. or Daniel Lynch would be open to this type of deal is a valid question, but it’s another possibility for the future.

The Royals are fortunate in that the payroll provides loads of flexibility in the next three years, the timetable Moore mentioned. As things currently stand, the Royals’ 2022 payroll sits at around $40 million, though arbitration-eligible players would see bumps in pay and others would be entering arbitration.

Beyond Merrifield’s team option in 2023, the slate is clean. The best comparison is a cloudless blue sky, the sun beaming, a whole host of possibilities awaiting.

[Reply]
dallaschiefsfan 09:52 PM 01-19-2021
Didn't see that anyone had posted this yet. Four in the top 100. Three in the top 50.
https://www.baseballamerica.com/rank...100-prospects/

Bobby Witt (#16), Daniel Lynch (#25), Asa Lacy (#37), Jackson Kowar (#95)
[Reply]
dlphg9 09:54 PM 01-19-2021
Originally Posted by dallaschiefsfan:
Didn't see that anyone had posted this yet. Four in the top 100. Three in the top 50.
https://www.baseballamerica.com/rank...100-prospects/

Bobby Witt (#16), Daniel Lynch (#25), Asa Lacy (#37), Jackson Kowar (#95)
Daniel Lynch surprises me that he's so high and Witt Jr. seems too low.
[Reply]
KChiefs1 09:57 PM 01-19-2021
Originally Posted by dallaschiefsfan:
Didn't see that anyone had posted this yet. Four in the top 100. Three in the top 50.
https://www.baseballamerica.com/rank...100-prospects/

Bobby Witt (#16), Daniel Lynch (#25), Asa Lacy (#37), Jackson Kowar (#95)
Witt at #16? :-)

I thought for sure he would be top 10.
[Reply]
dlphg9 09:59 PM 01-19-2021
Originally Posted by KChiefs1:
Witt at #16? :-)

I thought for sure he would be top 10.
Yep that one confuses me
[Reply]
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