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Saccopoo Memorial Draft Forum>*** 2022 Mock Draft Megathread ***
duncan_idaho 12:45 PM 11-23-2021
Got a mock? Pop it in this thread. Include a picture if you want. Explain your reasoning if you want. Talk about your crushes... if you want.

See a good "pro" mock? Link it up in here and I'll add it to the OP.

Duncan's latest mock

Site
The Draft Network This mock seems to be the most accurate site right now, so I go with this one. I don't pay for it, so no trades here. The plan is for this to be my last mock. I'm going to do it differently, though. I'm running 3 scenarios, and eschewing the 7th round picks, which I would use on a big swings on athleticism and potential. Lotto tickets. James Houston IV is one of them. Note: I used PFF to simulate the trade action, then manually backed up in the 2 "trade" drafts to make selections. Laborious, but gives you best of both worlds, IMO. I think PFF's trade tool is the best, but its board is whack.

Draft slot: 29

Scenario 1: The Chiefs sit pat with their picks and don't make any moves at all. Seems the least likely, but hey...
1.29 | George Karlaftis, DE, Purdue.
1.30 | Boye Mafe, DE, Minnesota.
2.50 | George Pickens, WR, Georgia.
2.62 | Travis Jones, DT, UConn.
3.94 | Zyon McCollum, CB, Sam Houston State.
3.103(Comp for Poles) | Troy Andersen, LB, Montana State.
4.121 | Coby Bryant, CB, Cincinnati.
4.135 | Velus Jones, Jr., Tennessee

Scenario 1 Debrief:
So, sitting and waiting to see what comes to me was pretty successful here. The Chiefs FLOOD the defensive line with reinforcements, including at least 1 ready-made starter and two guys who should - at minimum - be in 50/50 rotations at their spots by year end. The Chiefs still get a big outside WR with tantalizing potential. They add some crazy athletic small-school guys, and a mid-round corner who just fits in the system, and a dynamo return man who might be more at WR.

This looks pretty good. Though I have a hard time believing Karlaftis just falls to 29...

Scenario 2: The Chiefs get aggressive and trade up. But for what? In this case, let's go wide receiver. In this run, Kansas City trades picks 29, 62, and a 2023 3rd to Houston for pick 13 and a 2023 4th, because they ARE as obsessed with a WR as people expect and are aggressive to go get him when the board falls right. They then trade BACK from 30 to 35 with the Jets, also including pick 94 in order to get 69 back. Then, last but not least, KC gets aggressive one more time and moves 103 and 121 for 85 from New England, leaving the Chiefs with 6 picks in the first four rounds.
1.13 | Jameson Williams, WR, Alabama.
2.35 | Cam Thomas, DE, San Diego State.
2.50 | Jalen Pitre, S, Baylor.
3.69 | Zachary Carter, DT, Florida.
3.85 | Sam Williams, DE, Ole Miss.
4.135 | Jaylen Watson, CB, Washington State

Scenario 2 Debrief:
I'm not saying KC should do this or even that I think they will (more on that in a few minutes). I'm just saying, man, what will it look like if the Chiefs get aggressive a few times AND are doing the big move for a WR? In this scenario, KC obviously believes Williams is a game-changer at the NFL level and is taking a small 2022 hit to make 2023+ better. The defensive line still gets reinforced, but the reinforcements are all a shade worse than the sit-pat draft option. If you like Kingsley Enagbare or Josh PAscal more than Thomas, I get it and wouldn't quibble at one of those guys instead. Logan Hall, too. Pitre is such a screaming perfect fit for KC's D. Carter is a great physical talent you can dream about coaching up. Williams' utility is known and gives them a true RE option to pair against their higher-drafted bigger guy. Watson is a developmental corner.

I don't love it. I think Pitre makes the secondary a lot better and makes it easier to move on from Thornhill after 22. They have improved the defensive rotation, though one of the DEs would need to outperform expectations in Year 1 to get it to the same level as Scenario 1. In all, giving up the 2 extra selections in the top 4 rounds hurts the depth you can build, but I think it's more like what KC will do.

Scenario 3: Same movements as #2
1.13 | Jermaine Johnson II, DE, Florida State.
2.35 | Christian Watson, WR, North Dakota State.
2.50 | Sam Williams, DE, Ole Miss.
3.69 | Bryan Cook, S, Cincinnati.
3.85 | Martin Emerson, CB, Miss. State.
4.135 | Braxton Jones, T, Southern Utah

Scenario 3 Debrief:
This is the type of situation where I see KC paying the price to move up... if Johnson falls this far, I'd be shocked if KC isn't aggressively moving up. With this run, I take a risky but high upside WR in Watson (but you could sub in Pickens or Jahan Dotson or Tolbert or Metchie or Skyy Moore or really any of those tier 2 guys here if you prefer). The secondary reinforcements aren't flashy but are good fits.

In this one, I think the plan has to become adding either another safety or corner in free agency before the season. Ideally, it's someone who can handle the slot and let Sneed thriver on the outside. The DL gets a major boost and some potential star power in Johnson and Williams, and the OL gets another T option and potential long-term starter to develop.

Having completed the exercise and looking at the scenariors, I like the first one the most. But it really does come down to how the board breaks.

Older mocks
Spoiler!

[Reply]
DJ's left nut 03:46 PM 12-03-2021
I keep having Christian Harris available to me in the 2nd. I'm just not sure I could talk myself out of that pick.

In Harris kinda strikes me as an odd hybrid of Bolton and Gay. Stick Bolton at Mike w/ Gay at Sam and Harris at Will and man that's a HELL of a talented and versatile LB corps. You take Bolton off the field in Nickel formations and you're in great shape.

That's using 2nd round picks on LBs for 3 straight years but as long as they keep hitting, who cares?
[Reply]
DJ's left nut 04:02 PM 12-03-2021
Ha! Yeah, just had one of those "well this draft will never happen" moments:

1st -- Nicholas Petit-Frere
2nd -- John Metchie
3rd -- Christian Harris
4th -- Brenton Cox
5th -- Trajan Jeffcoat
6th -- Demani Richardson
7th -- Cam'Ron Harris


I mean I feel like Metchie, Harris and Cox all went a round too late. And Jeffcoat/Richardson are great value/need combos where they fell. Even Harris is a damn nice get that late as a potential addition to the RB room.

I just kinda started laughing as that one went on.
[Reply]
Direckshun 12:13 PM 12-06-2021
Hey, every year a few seem to fall that shouldn't.

Personally, I allow myself one "goodie" in the late rounds when I mock. It's realistic; happens every year.
[Reply]
Direckshun 12:26 PM 12-06-2021
1.25 WR Jameson Williams, Alabama -- Andy Reid loves having the pure speedster WR, and Hardman has fallen out of favor. Williams fits the bill.

2.47. CB Roger McCreary, Auburn -- An extremely scheme-flexible corner to help compensate for the loss of Charvarious Ward, which I think is imminent.

3.85. DE Cam Thomas, San Diego State -- I'm assuming the Chiefs retain Ingram and make a push for Von Miller. The Chiefs need an infusion of talent at DE this offseason, and Thomas has starter upside starting in 2023.

4.120. S Markquese Bell, Florida A&M -- Keeping Mathieu really is a cheat code; all that matters to me, so long as we have him on the roster, is will a new DB be able to make plays. Bell has issues in coverage and in reading plays, but those are correctable with great coaching and leadership. Bell can serve as a good 3rd safety; maybe a starter if Mathieu walks.

[made random pick in the 6th as we do not have a 6th]

7.225. LB Quay Walker, Georgia
-- strongside LB prospect
7.241. CB Storm Duck, North Carolina -- his name tho
[Reply]
kccrow 05:30 PM 12-06-2021
Originally Posted by Direckshun:
1.25 WR Jameson Williams, Alabama -- Andy Reid loves having the pure speedster WR, and Hardman has fallen out of favor. Williams fits the bill.

2.47. CB Roger McCreary, Auburn -- An extremely scheme-flexible corner to help compensate for the loss of Charvarious Ward, which I think is imminent.

3.85. DE Cam Thomas, San Diego State -- I'm assuming the Chiefs retain Ingram and make a push for Von Miller. The Chiefs need an infusion of talent at DE this offseason, and Thomas has starter upside starting in 2023.

4.120. S Markquese Bell, Florida A&M -- Keeping Mathieu really is a cheat code; all that matters to me, so long as we have him on the roster, is will a new DB be able to make plays. Bell has issues in coverage and in reading plays, but those are correctable with great coaching and leadership. Bell can serve as a good 3rd safety; maybe a starter if Mathieu walks.

[made random pick in the 6th as we do not have a 6th]

7.225. LB Quay Walker, Georgia
-- strongside LB prospect
7.241. CB Storm Duck, North Carolina -- his name tho
If a DE from a mid-major is all this team does to address youth at the position, I'll be more than extremely disappointed.
[Reply]
RunKC 12:23 PM 12-08-2021
Pass rusher (interior or outside)
Ball hawking DB (Corner or S)
Receiver (at TE or outside)

That’s what our top priority must be in the first rd
[Reply]
Direckshun 12:40 PM 12-08-2021
Originally Posted by kccrow:
If a DE from a mid-major is all this team does to address youth at the position, I'll be more than extremely disappointed.
The team desperately needs youth at the DE position.

The team desperately needs talent at the WR position.

The team desperately needs bodies throughout the back seven.

The team desperately needs options at tackle for 2023.

The team desperately needs more dynamic RBs.

We've got 1 1st and 1 2nd. We simply can't address every position. Free agency is going to have to band-aid some situations.
[Reply]
kccrow 06:56 PM 12-08-2021
Originally Posted by Direckshun:
The team desperately needs youth at the DE position.

The team desperately needs talent at the WR position.

The team desperately needs bodies throughout the back seven.

The team desperately needs options at tackle for 2023.

The team desperately needs more dynamic RBs.

We've got 1 1st and 1 2nd. We simply can't address every position. Free agency is going to have to band-aid some situations.
And thus you prioritize. A DE is much more critical than the rest and trusting two 33+-year-old DEs to carry that torch all year is ridiculously foolish, at least going off what I seen you mock.

Do we need a 3rd option WR more than DE? No
Do we need reserve DBs more than DE? No
Do we need other options at tackle for 2023 in 2022? No
Do we need a more dynamic RB more than any of the 3 above or DE? No

Edit:
This changes if the Chiefs bring in a DE in FA that isn't on his last stop.
[Reply]
Chris Meck 07:00 AM 12-09-2021
Originally Posted by kccrow:
And thus you prioritize. A DE is much more critical than the rest and trusting two 33+-year-old DEs to carry that torch all year is ridiculously foolish, at least going off what I seen you mock.

Do we need a 3rd option WR more than DE? No
Do we need reserve DBs more than DE? No
Do we need other options at tackle for 2023 in 2022? No
Do we need a more dynamic RB more than any of the 3 above or DE? No

Edit:
This changes if the Chiefs bring in a DE in FA that isn't on his last stop.
In every mock I've run, there tends to be a DE there in the first be it a Myjai Sanders or a Drake Jackson or Enagbare. I think any of those guys are good prospects.

WR's in the 2nd seem to be the sweet spot.
[Reply]
Halfcan 11:03 PM 12-10-2021
Chiefs will be picking #32 after winning the SB- not sure who they will pick though.
[Reply]
Palangi 12:59 AM 12-21-2021
1. Treylon Burks WR Arkansas 6’3” 220- big physical WR with good speed. Can be the Watkins replacement.

2. Jermaine Johnson DE Florida state 6’4” 260- relentless pass rusher. Has 11.5 sacks this year. Very stout and strong against the run too. Him, Kaindoh, and Herring give us 3 young pass rusher to develop.

3. Jalen Pitre S Baylor 6’1” 205- physical fast safety. Good coverage skills and really physical tackler. Could be a great pairing with Thornhill

4. Kevin Harris- RB South Carolina 5’11” 225- physical back with good speed. Can be a true feature back. Enough speed to threaten long runs. This guy reminds me of Hunt. Really good contact balance and a thick lower half. The guys on roster now are just JAGs. E need a threat in the backfield

7. Dare Rosenthal OT Kentucky 6’7” 325- long athletic kid. Transferred from LSU. Has experience at both tackle spots. Is drafted to groom as a swing tackle. Need to develop a talented kid in case of injury.

7. Amari Burney LB Florida 6’2” 230- went to Florida as a safety. Athletic LB with really good speed. Good coverage skills. Can be the SLB to play on TEs. Allowing Gay to play the WLB and use his speed to make plays all over.
[Reply]
duncan_idaho 11:30 AM 12-21-2021
Originally Posted by Palangi:
1. Treylon Burks WR Arkansas 63 220- big physical WR with good speed. Can be the Watkins replacement.

2. Jermaine Johnson DE Florida state 64 260- relentless pass rusher. Has 11.5 sacks this year. Very stout and strong against the run too. Him, Kaindoh, and Herring give us 3 young pass rusher to develop.

3. Jalen Pitre S Baylor 61 205- physical fast safety. Good coverage skills and really physical tackler. Could be a great pairing with Thornhill

4. Kevin Harris- RB South Carolina 511 225- physical back with good speed. Can be a true feature back. Enough speed to threaten long runs. This guy reminds me of Hunt. Really good contact balance and a thick lower half. The guys on roster now are just JAGs. E need a threat in the backfield

7. Dare Rosenthal OT Kentucky 67 325- long athletic kid. Transferred from LSU. Has experience at both tackle spots. Is drafted to groom as a swing tackle. Need to develop a talented kid in case of injury.

7. Amari Burney LB Florida 62 230- went to Florida as a safety. Athletic LB with really good speed. Good coverage skills. Can be the SLB to play on TEs. Allowing Gay to play the WLB and use his speed to make plays all over.
This is a nice draft. I like the big swings in the 7th. Might as well take some athletic guys in need of some development and see what happens.

Burks would be a very different type of receiver in this offense, but I'd like having a bigger, more physical guy on the outside.
[Reply]
kccrow 08:40 PM 12-21-2021
31. Jermaine Johnson EDGE, Florida State
62. Christian Harris LB, Alabama
95. James Cook RB, Georgia
132. Sam Williams EDGE, Ole Miss
196. Eyioma Uwazurike IDL, Iowa State
233. Quentin Lake S, UCLA
236. Danny Gray WR, SMU
248. Riley Moss CB, Iowa
[Reply]
Chris Meck 06:45 AM 12-23-2021
Originally Posted by kccrow:
31. Jermaine Johnson EDGE, Florida State
62. Christian Harris LB, Alabama
95. James Cook RB, Georgia
132. Sam Williams EDGE, Ole Miss
196. Eyioma Uwazurike IDL, Iowa State
233. Quentin Lake S, UCLA
236. Danny Gray WR, SMU
248. Riley Moss CB, Iowa
I really think we need a WR more than a LB early, don't you?

We need to start re-stocking the playmaker talent as Hill and Kelce age.
[Reply]
kccrow 07:18 PM 12-23-2021
Originally Posted by Chris Meck:
I really think we need a WR more than a LB early, don't you?

We need to start re-stocking the playmaker talent as Hill and Kelce age.
Yes. It was a funny draft the way it fell, which I should have commented on.

I was staring at David Bell in round 1 vs Johnson. I went Johnson, thinking WR in 2. Well, then a ton of WRs went, leaving no good positional value there in 2 but a shitload of ER and a few quality LBs still there. I thought I'd wait until 3 and get better value, so I took the LB... then another big run on WR at the top of 3. Really was kind of a shitty flow. If I would have just taken Bell, I would have had a quality ER fall in my lap in 2 anyhow.
[Reply]
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