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Saccopoo Memorial Draft Forum>*** 2022 Mock Draft Megathread ***
duncan_idaho 12:45 PM 11-23-2021
Got a mock? Pop it in this thread. Include a picture if you want. Explain your reasoning if you want. Talk about your crushes... if you want.

See a good "pro" mock? Link it up in here and I'll add it to the OP.

Duncan's latest mock

Site
The Draft Network This mock seems to be the most accurate site right now, so I go with this one. I don't pay for it, so no trades here. The plan is for this to be my last mock. I'm going to do it differently, though. I'm running 3 scenarios, and eschewing the 7th round picks, which I would use on a big swings on athleticism and potential. Lotto tickets. James Houston IV is one of them. Note: I used PFF to simulate the trade action, then manually backed up in the 2 "trade" drafts to make selections. Laborious, but gives you best of both worlds, IMO. I think PFF's trade tool is the best, but its board is whack.

Draft slot: 29

Scenario 1: The Chiefs sit pat with their picks and don't make any moves at all. Seems the least likely, but hey...
1.29 | George Karlaftis, DE, Purdue.
1.30 | Boye Mafe, DE, Minnesota.
2.50 | George Pickens, WR, Georgia.
2.62 | Travis Jones, DT, UConn.
3.94 | Zyon McCollum, CB, Sam Houston State.
3.103(Comp for Poles) | Troy Andersen, LB, Montana State.
4.121 | Coby Bryant, CB, Cincinnati.
4.135 | Velus Jones, Jr., Tennessee

Scenario 1 Debrief:
So, sitting and waiting to see what comes to me was pretty successful here. The Chiefs FLOOD the defensive line with reinforcements, including at least 1 ready-made starter and two guys who should - at minimum - be in 50/50 rotations at their spots by year end. The Chiefs still get a big outside WR with tantalizing potential. They add some crazy athletic small-school guys, and a mid-round corner who just fits in the system, and a dynamo return man who might be more at WR.

This looks pretty good. Though I have a hard time believing Karlaftis just falls to 29...

Scenario 2: The Chiefs get aggressive and trade up. But for what? In this case, let's go wide receiver. In this run, Kansas City trades picks 29, 62, and a 2023 3rd to Houston for pick 13 and a 2023 4th, because they ARE as obsessed with a WR as people expect and are aggressive to go get him when the board falls right. They then trade BACK from 30 to 35 with the Jets, also including pick 94 in order to get 69 back. Then, last but not least, KC gets aggressive one more time and moves 103 and 121 for 85 from New England, leaving the Chiefs with 6 picks in the first four rounds.
1.13 | Jameson Williams, WR, Alabama.
2.35 | Cam Thomas, DE, San Diego State.
2.50 | Jalen Pitre, S, Baylor.
3.69 | Zachary Carter, DT, Florida.
3.85 | Sam Williams, DE, Ole Miss.
4.135 | Jaylen Watson, CB, Washington State

Scenario 2 Debrief:
I'm not saying KC should do this or even that I think they will (more on that in a few minutes). I'm just saying, man, what will it look like if the Chiefs get aggressive a few times AND are doing the big move for a WR? In this scenario, KC obviously believes Williams is a game-changer at the NFL level and is taking a small 2022 hit to make 2023+ better. The defensive line still gets reinforced, but the reinforcements are all a shade worse than the sit-pat draft option. If you like Kingsley Enagbare or Josh PAscal more than Thomas, I get it and wouldn't quibble at one of those guys instead. Logan Hall, too. Pitre is such a screaming perfect fit for KC's D. Carter is a great physical talent you can dream about coaching up. Williams' utility is known and gives them a true RE option to pair against their higher-drafted bigger guy. Watson is a developmental corner.

I don't love it. I think Pitre makes the secondary a lot better and makes it easier to move on from Thornhill after 22. They have improved the defensive rotation, though one of the DEs would need to outperform expectations in Year 1 to get it to the same level as Scenario 1. In all, giving up the 2 extra selections in the top 4 rounds hurts the depth you can build, but I think it's more like what KC will do.

Scenario 3: Same movements as #2
1.13 | Jermaine Johnson II, DE, Florida State.
2.35 | Christian Watson, WR, North Dakota State.
2.50 | Sam Williams, DE, Ole Miss.
3.69 | Bryan Cook, S, Cincinnati.
3.85 | Martin Emerson, CB, Miss. State.
4.135 | Braxton Jones, T, Southern Utah

Scenario 3 Debrief:
This is the type of situation where I see KC paying the price to move up... if Johnson falls this far, I'd be shocked if KC isn't aggressively moving up. With this run, I take a risky but high upside WR in Watson (but you could sub in Pickens or Jahan Dotson or Tolbert or Metchie or Skyy Moore or really any of those tier 2 guys here if you prefer). The secondary reinforcements aren't flashy but are good fits.

In this one, I think the plan has to become adding either another safety or corner in free agency before the season. Ideally, it's someone who can handle the slot and let Sneed thriver on the outside. The DL gets a major boost and some potential star power in Johnson and Williams, and the OL gets another T option and potential long-term starter to develop.

Having completed the exercise and looking at the scenariors, I like the first one the most. But it really does come down to how the board breaks.

Older mocks
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[Reply]
The Franchise 10:06 AM 03-30-2022
29. David Ojabo, EDGE Michigan
30. Sam Williams, EDGE Mississippi
50. Travis Jones, DT Connecticut
62. Jalen Tolbert, WR South Alabama
94. Jeremy Ruckert, TE Ohio State
103. Calvin Austin III, WR Memphis
121. Nick Cross, S Maryland
135. Alontae Taylor, CB Tennessee
[Reply]
Chris Meck 10:19 AM 03-30-2022
I intentionally took some different guys as I'd been locking in a little too much on specific players. I still like how this turned out.

KC
29.
David Ojabo
EDGE Michigan-big swing on elite talent. Probably doesn't help you until late in the season, but that's probably an ok thing...

KC
30.
Boye Mafe
EDGE Minnesota-because you double dipped on elite athletic talent at DE. Woe to the AFC's QB's for the next five years.

KC
50.
Alec Pierce
WR Cincinnati-a 'bigger, faster, Jordy Nelson'? Sure, I'll bite. Mahomes' new best buddy. Sorry Dieter.

KC
62.
George Pickens
WR Georgia-taking a swing on first round talent that falls due to injury. Man, I really like this kid's upside. Big, fast, great body control, and excellent hands. We can teach the rest.

KC
94.
Coby Bryant
CB Cincinnati-polished, prototype CB for Spags. Replaces Ward.

KC
103.
Jerome Ford
RB Cincinnati-so-so combine, but the tape don't lie. This kid is dynamite toting the rock.

KC
121.
Troy Andersen
LB Montana State-freak athlete at 240 lbs. Perfect 10 RAS. Completes a dominant LB corps. There are things we could only do in nickel that we could comfortably do in base 4-3 if we get this kid.

KC
135.
Braxton Jones
OT Southern Utah- Another plus athlete with prototype size. Potentially finishes the young offensive line for the near future.
[Reply]
The Franchise 10:23 AM 03-30-2022
It really wouldn't surprise me if they took a TE on day 2 to help limit Kelce's snaps moving forward.
[Reply]
Dante84 10:26 AM 03-30-2022
Originally Posted by The Franchise:
It really wouldn't surprise me if they took a TE on day 2 to help limit Kelce's snaps moving forward.
I think they were hoping Noah Gray would do that, but he had a relatively quiet year 1.

I wonder if he is a breakout candidate for year 2? I remember reading somewhere that rookie TE's almost never make an impact in the league and require a year or two to develop.
[Reply]
duncan_idaho 10:29 AM 03-30-2022
My most recent one:

1.29 - Christian Watson, WR, NDSU
1.30 - Sam Williams, DE, Ole Miss

Lot of upside and explosiveness here.

2.50 - Cam Thomas, DE, San Diego State
2.62 - Bernhard Raimann, T, Central Michigan

I'm not sure I buy Raimann being available there, but I love the pairing of Williams and Thomas at DE.

3.94 - Jalyn Armour-Davis, CB, Alabama
3.103 - Nick Cross, S, Maryland

I spend the third round shoring up the secondary. I love Armour-Davis's overall athletic profile, and Cross is a freak athlete who gives the Chiefs nice depth behind Thornhill and Reid.

4.121 - Jerffrey Gunter, DE, Coastal Carolina.
4.135 - Pierre Strong, Jr, RB, South Dakota State.

Neither of these are pure need picks, just BPA types. No WR I loved available here, unfortunately. So I tripled down rather than reach.
[Reply]
htismaqe 10:30 AM 03-30-2022
Originally Posted by duncan_idaho:
My most recent one:

1.29 - Christian Watson, WR, NDSU
1.30 - Sam Williams, DE, Ole Miss

Lot of upside and explosiveness here.

2.50 - Cam Thomas, DE, San Diego State
2.62 - Bernhard Raimann, T, Central Michigan

I'm not sure I buy Raimann being available there, but I love the pairing of Williams and Thomas at DE.

3.94 - Jalyn Armour-Davis, CB, Alabama
3.103 - Nick Cross, S, Maryland

I spend the third round shoring up the secondary. I love Armour-Davis's overall athletic profile, and Cross is a freak athlete who gives the Chiefs nice depth behind Thornhill and Reid.

4.121 - Jerffrey Gunter, DE, Coastal Carolina.
4.135 - Pierre Strong, Jr, RB, South Dakota State.

Neither of these are pure need picks, just BPA types. No WR I loved available here, unfortunately. So I tripled down rather than reach.
I like this one a lot.
[Reply]
Dante84 10:31 AM 03-30-2022
Originally Posted by The Franchise:
It really wouldn't surprise me if they took a TE on day 2 to help limit Kelce's snaps moving forward.
Originally Posted by Dante84:
I think they were hoping Noah Gray would do that, but he had a relatively quiet year 1.

I wonder if he is a breakout candidate for year 2? I remember reading somewhere that rookie TE's almost never make an impact in the league and require a year or two to develop.
And a follow up thought.

We are definitely shifting to larger WR's this year as well, a departure from our past approach where speed > size no matter what. Nate wrote an article on this earlier this week.

I think it makes sense given Patrick's success with Kelce, and the fact that he made DRob look like a capable, functioning WR for so long. He got Conley paid as well.

I'm surprised we didn't make the shift earlier, but I am eager to see if it elevates Patrick's game to another level, with him being able to fully trust multiple dudes down the field on the 50/50 balls. Hell, he still took shots with those to Darrell Williams and Tyreek all the time despite their shorter frames.
[Reply]
The Franchise 10:34 AM 03-30-2022
Originally Posted by duncan_idaho:
My most recent one:

1.29 - Christian Watson, WR, NDSU
1.30 - Sam Williams, DE, Ole Miss

Lot of upside and explosiveness here.

2.50 - Cam Thomas, DE, San Diego State
2.62 - Bernhard Raimann, T, Central Michigan

I'm not sure I buy Raimann being available there, but I love the pairing of Williams and Thomas at DE.

3.94 - Jalyn Armour-Davis, CB, Alabama
3.103 - Nick Cross, S, Maryland

I spend the third round shoring up the secondary. I love Armour-Davis's overall athletic profile, and Cross is a freak athlete who gives the Chiefs nice depth behind Thornhill and Reid.

4.121 - Jerffrey Gunter, DE, Coastal Carolina.
4.135 - Pierre Strong, Jr, RB, South Dakota State.

Neither of these are pure need picks, just BPA types. No WR I loved available here, unfortunately. So I tripled down rather than reach.
I'm just not a huge Watson fan at 29. I can see why you took him though.

And I might trade out Gunter, even though I love the pick, for a DT to help out that group.
[Reply]
The Franchise 10:35 AM 03-30-2022
Originally Posted by Dante84:
And a follow up thought.

We are definitely shifting to larger WR's this year as well, a departure from our past approach where speed > size no matter what. Nate wrote an article on this earlier this week.

I think it makes sense given Patrick's success with Kelce, and the fact that he made DRob look like a capable, functioning WR for so long. He got Conley paid as well.

I'm surprised we didn't make the shift earlier, but I am eager to see if it elevates Patrick's game to another level, with him being able to fully trust multiple dudes down the field on the 50/50 balls. Hell, he still took shots with those to Darrell Williams and Tyreek all the time despite their shorter frames.
I really think they like Gray but adding another capable TE to the room that could help take over the blocking more and give Kelce a breather along with Gray...would go a long way to extending his career.
[Reply]
Dante84 10:39 AM 03-30-2022
Originally Posted by The Franchise:
I really think they like Gray but adding another capable TE to the room that could help take over the blocking more and give Kelce a breather along with Gray...would go a long way to extending his career.
I agree. It sucked to see Jody go down just as he was having splash plays. I wonder if he comes back at 100%.
[Reply]
The Franchise 10:42 AM 03-30-2022
Originally Posted by Dante84:
I agree. It sucked to see Jody go down just as he was having splash plays. I wonder if he comes back at 100%.
Yeah Fortson is for sure the wild card.
[Reply]
Couch-Potato 10:44 AM 03-30-2022
Dream Draft =

1.29 - J Williams, WR
1.30 - D Wyatt, DT

Would be amazing for both to fall to us!

2.50 - Cam Thomas, DE
2.62 - Sam Williams, DE

Pass Rush!

3.94 - Diesch, OT
3.103 - C Bryant, CB
4.121 - Nick Cross, S
4.135 - Troy Anderson, LB

I spend the 3rd & 4th Rounds securing up the secondary, O-Line, and LB Core.
[Reply]
duncan_idaho 10:44 AM 03-30-2022
Originally Posted by The Franchise:
I'm just not a huge Watson fan at 29. I can see why you took him though.

And I might trade out Gunter, even though I love the pick, for a DT to help out that group.
Yeah, DT was the other spot I liked there, but there wasn't anyone worthwhile there. I added the IA St. kid in the 7th at DT.

Are there guys you like more than Watson that will be available?

Skyy Moore
Trey Burks
Jahan Dotson

I could double-dipped at DE or taken a DB, but I just saw a higher value at WR.
[Reply]
The Franchise 10:55 AM 03-30-2022
Originally Posted by duncan_idaho:
Yeah, DT was the other spot I liked there, but there wasn't anyone worthwhile there. I added the IA St. kid in the 7th at DT.

Are there guys you like more than Watson that will be available?

Skyy Moore
Trey Burks
Jahan Dotson

I could double-dipped at DE or taken a DB, but I just saw a higher value at WR.
I could list out the WRs that I like but Im not sure Id take any of them at 29. I could understand if they did but there are some guys that would be great at 50.

Maybe Burks at 29 but even hes not slam dunk prospect.
[Reply]
duncan_idaho 10:56 AM 03-30-2022
Originally Posted by The Franchise:
I could list out the WRs that I like but Im not sure Id take any of them at 29. I could understand if they did but there are some guys that would be great at 50.

Maybe Burks at 29 but even hes not slam dunk prospect.
More of a "No WR at 29/30" stance, then. I gotcha, and I get that.
[Reply]
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