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Saccopoo Memorial Draft Forum>*** 2022 Mock Draft Megathread ***
duncan_idaho 12:45 PM 11-23-2021
Got a mock? Pop it in this thread. Include a picture if you want. Explain your reasoning if you want. Talk about your crushes... if you want.

See a good "pro" mock? Link it up in here and I'll add it to the OP.

Duncan's latest mock

Site
The Draft Network This mock seems to be the most accurate site right now, so I go with this one. I don't pay for it, so no trades here. The plan is for this to be my last mock. I'm going to do it differently, though. I'm running 3 scenarios, and eschewing the 7th round picks, which I would use on a big swings on athleticism and potential. Lotto tickets. James Houston IV is one of them. Note: I used PFF to simulate the trade action, then manually backed up in the 2 "trade" drafts to make selections. Laborious, but gives you best of both worlds, IMO. I think PFF's trade tool is the best, but its board is whack.

Draft slot: 29

Scenario 1: The Chiefs sit pat with their picks and don't make any moves at all. Seems the least likely, but hey...
1.29 | George Karlaftis, DE, Purdue.
1.30 | Boye Mafe, DE, Minnesota.
2.50 | George Pickens, WR, Georgia.
2.62 | Travis Jones, DT, UConn.
3.94 | Zyon McCollum, CB, Sam Houston State.
3.103(Comp for Poles) | Troy Andersen, LB, Montana State.
4.121 | Coby Bryant, CB, Cincinnati.
4.135 | Velus Jones, Jr., Tennessee

Scenario 1 Debrief:
So, sitting and waiting to see what comes to me was pretty successful here. The Chiefs FLOOD the defensive line with reinforcements, including at least 1 ready-made starter and two guys who should - at minimum - be in 50/50 rotations at their spots by year end. The Chiefs still get a big outside WR with tantalizing potential. They add some crazy athletic small-school guys, and a mid-round corner who just fits in the system, and a dynamo return man who might be more at WR.

This looks pretty good. Though I have a hard time believing Karlaftis just falls to 29...

Scenario 2: The Chiefs get aggressive and trade up. But for what? In this case, let's go wide receiver. In this run, Kansas City trades picks 29, 62, and a 2023 3rd to Houston for pick 13 and a 2023 4th, because they ARE as obsessed with a WR as people expect and are aggressive to go get him when the board falls right. They then trade BACK from 30 to 35 with the Jets, also including pick 94 in order to get 69 back. Then, last but not least, KC gets aggressive one more time and moves 103 and 121 for 85 from New England, leaving the Chiefs with 6 picks in the first four rounds.
1.13 | Jameson Williams, WR, Alabama.
2.35 | Cam Thomas, DE, San Diego State.
2.50 | Jalen Pitre, S, Baylor.
3.69 | Zachary Carter, DT, Florida.
3.85 | Sam Williams, DE, Ole Miss.
4.135 | Jaylen Watson, CB, Washington State

Scenario 2 Debrief:
I'm not saying KC should do this or even that I think they will (more on that in a few minutes). I'm just saying, man, what will it look like if the Chiefs get aggressive a few times AND are doing the big move for a WR? In this scenario, KC obviously believes Williams is a game-changer at the NFL level and is taking a small 2022 hit to make 2023+ better. The defensive line still gets reinforced, but the reinforcements are all a shade worse than the sit-pat draft option. If you like Kingsley Enagbare or Josh PAscal more than Thomas, I get it and wouldn't quibble at one of those guys instead. Logan Hall, too. Pitre is such a screaming perfect fit for KC's D. Carter is a great physical talent you can dream about coaching up. Williams' utility is known and gives them a true RE option to pair against their higher-drafted bigger guy. Watson is a developmental corner.

I don't love it. I think Pitre makes the secondary a lot better and makes it easier to move on from Thornhill after 22. They have improved the defensive rotation, though one of the DEs would need to outperform expectations in Year 1 to get it to the same level as Scenario 1. In all, giving up the 2 extra selections in the top 4 rounds hurts the depth you can build, but I think it's more like what KC will do.

Scenario 3: Same movements as #2
1.13 | Jermaine Johnson II, DE, Florida State.
2.35 | Christian Watson, WR, North Dakota State.
2.50 | Sam Williams, DE, Ole Miss.
3.69 | Bryan Cook, S, Cincinnati.
3.85 | Martin Emerson, CB, Miss. State.
4.135 | Braxton Jones, T, Southern Utah

Scenario 3 Debrief:
This is the type of situation where I see KC paying the price to move up... if Johnson falls this far, I'd be shocked if KC isn't aggressively moving up. With this run, I take a risky but high upside WR in Watson (but you could sub in Pickens or Jahan Dotson or Tolbert or Metchie or Skyy Moore or really any of those tier 2 guys here if you prefer). The secondary reinforcements aren't flashy but are good fits.

In this one, I think the plan has to become adding either another safety or corner in free agency before the season. Ideally, it's someone who can handle the slot and let Sneed thriver on the outside. The DL gets a major boost and some potential star power in Johnson and Williams, and the OL gets another T option and potential long-term starter to develop.

Having completed the exercise and looking at the scenariors, I like the first one the most. But it really does come down to how the board breaks.

Older mocks
Spoiler!

[Reply]
Nightfyre 08:11 PM 04-18-2022
Guys, doing these mock drafts is too addictive for no apparent reason. I can never get my perfect draft. Why do I do these things several hours a day?
[Reply]
In58men 06:27 AM 04-19-2022
The “how many weapons does Mahomes need” mock.




Just did a quick 5 rounder. Going to put more effort in as we get closer lol
[Reply]
Chris Meck 06:47 AM 04-19-2022
Man, if you take one of the DT's (Windfrey, Wyatt, maybe Leal in the second) and an edge early, you can get a WR like Watson, Pierce, or Pickens in the 2nd, along with a second edge and you're pretty much golden the rest of the way. Do whatever you want, just get good football players.

This is going to be fun.
[Reply]
Dunerdr 07:39 AM 04-19-2022
The more mocks i do the more im willing to just throw numbers at cb/edge/wr/dt lol. The mocks have become a sickness. Due to a loss of visibility on some equipment my job consists of walking equipment for 30 minutes while watching netflix and 30 minutes of seat time for mock drafts.
[Reply]
The Franchise 07:40 AM 04-19-2022

Revealing my latest Mock Draft now on @GMFB .

--Giants go CROSS AND "SAUCE"
--Jets go "THIBS" and JAMESON
--Eagles go DRAKE LONDON and DEVIN LLOYD
--Packers go JAHAN DOTSON and DEVONTE WYATT

And here's the Mock Draft, for Free! https://t.co/H20nZfrlKU@nflnetwork

— Peter Schrager (@PSchrags) April 19, 2022


29 Kansas City Chiefs
George Karlaftis
Purdue · Edge · Junior
Karlaftis could go anywhere from the 20s to the 40s. If he's still on the board at No. 29, the Chiefs could scoop him up; he'd be a good fit in Steve Spagnuolo's 4-3 defense. Karlaftis, who spent his early years in Greece playing water polo, has emerged as a polished talent over the last few seasons in the Big Ten.

30 Kansas City Chiefs
Kyler Gordon
Washington · CB · Junior (RS)
The Chiefs respond to the AFC's arms race by adding another defensive back. Gordon is well-regarded around the league, with some teams liking him as much as his Washington teammate, Trent McDuffie.
[Reply]
In58men 07:42 AM 04-19-2022
I’m not sold on Karlaftis.
[Reply]
staylor26 07:46 AM 04-19-2022
Originally Posted by The Franchise:


29 Kansas City Chiefs
George Karlaftis
Purdue · Edge · Junior
Karlaftis could go anywhere from the 20s to the 40s. If he's still on the board at No. 29, the Chiefs could scoop him up; he'd be a good fit in Steve Spagnuolo's 4-3 defense. Karlaftis, who spent his early years in Greece playing water polo, has emerged as a polished talent over the last few seasons in the Big Ten.

30 Kansas City Chiefs
Kyler Gordon
Washington · CB · Junior (RS)
The Chiefs respond to the AFC's arms race by adding another defensive back. Gordon is well-regarded around the league, with some teams liking him as much as his Washington teammate, Trent McDuffie.
I think there’s a very good chance that these are our first 2 picks.

Gordon makes a lot of sense if they go corner.
[Reply]
Nightfyre 07:50 AM 04-19-2022
I find myself targeting the following players in these ranges in the pff simulator:
34-41
Daxton Hill
Dotson
Ebiketie
Jones
Pitre
Hall
Pickens

62-70
Winfrey
Enagbare
Tolbert

80-81
Phidarean Mathis
Paschal

95-102
Bryan Cook
Deangelo Malone
Taylor-Britt
Sam Williams

110-111
Zyon McCollum
Coby Bryant
Cam Jurgens

140
Amare Barno
Dominique Robinson
JT Woods
Braxton Jones

170
John Ridgeway

200+
Alex Wright
Damarri Mathis
Kalon Barnes
Kalia Davis


These feel like the big bargain zones to me, based on the simulator. Anyone else have bargains they can't pass up?
[Reply]
TambaBerry 07:58 AM 04-19-2022
Originally Posted by In58men:
I’m not sold on Karlaftis.
I like him but i think he is a high floor lower ceiling type of guy. What i mean is I don't think he'll be a bust I think he'll be a solid player just don't think he'll ever be a top rusher type of guy. I think AK is the exact opposite, super low floor could bust but super high ceiling to where he could be a legit star.
[Reply]
Chieftain 09:27 AM 04-19-2022
Originally Posted by In58men:
I’m not sold on Karlaftis.
Ryan Tracy of RGR Football thinks Karlaftis has the potential to be a bust. Wow.
Most experts have this guy rated as a 1st rounder. Who to believe?
Dan Harms in the show argues that Karlaftis is a power based guy with no bend or speed and they think he is not even a prototypical edge rusher.
[Reply]
The Franchise 09:33 AM 04-19-2022
Originally Posted by Chieftain:
Ryan Tracy of RGR Football thinks Karlaftis has the potential to be a bust. Wow.
Most experts have this guy rated as a 1st rounder. Who to believe?
Dan Harms in the show argues that Karlaftis is a power based guy with no bend or speed and they think he is not even a prototypical edge rusher.
Ryan Tracy is also just a guy doing this shit from his house.
[Reply]
CatfishBob2 09:35 AM 04-19-2022
I like their content but they both seem to have a linear way of thinking when it comes to projecting prospects
[Reply]
Tribal Warfare 09:36 AM 04-19-2022
Originally Posted by Chieftain:
Ryan Tracy of RGR Football thinks Karlaftis has the potential to be a bust. Wow.
Most experts have this guy rated as a 1st rounder. Who to believe?
Dan Harms in the show argues that Karlaftis is a power based guy with no bend or speed and they think he is not even a prototypical edge rusher.
Karlaftis style dictates he needs to gain 25 pounds more muscle to be consistently effective like a JJ Watt if you want to compare him to white dudes.
[Reply]
duncan_idaho 09:40 AM 04-19-2022
Originally Posted by Chieftain:
Ryan Tracy of RGR Football thinks Karlaftis has the potential to be a bust. Wow.
Most experts have this guy rated as a 1st rounder. Who to believe?
Dan Harms in the show argues that Karlaftis is a power based guy with no bend or speed and they think he is not even a prototypical edge rusher.
And Chris Simms thinks he's going to be better than Ryan Kerrigan.
[Reply]
CaliforniaChief 09:42 AM 04-19-2022
Pro Football Network, lots of trades.

Traded #29, #50, and #94 to Philadelphia for #15.
#15: Kayvon Thibodeaux, EDGE, Oregon
Traded #30 and the MIA 6th Rounder in '23 to Detroit for #34 and #97.
Traded #34 and #135 to Jacksonville for #33 (I panicked).
#33: Chris Olave, WR, Ohio State
Traded #62 and our '23 5th to Denver for #64 and #96.
Traded #64 to the Jets for #69 and their '23 5th round pick.
#66: Travis Jones, DT, Connecticut
#69: Cameron Thomas, EDGE, SDSU
Traded #96 and #121 to Giants for #81.
#81, Nick Cross, S, Maryland
#103, Brian Asamoah, LB, Oklahoma

Traded #233, #243, and a '23 4th rounder to TB for #133.
#133: Zyon McCollum, CB, SHSU
#251: Zander Horvath, RB, Purdue
#259: Spencer Burford, OL, UTSA


Gave up some draft capital next year, still have 7 picks though. But I think I drafted 5 to 7 guys that will make an immediate and long-term impact, particularly on defense.
[Reply]
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