Originally Posted by Prison Bitch:
A dumb hill to die on. Bruce Harper is one of the most overrated players in recent history. He has played 11 years and is worth 44.2 fWAR. So he’s a 4 win player, which is a borderline all star but not remotely close to an elite player. And he had one monster 9.3 win season in 2015 which is an obv outlier.
He’s not durable at all and sucks in the field. He was worth 2.4 wins this year while the Cards allocated that Capitol to two stars who had HOF level seasons this year (Arenado 7.3, Gold 7.1)
Yes yes yes.
The guy who didn't know who Nolan Arenado was 5 years ago and was comparing Harper to Jorge Soler is definitely the guy we want to be getting baseball insight from. [Reply]
The guy who didn't know who Nolan Arenado was 5 years ago and was comparing Harper to Jorge Soler is definitely the guy we want to be getting baseball insight from.
My question from that post was if PB shortened Goldy's name because it sounds Jewey. [Reply]
The guy who didn't know who Nolan Arenado was 5 years ago and was comparing Harper to Jorge Soler is definitely the guy we want to be getting baseball insight from.
It takes a special kind of stubborn to claim that a guy who has a averaged 4 wins/season (which is consistent all-star level performance) is not worth a contract.
Especially when he has 14.9 wins in 3 1/3 seasons for his new team, producing 4.5 wins a year even with a big injury absence in one of them (the first time in 5 years he has missed significant time to injury). Even at the conservative valuation of $6M/win, he has performed level with his average yearly salary.
And considering general inflation, that’s probably too low now. [Reply]
Originally Posted by duncan_idaho:
It takes a special kind of stubborn to claim that a guy who has a averaged 4 wins/season (which is consistent all-star level performance) is not worth a contract.
Especially when he has 14.9 wins in 3 1/3 seasons for his new team, producing 4.5 wins a year even with a big injury absence in one of them (the first time in 5 years he has missed significant time to injury). Even at the conservative valuation of $6M/win, he has performed level with his average yearly salary.
And considering general inflation, that’s probably too low now.
Excellent job arguing a point I never made. That’s a special kinda stubborn. [Reply]
Originally Posted by duncan_idaho:
It takes a special kind of stubborn to claim that a guy who has a averaged 4 wins/season (which is consistent all-star level performance) is not worth a contract.
Especially when he has 14.9 wins in 3 1/3 seasons for his new team, producing 4.5 wins a year even with a big injury absence in one of them (the first time in 5 years he has missed significant time to injury). Even at the conservative valuation of $6M/win, he has performed level with his average yearly salary.
And considering general inflation, that’s probably too low now.
Did you SEE that ball he put out to LC field to win the pennant?
I watched that swing on a loop 50 times. The things he did there were so damn incredible. I mean there's the basic stuff like keeping his head in on that pitch away at 100 mph. But what amazed the hell out of me is how he still generated power and that it wasn't an accident.
Look at how he keeps his front foot square to prevent from spinning off it. Now for a normal human being, if you keep that front foot square it's going to make you struggle to get your hips turned and convert that lower body energy. You'll waste it because you can't get the hip turn that transfers it into your back.
Harper, in the blink of an eye, dropped his back knee to allow him to keep his front side sound and still rotate his hips. He was able to see that pitch - again, 100 mph on the black away - recognize it and immediatelly fundamentally alter his base to ensure that he could still take that ball the opposite way with the authority to drive out out of the park.
A mere mortal can hit that ball and get a double out of it to maybe tie the game (but it's probably an out given the defense shift they had on him). Harper, OTOH, did one of the most amazing things I've seen a hitter do and intentionally murdered that ball oppo.
The first time I saw it I thought he mis-hit it. Then I saw his head and realized 'nah, he was trying to go oppo'. Then I saw his legs and thought "nooooo....I didn't see that..."
After a dozen more viewings I finally accepted what he did there. I'm convinced I've never seen anything like it. The whole AB was pretty impressive but that swing in particular was remarkable.
But yeah - Cardinals have no need for him... [Reply]
There remains a possibility that Maddux will stay with the #stlcards in another, perhaps advisory role. He expressed to Mozeliak a wish to have a reduced schedule, less daily grind, and Cardinals would like to talk to him about what that would look like. https://t.co/bxmmVgaEHP
Forget the HR he hit. What about the 2 strike changeup he spit on just before hitting it.
The Phillies got a former MVP for $25M AAV when guys in his circle are starting to push $35M+. He then won another MVP for the Phillies. And after he hit that HR, even the fucking Phillies owner told him he thinks he underpaid him. [Reply]
Originally Posted by Prison Bitch:
Excellent job arguing a point I never made. That’s a special kinda stubborn.
Your points fail. You've been on a quest to claim his contract with the Phillies is bad since the day he signed it.
He hasn't been a bad value:
4.5 wins/year = $27M a year in value (conservative)/$36M a year in value (medium)/$45M a year in value (aggressive)
His durability hasn't been an issue in Philly, and this year was the first time in five years he has missed significant time, and that was after a pitch hit him on the hand and broke his thumb. That's a fluke injury, not related to his general wellness or reliability.
Yes, the Cardinals acquired Goldschmidt instead of Harper and are paying him basically the same yearly salary. But they also had to trade assets to do that (a package that has earned around 8 wins in value for the Diamondbacks, with a minor leaguer who looks like they are a potential solid value still awaiting MLB service time).
And Goldschmidt withered in the postseason while Harper was a key/big factor in his team advancing to the World Series. [Reply]
Originally Posted by jd1020:
Forget the HR he hit. What about the 2 strike changeup he spit on just before hitting it.
The Phillies got a former MVP for $25M AAV when guys in his circle are starting to push $35M+. He then won another MVP for the Phillies. And after he hit that HR, even the fucking Phillies owner told him he thinks he underpaid him.
Or the 1-2 sinker that was exactly where Squarez wanted it that Harper fought off to stay alive.
Suarez will have nightmares about that AB for the rest of his life. There just wasn't a shitload he could do there. Maybe you argue that Suarez should've elevated that 1-2 fastball just a little bit more and perhaps Harper swings through it. But once Harper got into a 2-strike count, he was going to be really hard to retire away.
If there's a complaint there, it's pitch sequencing. Suarez was scared to death to come inside to him and Harper is clearly protecting at that point. Suarez had worked away the entire AB and still had a pitch to work with at 2-2.
He probably should've tried to back-door that sinker to see if he could get Harper to roll over it. You gave him too many pitches on the outer 3rd and let him get that oppo stroke dialed in. When he fouled off that 2-2 sinker, it was time to get in his kitchen. Especially after he laid off that change the next pitch.
At that point, you know you're looking to mitigate damage more than 'win' the AB. He see's seeing you well enough to just completely ignore your best pitch. So you're gonna play for a little but of luck or a single. Having just gone changeup away, flipping to sinker in might have gotten you that grounder to 2b you're looking for here. [Reply]
Originally Posted by duncan_idaho:
Your points fail. You've been on a quest to claim his contract with the Phillies is bad since the day he signed it.
He hasn't been a bad value:
4.5 wins/year = $27M a year in value (conservative)/$36M a year in value (medium)/$45M a year in value (aggressive)
His durability hasn't been an issue in Philly, and this year was the first time in five years he has missed significant time, and that was after a pitch hit him on the hand and broke his thumb. That's a fluke injury, not related to his general wellness or reliability.
Yes, the Cardinals acquired Goldschmidt instead of Harper and are paying him basically the same yearly salary. But they also had to trade assets to do that (a package that has earned around 8 wins in value for the Diamondbacks, with a minor leaguer who looks like they are a potential solid value still awaiting MLB service time).
And Goldschmidt withered in the postseason while Harper was a key/big factor in his team advancing to the World Series.
You're talking to a guy who was saying that Hosmer was a safer bet than Harper was when Hosmer was headed to FA. [Reply]
Originally Posted by duncan_idaho:
Your points fail. You've been on a quest to claim his contract with the Phillies is bad since the day he signed it.
He hasn't been a bad value:
4.5 wins/year = $27M a year in value (conservative)/$36M a year in value (medium)/$45M a year in value (aggressive)
Doubling-down on a point I didn’t even mention. Stubborn.^
Originally Posted by :
His durability hasn't been an issue in Philly, and this year was the first time in five years he has missed significant time, and that was after a pitch hit him on the hand and broke his thumb. That's a fluke injury, not related to his general wellness or reliability.
Yes, the Cardinals acquired Goldschmidt instead of Harper and are paying him basically the same yearly salary.
The total contract values for Arenado + Gold are almost = to Bruce. Cards management clearly nailed this one which was my point.
Originally Posted by :
But they also had to trade assets to do that (a package that has earned around 8 wins in value for the Diamondbacks, with a minor leaguer who looks like they are a potential solid value still awaiting MLB service time).
Ok, so? Carson Kelly has 4 wins in 4 years. He’s essentially useless and wouldn’t even play in STL anyway. WAR is a logarithmic concept as you know, so a 7 WAR season > fifteen 1 WAR seasons
Originally Posted by :
And Goldschmidt withered in the postseason while Harper was a key/big factor in his team advancing to the World Series.
Sample size. Gold career 910 OPS in playoffs, Harper 997. Bfd. And the Cards wouldn’t have even made the playoffs had they signed Harper so it’s moot. [Reply]
Consummate professional. Avatar of the org. We had one who could’ve been our Wainright in Danny Duffy. Same skill but wanted to dress up as a bear in the Locker, rapped, passed out drunk in a Burger King drive thru. Just shoot me. [Reply]