Originally Posted by Bwana:
Once again, don't come in this thread with some kind of political agenda, or you will be shown the door. If you want to go that route, there is a thread about this in DC.
Originally Posted by Dartgod:
People, there is a lot of good information in this thread, let's try to keep the petty bickering to a minimum.
We all have varying opinions about the impact of this, the numbers, etc. We will all never agree with each other. But we can all keep it civil.
Thanks!
Click here for the original OP:
Spoiler!
Apparently the CoronaVirus can survive on a inanimate objects, such as door knobs, for 9 days.
California coronavirus case could be first spread within U.S. community, CDC says
By SOUMYA KARLAMANGLA, JACLYN COSGROVE
FEB. 26, 2020 8:04 PM
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is investigating what could be the first case of novel coronavirus in the United States involving a patient in California who neither recently traveled out of the country nor was in contact with someone who did.
“At this time, the patient’s exposure is unknown. It’s possible this could be an instance of community spread of COVID-19, which would be the first time this has happened in the United States,” the CDC said in a statement. “Community spread means spread of an illness for which the source of infection is unknown. It’s also possible, however, that the patient may have been exposed to a returned traveler who was infected.”
The individual is a resident of Solano County and is receiving medical care in Sacramento County, according to the state Department of Public Health.
The CDC said the “case was detected through the U.S. public health system — picked up by astute clinicians.”
Officials at UC Davis Medical Center expanded on what the federal agency might have meant by that in an email sent Wednesday, as reported by the Davis Enterprise newspaper.
The patient arrived at UC Davis Medical Center from another hospital Feb. 19 and “had already been intubated, was on a ventilator, and given droplet protection orders because of an undiagnosed and suspected viral condition,” according to an email sent by UC Davis officials that was obtained by the Davis Enterprise.
The staff at UC Davis requested COVID-19 testing by the CDC, but because the patient didn’t fit the CDC’s existing criteria for the virus, a test wasn’t immediately administered, according to the email. The CDC then ordered the test Sunday, and results were announced Wednesday. Hospital administrators reportedly said in the email that despite these issues, there has been minimal exposure at the hospital because of safety protocols they have in place.
A UC Davis Health spokesperson declined Wednesday evening to share the email with The Times.
Since Feb. 2, more than 8,400 returning travelers from China have entered California, according to the state health department. They have been advised to self-quarantine for 14 days and limit interactions with others as much as possible, officials said.
“This is a new virus, and while we are still learning about it, there is a lot we already know,” Dr. Sonia Angell, director of the California Department of Public Health, said in a statement. “We have been anticipating the potential for such a case in the U.S., and given our close familial, social and business relationships with China, it is not unexpected that the first case in the U.S. would be in California.”
It is not clear how the person became infected, but public health workers could not identify any contacts with people who had traveled to China or other areas where the virus is widespread. That raises concern that the virus is spreading in the United States, creating a challenge for public health officials, experts say.
“It’s the first signal that we could be having silent transmission in the community,” said Lawrence Gostin, director of the World Health Organization Collaborating Center on National and Global Health Law. “It probably means there are many more cases out there, and it probably means this individual has infected others, and now it’s a race to try to find out who that person has infected.”
On Tuesday, the CDC offered its most serious warning to date that the United States should expect and prepare for the coronavirus to become a more widespread health issue.
“Ultimately, we expect we will see coronavirus spread in this country,” said Nancy Messonnier, director of the CDC’s National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases. “It’s not so much a question of if, but a question of when.”
According to the CDC’s latest count Wednesday morning, 59 U.S. residents have tested positive for the new strain of coronavirus — 42 of whom are repatriated citizens from a Diamond Princess cruise. That number has grown by two since Messonnier’s last count Tuesday, although the CDC was not immediately available to offer details on the additional cases.
More than 82,000 cases of coronavirus have been reported globally, and more than 2,700 people have died, with the majority in mainland China, the epicenter of the outbreak.
But public health leaders have repeatedly reminded residents that the health risk from the novel coronavirus to the general public remains low.
“While COVID-19 has a high transmission rate, it has a low mortality rate,” the state Department of Public Health said in a statement Wednesday. “From the international data we have, of those who have tested positive for COVID-19, approximately 80% do not exhibit symptoms that would require hospitalization. There have been no confirmed deaths related to COVID-19 in the United States to date.”
CDC officials have also warned that although the virus is likely to spread in U.S. communities, the flu still poses a greater risk.
Gostin said the news of potential silent transmission does not eliminate the possibility of containing the virus in the U.S. and preventing an outbreak.
“There are few enough cases that we should at least try,” he said. “Most of us are not optimistic that that will be successful, but we’re still in the position to try.”
You guys are talking about people who have lost their lives like you were counting M&M's..and are just convinced you get to keep counting an endless supply. [Reply]
Originally Posted by Marcellus:
So Pete and Ringleader going back and forth doesn't bother you a bit? 10x more than me and Donger? Got it.
Yeah Pete has been going at it with damn near everybody and I have mentioned it as well.
I have only been in this thread 3 or 4 times today. Every time I have been in here today, if it was not the first post it was on the first page of posts, you and Donger were going at it. This time he is not online and you are taking a cheap shot when he is not around. [Reply]
Originally Posted by petegz28:
I already answered your question. But again, the math is not as simple as you are making it out to be. There is a finite number of people "at risk". We are increasing the number of ventilators. We are social distancing. We are locking things down.
Your math is not accounting for any of that or at least it doesn't appear to be.
We have way more than enough data to determine trends. You are absolutely right that there are a lot of variables. The overall numbers are sufficient to account for most of what you’re pointing out.
I used the math in a post yesterday to come to a daily number of 216 yesterday. It was 206. Tomorrow the math says 341. I guess we’ll see.
Originally Posted by eDave:
We look similar. Good looking dude.
Def. I bet both of your guys veins pop during sex causing a faster orgasm for your partner. Obviously I'm not a scientist so this is impossible for me to prove. [Reply]
Originally Posted by petegz28:
You have absolutely no way of knowing that. For you to even to begin to know that you would have to know the exact number of people who are infected, asymptomatic or otherwise, and you don't. None of us do.
This is what people smarter than me say. Although you can look at every country, when they went on lockdown, and what the trend was. If you can point to an example where this isn’t a fact I’m happy to be proven wrong. [Reply]
Originally Posted by BigRedChief:
advocating for the mass death of Americans as a good thing? Really? :-)
Hear me out as I make an ass out of myself, I'm not saying anyone's life should be considered greater than another's. I'm just saying there are people in this world who wouldn't be a great loss...
Now hear me out because I know I'm losing you; people you know, I'm sure you can come up with a few, would probably be better in a cemetery than actual existence.
Keep in mind this is all in a humorous state of mind and I hope you take no offense, I was just trying and (apparently failing) to add some levity to a dark situation [Reply]
Originally Posted by Chief Roundup:
Yeah Pete has been going at it with damn near everybody and I have mentioned it as well.
I have only been in this thread 3 or 4 times today. Every time I have been in here today, if it was not the first post it was on the first page of posts, you and Donger were going at it. This time he is not online and you are taking a cheap shot when he is not around.
I was talking to Pete about numbers. I give a shit if you are worried about Dongers feelings when he isn't around and I am talking to another poster. His article was bullshit. Your choice to white night. [Reply]
Originally Posted by stevieray:
You guys are talking about people who have lost their lives like you were counting M&M's..and are just convinced you get to keep counting an endless supply.
You can really only count on the next 2-3 weeks of growth at whatever the rate of exponential growth is. After that you see the curve bent and eventually enough people get sick to also contribute to it.
Anyone who says we’re doubling at a rate of three days or four days and that means there will be 25,000,000 people infect in 12 weeks is absolutely wrong. [Reply]
