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Nzoner's Game Room>***NON-POLITICAL COVID-19 Discussion Thread***
JakeF 10:28 PM 02-26-2020
A couple of reminders...

Originally Posted by Bwana:
Once again, don't come in this thread with some kind of political agenda, or you will be shown the door. If you want to go that route, there is a thread about this in DC.
Originally Posted by Dartgod:
People, there is a lot of good information in this thread, let's try to keep the petty bickering to a minimum.

We all have varying opinions about the impact of this, the numbers, etc. We will all never agree with each other. But we can all keep it civil.

Thanks!

Click here for the original OP:

Spoiler!

[Reply]
BigRedChief 08:04 AM 03-24-2020
Originally Posted by displacedinMN:
Wisconsin instituted a safer at home order. Non essentials closed. Limited trips out. Still some confusion.
17-18 states now have mandatory stay at home orders.


45K positive tests in the USA
21K in NY alone
550+ deaths in the USA
[Reply]
O.city 08:08 AM 03-24-2020
Originally Posted by Marcellus:
That level of infection hasn't happened anywhere else, not even remotely close.
With our lack of testing mild and asymptomatic cases, we dont' really know if it has.

We will need to start running serology tests to check for immune responses and who has antibodies to this to really figure it out.
[Reply]
Marcellus 08:09 AM 03-24-2020
Originally Posted by O.city:
With our lack of testing mild and asymptomatic cases, we dont' really know if it has.

We will need to start running serology tests to check for immune responses and who has antibodies to this to really figure it out.
:-)

One thing to keep in mind S Korea tested a shit ton of people and I think 96% were negative.
[Reply]
mdchiefsfan 08:09 AM 03-24-2020
Originally Posted by Monticore:
So if new york keeps getting a high number of positives in the next few days it’s not a good sign because it won’t be due increased testing but more hospitalizations. Let’s hope numbers are low.
I think we are already seeing reduced reports due to lack of testing. The curve appears to be flattening out, but I doubt it is from successful prevention.
[Reply]
TLO 08:10 AM 03-24-2020
Originally Posted by O.city:
With our lack of testing mild and asymptomatic cases, we dont' really know if it has.

We will need to start running serology tests to check for immune responses and who has antibodies to this to really figure it out.
How practical is that to roll out on s large scale?
[Reply]
JakeLV 08:11 AM 03-24-2020
Originally Posted by Donger:
I'm still trying to understand why SARS v1.0 didn't have anywhere near the impact here or globally that SARS v2.0 already has.
1.0 was less infectious. I’ll look for the article, but something like 1/10 or 1/100 the amount of virus was in the throats in 1.0 vs 2.0, so it didn’t have the ability to spread like this one.
[Reply]
Marcellus 08:11 AM 03-24-2020
Originally Posted by mdchiefsfan:
I think we are already seeing reduced reports due to lack of testing. The curve appears to be flattening out, but I doubt it is from successful prevention.
Is there a curve that means more than deaths? No way we will know who is walking around with no symptoms but we will know who dies from it so that number is a pretty solid indicator.
[Reply]
O.city 08:12 AM 03-24-2020
Originally Posted by Donger:
I'm still trying to understand why SARS v1.0 didn't have anywhere near the impact here or globally that SARS v2.0 already has.
To be honest, we got lucky. IIRC, it burned out quickly or mutated to a less severe version.
[Reply]
O.city 08:13 AM 03-24-2020
Originally Posted by TLO:
How practical is that to roll out on s large scale?
Which part?
[Reply]
BigRedChief 08:13 AM 03-24-2020
Originally Posted by BWillie:
We are going to eventually take over Italy for the most coronavirus cases.

USA USA USA USA
Originally Posted by TLO:
Well, we have a lot of people in the USA USA
330 million


We may zoom past China and their 1.4 BILLION citizens before this is all over
[Reply]
O.city 08:14 AM 03-24-2020
Originally Posted by BigRedChief:
330 million


We may zoom past China and their 1.4 BILLION citizens before this is all over
Depends.

If this is going the way it is, China was lying about their numbers.
[Reply]
Marcellus 08:14 AM 03-24-2020
Originally Posted by BigRedChief:
330 million


We may zoom past China and their 1.4 BILLION citizens before this is all over
That's going to take one hell of a baby boom.
[Reply]
Donger 08:14 AM 03-24-2020
Originally Posted by JakeLV:
1.0 was less infectious. I’ll look for the article, but something like 1/10 or 1/100 the amount of virus was in the throats in 1.0 vs 2.0, so it didn’t have the ability to spread like this one.
Yet it had an R0 of 2.2
[Reply]
O.city 08:15 AM 03-24-2020
Originally Posted by Donger:
Yet it had an R0 of 2.2
I've read some things coming out of South korea and japan where they think this may have an R0 of 5.5/6. That's wild.
[Reply]
BigRedChief 08:17 AM 03-24-2020
Originally Posted by mdchiefsfan:
I think we are already seeing reduced reports due to lack of testing. The curve appears to be flattening out, but I doubt it is from successful prevention.
Most are saying its going to peak in 1-3 weeks here in the USA. Whenever it occurs, that's when we will know how overwhelmed the hospitals got or will get.
[Reply]
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