If Mahomes checks into a run a lot when Cincy has a 3 man DL, that will help. Same goes for when Hendrickson is lined up on the far outside shoulder of Orlando.
That’s how he’s going to beat them dropping 8 when he has limited mobility. [Reply]
Originally Posted by BossChief:
If Mahomes checks into a run a lot when Cincy has a 3 man DL, that will help. Same goes for when Hendrickson is lined up on the far outside shoulder of Orlando.
That’s how he’s going to beat them dropping 8 when he has limited mobility.
Cincy has already shown they've adapted how they use their 3 man fronts last time we played them.
They're holding it for obvious 3rd and longs. Beyond that, they weren't really using it.
So i don't expect the "run it against their 3 man fronts" to be part of the game at all, considering those opportunities will mostly only be in long passing situations, at which point, you're conceding the down by running it. [Reply]
Originally Posted by Direckshun:
Vegas seems to believe Mahomes is really, really hobbled.
That is worrisome.
Not true.
Vegas sets lines based on the public. They want equal money on both sides. That’s why the line has moved and will keep moving until bets start coming in on the Chiefs. [Reply]
We put 21 on them last year and if not for a major gaffe would’ve been at least 24. They came out after half and threw something at us on defense we had never seen and it got into Pat’s head. Now that we have seen that defense, we should be able to attack it with Andy being the wizard he is. Sure they might have some new wrinkles, but I don’t see any reason we can’t play as well as last year and put it on them. [Reply]
Originally Posted by ptlyon:
Line now is Cincinnati -2.5
Perfect. I doubt it'll hit 3.5, but just you wait and see the $bombs that'll come in on KC +3.5 and KC ML if the public continues to follow the herd as it always does.
KC's team total also dropped to 22.5. It's gonna be so much fun watching KC win the AFCCG while making a bunch of money too.
I'm starting to like this even more than my two 4-figure bets last weekend on Philly -8 and NYG team total under 19.5. Both against the heavy public action. [Reply]