We know vaccines reduce your risk of infection, but they aren't *perfect.* Then what fraction of transmission in the population is from the vaccinated? How might this change with new variants?
— Natalie E. Dean, PhD (@nataliexdean) July 23, 2021
In the thread below, I share a mental model with worked examples. 1/11 pic.twitter.com/KROyff6CCr
So, some of the vaccines are 90-95% effective, with a few risks like Bell’s Palsy and you know, death. But, if I were to catch the virus, quarantine and then continue living a normal healthy life, without the vaccine, that’s 99.91% effective? Just asking for a friend...
— Stephen Harmon (@stephenharmon) December 20, 2020
i’m choosing to going under intubation, i’ve fought this thing as hard as i can but unfortunately it’s reached a point of critical choice & as much as i hate having to do this i’d rather it be willingness than forced emergency procedure. don’t know when i’ll wake up, please pray.
— Stephen Harmon (@stephenharmon) July 21, 2021
So, some of the vaccines are 90-95% effective, with a few risks like Bell’s Palsy and you know, death. But, if I were to catch the virus, quarantine and then continue living a normal healthy life, without the vaccine, that’s 99.91% effective? Just asking for a friend...
— Stephen Harmon (@stephenharmon) December 20, 2020
i’m choosing to going under intubation, i’ve fought this thing as hard as i can but unfortunately it’s reached a point of critical choice & as much as i hate having to do this i’d rather it be willingness than forced emergency procedure. don’t know when i’ll wake up, please pray.
— Stephen Harmon (@stephenharmon) July 21, 2021
Ben has just passed on to us the devastating news that our beloved friend, Stephen Harmon has passed away from Covid. Heartbreaking.
— Brian Houston (@BrianCHouston) July 22, 2021
So, some of the vaccines are 90-95% effective, with a few risks like Bell’s Palsy and you know, death. But, if I were to catch the virus, quarantine and then continue living a normal healthy life, without the vaccine, that’s 99.91% effective? Just asking for a friend...
— Stephen Harmon (@stephenharmon) December 20, 2020
i’m choosing to going under intubation, i’ve fought this thing as hard as i can but unfortunately it’s reached a point of critical choice & as much as i hate having to do this i’d rather it be willingness than forced emergency procedure. don’t know when i’ll wake up, please pray.
— Stephen Harmon (@stephenharmon) July 21, 2021
Ben has just passed on to us the devastating news that our beloved friend, Stephen Harmon has passed away from Covid. Heartbreaking.
— Brian Houston (@BrianCHouston) July 22, 2021
So, some of the vaccines are 90-95% effective, with a few risks like Bell’s Palsy and you know, death. But, if I were to catch the virus, quarantine and then continue living a normal healthy life, without the vaccine, that’s 99.91% effective? Just asking for a friend...
— Stephen Harmon (@stephenharmon) December 20, 2020
i’m choosing to going under intubation, i’ve fought this thing as hard as i can but unfortunately it’s reached a point of critical choice & as much as i hate having to do this i’d rather it be willingness than forced emergency procedure. don’t know when i’ll wake up, please pray.
— Stephen Harmon (@stephenharmon) July 21, 2021