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Nzoner's Game Room>***NON-POLITICAL COVID-19 Discussion Thread***
JakeF 10:28 PM 02-26-2020
A couple of reminders...

Originally Posted by Bwana:
Once again, don't come in this thread with some kind of political agenda, or you will be shown the door. If you want to go that route, there is a thread about this in DC.
Originally Posted by Dartgod:
People, there is a lot of good information in this thread, let's try to keep the petty bickering to a minimum.

We all have varying opinions about the impact of this, the numbers, etc. We will all never agree with each other. But we can all keep it civil.

Thanks!

Click here for the original OP:

Spoiler!

[Reply]
Marcellus 10:36 AM 04-08-2020
Originally Posted by DaFace:
It's just not worth the effort when you guys clearly 1) don't understand the concept of modeling and what it can and can't do and 2) don't even read the charts right. Just as a start, they never predicted 340 per day, even in the original estimate from 2 weeks ago. It was an upper bound of a confidence interval.

Shoot me the link to the older model, It absolutely had a peak of around 340.
[Reply]
FloridaMan88 10:37 AM 04-08-2020
Originally Posted by 'Hamas' Jenkins:
Medical experts told you to stay at home to limit the spread. More people stayed at home than even they anticipated. Consequently, the spread was limited far better than projected.
So last week when Fauci/Birx were presenting 100,000 to 240,000 deaths as a "best case scenario" based on the modeling, that was not factoring in strict adherence to social distancing measures?
[Reply]
stumppy 10:37 AM 04-08-2020
Originally Posted by Dartgod:
The two largest metro areas, KC and St. Louis enacted SIP long before Missouri made it mandatory statewide.

That's pretty significant.
So did Springfield. That's the three largest cities in the state.
[Reply]
Demonpenz 10:40 AM 04-08-2020
Originally Posted by KCChiefsFan88:
Seems unclear why so many people want to stay on the panic/hysteria train.
Don't want to work and don't want to work with people or deal with people. Don't want other people to be happy. Misery loves company.
[Reply]
Demonpenz 10:41 AM 04-08-2020
Originally Posted by stumppy:
So did Springfield. That's the three largest cities in the state.
st joe was 3 or 4 weeks ago.
[Reply]
BleedingRed 10:41 AM 04-08-2020
Originally Posted by KCChiefsFan88:
So last week when Fauci/Birx were presenting 100,000 to 240,000 deaths as a "best case scenario" based on the modeling, that was not factoring in strict adherence to social distancing measures?
the model factored in social distancing. But I don't know how extreme the social distancing data set was.

That being said the model are all TRENDING the right direction. bigly
[Reply]
'Hamas' Jenkins 10:41 AM 04-08-2020
Originally Posted by KCChiefsFan88:
So last week when Fauci/Birx were presenting 100,000 to 240,000 deaths as a "best case scenario" based on the modeling, that was not factoring in strict adherence to social distancing measures?
Based on the modeling with 50 percent adherence, I believe. And this is not over. Open it up way too soon and you'll get much lower rates of adherence in line with the more dour predictions.
[Reply]
Demonpenz 10:42 AM 04-08-2020
Also news and crisis are cheap thrill entertainment
[Reply]
FloridaMan88 10:42 AM 04-08-2020
Originally Posted by BleedingRed:
the model factored in social distancing. But I don't know how extreme the social distancing data set was.

That being said the model are all TRENDING the right direction. bigly
They said it was based on the "current levels of social distancing", which was current as of last week.

Has that much changed with social distancing since last week?
[Reply]
Dartgod 10:43 AM 04-08-2020
Originally Posted by Demonpenz:
st joe was 3 or 4 weeks ago.
They don't count. You guys are practically Nebraska anyway.
[Reply]
'Hamas' Jenkins 10:43 AM 04-08-2020
Originally Posted by Marcellus:
Shoot me the link to the older model, It absolutely had a peak of around 340.
You're looking right at the goddamned thing.
[Reply]
Donger 10:46 AM 04-08-2020
Already over a thousand deaths. I hate this bug.
[Reply]
Pants 10:46 AM 04-08-2020
Originally Posted by 'Hamas' Jenkins:
You're looking right at the goddamned thing.
Obviously, he's referring to the upper limit of the range.

Why are we even wasting time on these people?
[Reply]
Donger 10:46 AM 04-08-2020
Originally Posted by 'Hamas' Jenkins:
You're looking right at the goddamned thing.
:-)
[Reply]
Pants 10:46 AM 04-08-2020
Originally Posted by Donger:
Already over a thousand deaths. I hate this bug.
Perfect time to open everything back up!
[Reply]
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