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Nzoner's Game Room>***NON-POLITICAL COVID-19 Discussion Thread***
JakeF 10:28 PM 02-26-2020
A couple of reminders...

Originally Posted by Bwana:
Once again, don't come in this thread with some kind of political agenda, or you will be shown the door. If you want to go that route, there is a thread about this in DC.
Originally Posted by Dartgod:
People, there is a lot of good information in this thread, let's try to keep the petty bickering to a minimum.

We all have varying opinions about the impact of this, the numbers, etc. We will all never agree with each other. But we can all keep it civil.

Thanks!

Click here for the original OP:

Spoiler!

[Reply]
Monticore 07:59 AM 05-05-2020
Originally Posted by O.city:
That's the hope atleast. It would make some sense as it's the normal progression for viruses.
That would also change on how to deal with it.
[Reply]
O.city 08:02 AM 05-05-2020
Originally Posted by Monticore:
That would also change on how to deal with it.
For sure.

I'm hopeful on it.
[Reply]
Monticore 08:06 AM 05-05-2020
Originally Posted by BigCatDaddy:
https://www.dailywire.com/news/shock...ign=benshapiro

Will the cure be worse?

The*New York Times reports*that the United States Chamber of Commerce estimates “more than 40 percent of the nation’s 30 million small businesses could close permanently in the next six months” — a statistic entirely attributable to the coronavirus pandemic and ensuing lockdowns.
So people screaming at the inaccuracies of the COVID models and guestimates are going all in on the financial models and guestimates.
[Reply]
dirk digler 08:07 AM 05-05-2020
Originally Posted by O.city:
That's the hope atleast. It would make some sense as it's the normal progression for viruses.

Could we get that lucky? I might cut my right nut off for that.
[Reply]
Monticore 08:08 AM 05-05-2020
Originally Posted by O.city:
For sure.

I'm hopeful on it.
Would lockdowns downs help it die out sooner or the Sweden model that I am not sure.
[Reply]
DaFace 08:09 AM 05-05-2020
Originally Posted by Monticore:
So people screaming at the inaccuracies of the COVID models and guestimates are going all in on the financial models and guestimates.
Interesting observation.
[Reply]
IowaHawkeyeChief 08:11 AM 05-05-2020
Originally Posted by Monticore:
Wrong spelling, sorry used to writing the one way more than the other.

Some parts are extremely busy and some are not , unfortunately not all departments are qualified to deal with these patients, and the amount of patients in a hospital doesn’t always tell the true story, dealing with 1 covid patient might need a lot more resources and time , than dealing with a broken leg.
I was just giving you some crap... I added the :-)
[Reply]
stumppy 08:11 AM 05-05-2020
Originally Posted by Monticore:
So people screaming at the inaccuracies of the COVID models and guestimates are going all in on the financial models and guestimates.
There's also something else they have in common. A little reading in CPDC will tell you what it is.
[Reply]
Monticore 08:14 AM 05-05-2020
Originally Posted by IowaHawkeyeChief:
I was just giving you some crap... I added the :-)
To be honest I have no clue what most of the emogies mean lol, I had a flip phone untill a few years ago .
[Reply]
BigCatDaddy 08:17 AM 05-05-2020
Originally Posted by Monticore:
So people screaming at the inaccuracies of the COVID models and guestimates are going all in on the financial models and guestimates.
I give up with you dipshits.

Ok..Sure, lets shut shit down for months and every thing will be the way it was right away. Lets go with that. JFC

I see why DJ left this cesspool thread.
[Reply]
O.city 08:19 AM 05-05-2020
Originally Posted by dirk digler:
Could we get that lucky? I might cut my right nut off for that.
Originally Posted by Monticore:
Would lockdowns downs help it die out sooner or the Sweden model that I am not sure.
I would think the more chances it has to spread the more chances for mRNA to fuck it up. But that's not scientific at all.
[Reply]
loochy 08:20 AM 05-05-2020
Originally Posted by Monticore:
So people screaming at the inaccuracies of the COVID models and guestimates are going all in on the financial models and guestimates.



That's quite a zinger. (really, it is. I'm not being sarcastic)
[Reply]
IowaHawkeyeChief 08:21 AM 05-05-2020
Originally Posted by Monticore:
Would lockdowns downs help it die out sooner or the Sweden model that I am not sure.
I have been reading the Imperial College Model which is said to be the main reason for the "lockdown" in Mid March. They predicted 2.2 million deaths in the US without mitigation, a 50% reductions with partial mitigation, and 65% with full mitigation for 12-18 months. Obviously they were wrong early. They also did a 3-5 month mitigation, with schools closed and social isolation as we have done in the US. This is a quote from the model:

https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imp...9-Report-9.pdf

Originally Posted by :
Once interventions are relaxed (in the example in Figure 3, from September onwards), infections begin to rise, resulting in a predicted peak epidemic later in the year. The more successful a strategy is at temporary suppression, the larger the later epidemic is predicted to be in the absence of vaccination, due to lesser build-up of herd immunity.
This is why I am leaning Sweden as this virus is here, and absence a vaccine, will touch every corner.
[Reply]
O.city 08:23 AM 05-05-2020
If you can get the infections low enough, you can test and trace out which would allow you to reopen the economy.
[Reply]
BWillie 08:23 AM 05-05-2020
New York with 11,571 new Covid cases on April 15th. Yesterday they had 2,538.

New Jersey 4,287 new cases on April 15th. Yesterday they had 1,525.

Connecticut with 2,109 cases on April 15th. Yesterday 523.

The east coast hot spot was where the majority of new cases so this is very encouraging. The rest of the country as a whole is going up a little it seems but I'm encouraged by seeing more and more people wearing masks wherever I go.
[Reply]
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