NFL odds: After Sunday night, Patrick Mahomes is now the overwhelming NFL MVP favorite
Frank Schwab 2 hrs ago
We can cease and desist with any debate about someone other than Patrick Mahomes being the NFL MVP favorite.
You’ll hear people argue that Kyler Murray, Russell Wilson, Alvin Kamara or anyone else should be “in the conversation,” but the only real talk is that the Kansas City Chiefs quarterback is the overwhelming favorite until further notice. Everyone else is vying for NFL offensive player of the year, though Mahomes should probably win that too.
Sunday night’s heroics, leading a game-winning drive over the Las Vegas Raiders everyone knew was coming, solidified Mahomes’ position. He’s the best player in football and he’s having a phenomenal year.
The odds at BetMGM reflect that.
Mahomes is -118 to win MVP at BetMGM. Next on the list is Wilson at +350. Aaron Rodgers is +550 and nobody else is less than 12-to-1. [Reply]
Originally Posted by comochiefsfan:
Losing to the Saints with Taysom Hill at QB (assuming Brees is still out) would be a major embarrassment.
I don't see how Brees could be back. Not with 11 cracked or broken ribs and a collapsed lung. I would assume they would almost have to go with Winston over Hill at that point. Hill's not going to be able to keep up with Mahomes. [Reply]
Am I seeing this wrong or could Patrick hit 5,000 yds again? ESPN says he’s over 3,300 yds, and that he’s thrown for nearly 1,500 in just the last 3 games? I think their stat leaderboard hasn’t updated yet so not sure I’ve got the totals right? [Reply]
Originally Posted by Megatron96:
Am I seeing this wrong or could Patrick hit 5,000 yds again? ESPN says he’s over 3,300 yds, and that he’s thrown for nearly 1,500 in just the last 3 games? I think their stat leaderboard hasn’t updated yet so not sure I’ve got the totals right?
He's at basically 3500 yds (3497), so he's on pace for 5090 yds 44 TDs and 2 or 3 ints. He does that and we get home field or the 2 spot, then there is no way he's not getting that MVP. [Reply]
Originally Posted by Megatron96:
Am I seeing this wrong or could Patrick hit 5,000 yds again? ESPN says he’s over 3,300 yds, and that he’s thrown for nearly 1,500 in just the last 3 games? I think their stat leaderboard hasn’t updated yet so not sure I’ve got the totals right?
Last 4 games he's at 1600 yds and 14 TDs. That is a place of 6400 yds and 56 TDs. [Reply]
Originally Posted by dlphg9:
Last 4 games he's at 1600 yds and 14 TDs. That is a place of 6400 yds and 56 TDs.
Damn. That's fucking nuts. Yeah I could see him finishing with around 5200 yards 45-48 touchdowns and 4 picks. He'll also have around 300-350 yards rushing and probably 3 rushing touchdowns. Do that and he's easily the MVP. [Reply]
In only 11 games, Mahomes has basically tied his 2018 season already in Points Added Above the Average QB. He’s on pace to break Tom Brady’s 2007 record of 96 PAA. Even though Aaron Rodgers is having a MVP quality season, he is pretty far behind Mahomes in this PAA stat. Mahomes on pace for 104 PAA and Rodgers on pace for 78 PAA.
Originally Posted by dlphg9:
He's at basically 3500 yds (3497), so he's on pace for 5090 yds 44 TDs and 2 or 3 ints. He does that and we get home field or the 2 spot, then there is no way he's not getting that MVP.
I literally rubbed my eyes after I saw Pat's current season stats. I had to grab my phone and make sure of the math. All he has to do is average 300.5 yards/game, throw his season average for TDs/game, and not throw more than say, 4 more picks, and he's going to throw for 5,000 yards for the second time in three seasons, 43-46 TDs, and be a lock for MVP.
That's just insane. I remember after 2018 positing the crazy idea that 5,000 yards and 45 TDs just might be Patrick's 'average.' I was half-kidding at the time, but he's actually doing it now.
And what's really nutz is that there's still room for significant improvement. He could clean up a few things and then who knows? 5,600 yards and 60 TDs? 6,000 yards and 70 TDs? How many TD passes has he missed just this season? 3? 4? I think I remember 5?
