Originally Posted by Bwana:
Once again, don't come in this thread with some kind of political agenda, or you will be shown the door. If you want to go that route, there is a thread about this in DC.
Originally Posted by Dartgod:
People, there is a lot of good information in this thread, let's try to keep the petty bickering to a minimum.
We all have varying opinions about the impact of this, the numbers, etc. We will all never agree with each other. But we can all keep it civil.
Thanks!
Click here for the original OP:
Spoiler!
Apparently the CoronaVirus can survive on a inanimate objects, such as door knobs, for 9 days.
California coronavirus case could be first spread within U.S. community, CDC says
By SOUMYA KARLAMANGLA, JACLYN COSGROVE
FEB. 26, 2020 8:04 PM
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is investigating what could be the first case of novel coronavirus in the United States involving a patient in California who neither recently traveled out of the country nor was in contact with someone who did.
“At this time, the patient’s exposure is unknown. It’s possible this could be an instance of community spread of COVID-19, which would be the first time this has happened in the United States,” the CDC said in a statement. “Community spread means spread of an illness for which the source of infection is unknown. It’s also possible, however, that the patient may have been exposed to a returned traveler who was infected.”
The individual is a resident of Solano County and is receiving medical care in Sacramento County, according to the state Department of Public Health.
The CDC said the “case was detected through the U.S. public health system — picked up by astute clinicians.”
Officials at UC Davis Medical Center expanded on what the federal agency might have meant by that in an email sent Wednesday, as reported by the Davis Enterprise newspaper.
The patient arrived at UC Davis Medical Center from another hospital Feb. 19 and “had already been intubated, was on a ventilator, and given droplet protection orders because of an undiagnosed and suspected viral condition,” according to an email sent by UC Davis officials that was obtained by the Davis Enterprise.
The staff at UC Davis requested COVID-19 testing by the CDC, but because the patient didn’t fit the CDC’s existing criteria for the virus, a test wasn’t immediately administered, according to the email. The CDC then ordered the test Sunday, and results were announced Wednesday. Hospital administrators reportedly said in the email that despite these issues, there has been minimal exposure at the hospital because of safety protocols they have in place.
A UC Davis Health spokesperson declined Wednesday evening to share the email with The Times.
Since Feb. 2, more than 8,400 returning travelers from China have entered California, according to the state health department. They have been advised to self-quarantine for 14 days and limit interactions with others as much as possible, officials said.
“This is a new virus, and while we are still learning about it, there is a lot we already know,” Dr. Sonia Angell, director of the California Department of Public Health, said in a statement. “We have been anticipating the potential for such a case in the U.S., and given our close familial, social and business relationships with China, it is not unexpected that the first case in the U.S. would be in California.”
It is not clear how the person became infected, but public health workers could not identify any contacts with people who had traveled to China or other areas where the virus is widespread. That raises concern that the virus is spreading in the United States, creating a challenge for public health officials, experts say.
“It’s the first signal that we could be having silent transmission in the community,” said Lawrence Gostin, director of the World Health Organization Collaborating Center on National and Global Health Law. “It probably means there are many more cases out there, and it probably means this individual has infected others, and now it’s a race to try to find out who that person has infected.”
On Tuesday, the CDC offered its most serious warning to date that the United States should expect and prepare for the coronavirus to become a more widespread health issue.
“Ultimately, we expect we will see coronavirus spread in this country,” said Nancy Messonnier, director of the CDC’s National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases. “It’s not so much a question of if, but a question of when.”
According to the CDC’s latest count Wednesday morning, 59 U.S. residents have tested positive for the new strain of coronavirus — 42 of whom are repatriated citizens from a Diamond Princess cruise. That number has grown by two since Messonnier’s last count Tuesday, although the CDC was not immediately available to offer details on the additional cases.
More than 82,000 cases of coronavirus have been reported globally, and more than 2,700 people have died, with the majority in mainland China, the epicenter of the outbreak.
But public health leaders have repeatedly reminded residents that the health risk from the novel coronavirus to the general public remains low.
“While COVID-19 has a high transmission rate, it has a low mortality rate,” the state Department of Public Health said in a statement Wednesday. “From the international data we have, of those who have tested positive for COVID-19, approximately 80% do not exhibit symptoms that would require hospitalization. There have been no confirmed deaths related to COVID-19 in the United States to date.”
CDC officials have also warned that although the virus is likely to spread in U.S. communities, the flu still poses a greater risk.
Gostin said the news of potential silent transmission does not eliminate the possibility of containing the virus in the U.S. and preventing an outbreak.
“There are few enough cases that we should at least try,” he said. “Most of us are not optimistic that that will be successful, but we’re still in the position to try.”
Not sure if it's been discussed here or not, but the "recovered" numbers for COVID-19 pretty much have to be way, way, WAY off. For most of last 2 months, there were 20K- 30K+ "new" cases per day. By this point I would expect to see similar volumes of newly recovered each day. But it's not even close to that. Last 24 hours show around 12Kish recovered. Not sure that stat is even worth tracking. [Reply]
Originally Posted by wazu:
Not sure if it's been discussed here or not, but the "recovered" numbers for COVID-19 pretty much have to be way, way, WAY off. For most of last 2 months, there were 20K- 30K+ "new" cases per day. By this point I would expect to see similar volumes of newly recovered each day. But it's not even close to that. Last 24 hours show around 12Kish recovered. Not sure that stat is even worth tracking.
A lot of people get tested and go back home. "Recovered" probably refers to hospitalizations and isn't useful unless there's a corresponding number of people admitted into a hospital. [Reply]
Originally Posted by alnorth:
A lot of people get tested and go back home. "Recovered" probably refers to hospitalizations and isn't useful unless there's a corresponding number of people admitted into a hospital.
Yeah, the problem is they have it out there and "active cases" looks like we have 1.2 million and growing daily. Reality is I'd think the active number should be creeping down, if not in full free-fall. [Reply]
Originally Posted by wazu:
Yeah, the problem is they have it out there and "active cases" looks like we have 1.2 million and growing daily. Reality is I'd think the active number should be creeping down, if not in full free-fall.
I am not sure how they define "recovered" but I do know it takes a lot longer to to confirm recovery than you would think. Or at least it used to be like that. [Reply]
Originally Posted by Why Not?:
This is my family’s biggest bummer right now. As grateful as I am that no kids sports is my family’s biggest concern, it still sucks
We've got baseball practices back underway with games being scheduled through the summer. So MLB may not be able to work it out but youth sports are back in KC. [Reply]
Originally Posted by Mecca:
They were running their crazy memorial day sale so that contributed, but it's like why is buying a new couch such a pain in the ass.
I need three new couches, I feel bad throwing them out and the cost of recovering them isn't worth it because they are broken down, but finding one I like is a PIA. [Reply]
Originally Posted by wazu:
Yeah, the problem is they have it out there and "active cases" looks like we have 1.2 million and growing daily. Reality is I'd think the active number should be creeping down, if not in full free-fall.
Not everybody gets tested I assume to be considered recovered and some symptoms can linger for a month or more so the recovered data is iffy , not every region will do it the same either I assume. [Reply]
Took a leap of faith and ordered a new couch online because I stay home to save lives. Had it delivered and fortunately it's perfect. Already knowing what you like helps, but yeah, buying a couch without sitting on it can be daunting. [Reply]
The CDC also says its "best estimate" is that 0.4% of people who show symptoms and have Covid-19 will die, and the agency estimates that 35% of coronavirus transmission is occurring before people feel sick.
Originally Posted by Monticore:
Not everybody gets tested I assume to be considered recovered and some symptoms can linger for a month or more so the recovered data is iffy , not every region will do it the same either I assume.
Agreed, which means the numbers are meaningless. At this point the only stat worth anything is probably daily death toll. [Reply]
Originally Posted by Why Not?:
This is my family’s biggest bummer right now. As grateful as I am that no kids sports is my family’s biggest concern, it still sucks
I will never complain about driving the kids to practice ever again, the only positive is my kids have been working on skill work so when they do go back they will have improved in some areas. [Reply]
Originally Posted by wazu:
Yeah, the problem is they have it out there and "active cases" looks like we have 1.2 million and growing daily. Reality is I'd think the active number should be creeping down, if not in full free-fall.
you're about to see a jump in positive cases because of the way some places, including Mo are changing the way they counted them. It used to be number of positive tests\total number of tests given. They are changing that to positive tests\number of people tested. [Reply]