Originally Posted by jd1020:
A few thousand people bring local hospitals to their knees and some people believe getting a few million people infected at the same time is the answer...
The estimation for herd immunity of COVID is 70% of the population in the US having RECOVERED from the virus. That's more than 200 million people. Ya... lets just get some herd immunity up in this bitch.
Herd immunity thresholds for SARS-CoV-2 estimated from unfolding epidemics
Ricardo Aguas, Rodrigo M. Corder, Jessica G. King, Guilherme Goncalves, Marcelo U. Ferreira, M. Gabriela M. Gomes
doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.07.23.20160762
Our inferences result in herd immunity thresholds around 10-20%, considerably lower than the minimum coverage needed to interrupt transmission by random vaccination, which for R_0 higher than 2.5 is estimated above 60%. We emphasize that the classical formula, 1-1⁄R_0 , remains applicable to describe herd immunity thresholds for random vaccination, but not for immunity induced by infection which is naturally selective. These findings have profound consequences for the governance of the current pandemic given that some populations may be close to achieving herd immunity despite being under more or less strict social distancing measures. https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1....23.20160762v1
Effects like this—“selective depletion” of people who are more susceptible—can quickly decelerate a virus’s spread. When Gomes uses this sort of pattern to model the coronavirus’s spread, the compounding effects of heterogeneity seem to show that the onslaught of cases and deaths seen in initial spikes around the world are unlikely to happen a second time. Based on data from several countries in Europe, she said, her results show a herd-immunity threshold much lower than that of other models.
“We just keep running the models, and it keeps coming back at less than 20 percent,” Gomes said. “It’s very striking.”
If that proves correct, it would be life-altering news. It wouldn’t mean that the virus is gone. But by Gomes’s estimates, if roughly one out of every five people in a given population is immune to the virus, that seems to be enough to slow its spread to a level where each infectious person is infecting an average of less than one other person. The number of infections would steadily decline. That’s the classic definition of herd immunity. It would mean, for instance, that at 25 percent antibody prevalence, New York City could continue its careful reopening without fear of another major surge in cases.
Originally Posted by tk13:
It's not the NFL, but the mom of an Indiana University lineman put out a FB post today saying her son is having complications from the virus.
Intense Facebook post here from Debbie Rucker, mother of Indiana freshman OL Brady Feeney. pic.twitter.com/Ula5lBQfO2
The experience from the NBA and MLB seems conclusive. We are very unlikely to have a successful football season and playoffs unless we go with something very similar to the NBA's approach. [Reply]
Originally Posted by alnorth:
The experience from the NBA and MLB seems conclusive. We are very unlikely to have a successful football season and playoffs unless we go with something very similar to the NBA's approach.
I've been saying this all along. It was obvious. The virus is contagious as ****. It doesn't give a shit about state lines.
That said, it'll be rare case if a young player has health issues but Andy? You think he's not going to have issues if he gets the covid? I'd rather not lose Andy until we get several more SB's and he retires to go off in the sunset with his trophy wife. [Reply]
NFLPA calls Dallas Cowboys cheap spenders
BY CLARENCE E. HILL JR.
MARCH 02, 2021 05:00 AM, U
At a virtual agent meeting last Thursday, the players union leadership not only implored player representatives for free agents at the same position to collude and increase leverage in contract talks but they also highlighted teams who were lowest spenders over the last four years.
The Cowboys were in the bottom three along with the Kansas City Chiefs and the New England Patriots in cash spending from 2017-21, according to sources who were in attendance at the meeting.
In a screen share from the Zoom meeting, the Chiefs were shown to have spent $686 million in cash over the last four years, the Cowboys were next $689 million with the Patriots at $698 million.
Originally Posted by Iowanian:
The Chiefs just gave Mahomes half a billion dollars.....
The NFLPA will likely be what ends up killing the NFL.
Yep.
NFLPA being jealous of what NBAPA got done won’t end well for someone. Probably the rank and file representatives of the NFLPA (the ones that can’t afford a hold out), all the players (if they overplay their hand and end up taking less money). But it could be football.
I was listening to a podcast and there was a bunch of stuff on it I hadn’t heard. Apparently Russell Okung (illegally LOL) taped a discussion of NFLPA and is complaining because the NFLPA isn’t representing what the players want. And apparently there is legitimate consternation about the NFLPA blowing their dues on suing the League every time Goodell issues a punishment. And miraculously, Demaurice Smith is viewed by the players as being too buddy buddy with Goodell. I didn’t know that was a thing, but whatever.
I knew Smith was shit at this but WOW. The NFLPA could be closer than we think to fracturing and folding. [Reply]