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Nzoner's Game Room>***NON-POLITICAL COVID-19 Discussion Thread***
JakeF 10:28 PM 02-26-2020
A couple of reminders...

Originally Posted by Bwana:
Once again, don't come in this thread with some kind of political agenda, or you will be shown the door. If you want to go that route, there is a thread about this in DC.
Originally Posted by Dartgod:
People, there is a lot of good information in this thread, let's try to keep the petty bickering to a minimum.

We all have varying opinions about the impact of this, the numbers, etc. We will all never agree with each other. But we can all keep it civil.

Thanks!

Click here for the original OP:

Spoiler!

[Reply]
DaFace 06:31 PM 04-22-2020
Originally Posted by Bearcat:
JFC, this is pete-in-the-2nd-quarter-of-a-playoff-game bad.
:-)
[Reply]
eDave 06:33 PM 04-22-2020
Here's that Mayor of Las Vegas.

https://www.thedailybeast.com/las-ve...nderson-cooper
[Reply]
petegz28 06:39 PM 04-22-2020
Originally Posted by Bearcat:
JFC, this is pete-in-the-2nd-quarter-of-a-playoff-game bad.
Hey now..I had much more pessimistic moments than that one. In fact by thec2nd q I was pretty hopeful.

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[Reply]
petegz28 07:03 PM 04-22-2020
I guess Clay county is going with May 3rd to start loosening up. That is going to put the pressure on the Mayor of KC.

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[Reply]
O.city 07:05 PM 04-22-2020
https://twitter.com/tyleremiller/sta...283699714?s=21

Hamas this one is set up a little better
[Reply]
petegz28 07:06 PM 04-22-2020
Originally Posted by O.city:
https://twitter.com/tyleremiller/sta...283699714?s=21

Hamas this one is set up a little better
That is awesome!!!

What does it mean?

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[Reply]
Bob Dole 07:11 PM 04-22-2020
You know why New York is fucked? CATS!!!
[Reply]
'Hamas' Jenkins 07:31 PM 04-22-2020
Originally Posted by petegz28:
That is awesome!!!

What does it mean?

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They sampled 200 people on the street in Chelsea, Mass. Sixty-four of them have antibodies, but the presence of antibodies doesn't mean you're no longer contagious. Also, this wasn't a random sample; we know that half of them complained of at least one symptom consistent with COVID over the previous week. This may have made them more likely to volunteer a sample. Moreover, the area they chose is overrepresented in demographics that are more likely to have the virus due to their work and living conditions.

The story also doesn't present any useful information about the test or its specificity, which is extremely important.

There is no doubt that we have undercounted the total number of cases, but I would caution drawing broad inferences from a group statistically much more likely to have contracted COVID, especially when the sample size is neither random nor large.
[Reply]
O.city 07:35 PM 04-22-2020
Originally Posted by 'Hamas' Jenkins:
They sampled 200 people on the street in Chelsea, Mass. Sixty-four of them have antibodies, but the presence of antibodies doesn't mean you're no longer contagious. Also, this wasn't a random sample; we know that half of them complained of at least one symptom consistent with COVID over the previous week. This may have made them more likely to volunteer a sample. Moreover, the area they chose is overrepresented in demographics that are more likely to have the virus due to their work and living conditions.

The story also doesn't present any useful information about the test or its specificity, which is extremely important.

There is no doubt that we have undercounted the total number of cases, but I would caution drawing broad inferences from a group statistically much more likely to have contracted COVID, especially when the sample size is neither random nor large.
This one seemed a little better set up than some of the others I’ve read. I don’t understand why it’s so fucking hard to set up a rigid good study
[Reply]
limested 07:46 PM 04-22-2020
Originally Posted by petegz28:
I guess Clay county is going with May 3rd to start loosening up. That is going to put the pressure on the Mayor of KC.

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Wrong
[Reply]
Monticore 07:46 PM 04-22-2020
Originally Posted by O.city:
This one seemed a little better set up than some of the others I’ve read. I don’t understand why it’s so ****ing hard to set up a rigid good study
Those results tend to be more boring i guess.
[Reply]
eDave 07:49 PM 04-22-2020

[Reply]
petegz28 07:49 PM 04-22-2020
Originally Posted by limested:
Wrong
Wrong what?
[Reply]
Titty Meat 07:49 PM 04-22-2020
Originally Posted by petegz28:
I guess Clay county is going with May 3rd to start loosening up. That is going to put the pressure on the Mayor of KC.

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Lol no it wont
[Reply]
petegz28 07:51 PM 04-22-2020
Originally Posted by limested:
Wrong
Originally Posted by :
Last week, Clay County extended their shutdown to May 15, but now are pulling back that date to May 3 which lines up with the statewide stay-at-home order for Missouri.
https://www.kctv5.com/coronavirus/cl...0b597e25b.html


So what exactly am I wrong about?
[Reply]
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