If you're Jacksonville, do you trade the #1 to the Texans for Watson + more? I think I would.
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I don't think either team makes that trade.
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Basically Watson for Lawrence?

That’s an interesting debate.
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Too much risk for each GM. They are looking out for their own best interests.
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Watson is worth way more than just a single 1.1.
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I should have said, if Watson wants out do you do that.
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Only if they send David Johnsons corpse too.
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He's easily worth 2 firsts.
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I should not have attempted to put a valuation on Watson but I wonder if he wants out if Jacksonville would not be the landing spot. A 1.1 may be worth more than 2 mid-first round picks when it comes in a year that there's a clear #1 that's a QB IMO
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What is the + more?

Texans make that trade and then squeeze the Jets for even more picks?

At some point they would need a QB but they could get a lot of draft capital.
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Watson would probably fetch at least three firsts plus a mid round pick or two. Think about what Ramsey and Mack went for
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I was wondering the same. I don't see why Jacksonville would do it. The jags would have to give up a cheap qb plus picks. The jags are too early in the rebuild. They will want picks and free agents to build around the qb. They lose both picks and cap space with this trade.

Now, if you're talking about the Jets or below who don't have a top notch qb prospect... For sure you strongly consider this trade.
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Exactly.

In their situation, you take your chances with Lawrence on a rookie contract and try to build around him.

Watson needs to go to a contender, somebody where the QB is the missing piece.
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If the Jags could do it with 1.1 plus a first next year they'd be insane not to do it. Watson, despite his salary, provides tremendous surplus value.
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It's definitely an interesting idea. A rare possible win win.
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