We know the idiots hoarding bottled water have zero idea about how viruses spread, the water supply, and anything, really. The toilet paper people are similarly perplexing, but their idiocy is at least worth consideration. [Reply]
Originally Posted by Megatron96:
Everyone just needs to calm down. What's the worst case scenario again? Something like 5% of the population might die from this virus? The middle-of-the-road prognosis is around 2%? So even if you catch this thing you're about 20 times more likely to survive it than die from it?
Correct. The panic we are seeing is evidence of how fragile our society is. Imagine if there was a massive spread of bird flu or ebola. Those viruses kill about 50% of the cases. Bird flu is especially scary to think about because of the unsanitary food markets in China. [Reply]
Originally Posted by Megatron96:
Everyone just needs to calm down. What's the worst case scenario again? Something like 5% of the population might die from this virus? The middle-of-the-road prognosis is around 2%? So even if you catch this thing you're about 20 times more likely to survive it than die from it?
Wait, what? 5 percent, or 2 percent even is terrible. 16 million, or 6 million. Think about one of twenty people you know being dead from this. The annual death rate from all causes is less than 1 percent. 5x that is catastrophic.
Originally Posted by jerryaldini:
Wait, what? 5 percent, or 2 percent even is terrible. 16 million, or 6 million. Think about one of twenty people you know being dead from this. The annual death rate from all causes is less than 1 percent. 5x that is catastrophic.
We can hope it's well below 1 percent.
I was only referring to the math; you have more than a 95% chance of surviving the thing even if you catch it. If you're under 40, you have even better odds, something like 98.5% of being just fine. I just used 5% because I've been hearing and reading death rates that are inconsistent; anything from less to 1%, to as much as 6%.
And I'm over 50, and I used to smoke almost a pack-a-day for almost three decades. Reduced down to about a pack a week a couple years ago, but my lungs are damaged, no question. So that one in twenty you're talking about? That's probably me. [Reply]
Originally Posted by Megatron96:
Everyone just needs to calm down. What's the worst case scenario again? Something like 5% of the population might die from this virus? The middle-of-the-road prognosis is around 2%? So even if you catch this thing you're about 20 times more likely to survive it than die from it?
The Spanish flu killed 50-100 million and it only had a 2.5% mortality rate. A 5% mortality rate would be insane and thankfully it looks like it should be much less than 5% when all is said and done. If we can keep the old people from getting it, then this wont kill very many people.
Im just sick of people saying oh this isn't a big deal. You know what happens when people thibk that? They dont give a shit if they are spreading it or not and enough people not caring could devastate the medical community and could kill more people that would have more than likely survived with the treatment they needed. [Reply]
