2017 impact: The Raiders won 12 games but outscored their opponents by only 31 points, producing a Pythagorean expectation of 8.7 wins. That gap -- 3.3 wins -- is the fourth-largest since 1989. They're likely to decline.
Weren't the Miami Dolphins outscored by quite a bit overall (yet made the playoffs as the 6th seed)?? That would be my choice as the lucky team of last season.
The Faiders did lose Carr for the playoffs, that was a nut punch for them [Reply]
Originally Posted by BlackOp:
I've been telling everyone that shit was rigged to get their stadium deal...even before the 2016 season started...that they were, in reality, around an 8-8 team...now the math backs it up. The Saints/Texans games were about as bogus as I've ever seen...on par with the Cowboys/Lions play-off game.
The NFL still wont shut-up about them...
More from that article...which was a quality read.
"The leading reception rate among wideouts last year was the 23.5 percent mark posted by Kansas City's Tyreek Hill. Theo Riddick trailed him, but led the way at running back with 21.2 percent. The leading star wideout in this category is A.J. Green, who caught the ball on 19.6 percent of his routes. Perennial rival Julio Jones was below him at 18.4 percent. The top tight end? C.J. Fiedorowicz at 19.2 percent. I didn't see that one coming, either."
The league is rigged so that tyreek leads the league in that stat. Posted via Mobile Device [Reply]
The Chiefs finished 2 wins better than their expected Pythagorean W-L. I wouldn't tout that stat too much, especially when so many of their scores, which inflated even their Pythagorean W-L, were on returns, which is not sustainable.
The Chiefs could be better on both offense and defense this year and easily finish 10-6 or worse. [Reply]
Originally Posted by 'Hamas' Jenkins:
The Chiefs finished 2 wins better than their expected Pythagorean W-L. I wouldn't tout that stat too much, especially when so many of their scores, which inflated even their Pythagorean W-L, were on returns, which is not sustainable.
The Chiefs could be better on both offense and defense this year and easily finish 10-6 or worse.
Why would returns not be sustainable when they've been every year under Toub? Posted via Mobile Device [Reply]
Originally Posted by 'Hamas' Jenkins:
The Chiefs finished 2 wins better than their expected Pythagorean W-L. I wouldn't tout that stat too much, especially when so many of their scores, which inflated even their Pythagorean W-L, were on returns, which is not sustainable.
The Chiefs could be better on both offense and defense this year and easily finish 10-6 or worse.
It would take a plane crash for this team to finish below 11-5 [Reply]
Originally Posted by 'Hamas' Jenkins:
The Chiefs finished 2 wins better than their expected Pythagorean W-L. I wouldn't tout that stat too much, especially when so many of their scores, which inflated even their Pythagorean W-L, were on returns, which is not sustainable.
The Chiefs could be better on both offense and defense this year and easily finish 10-6 or worse.
We didn't get return TD's because we got lucky.
We got them because we have Tyreek and Toub.
We had two returns called back on bs penalties too. This is just your glass half empty shit as usual. [Reply]
Originally Posted by DaneMcCloud:
Ford had two sacks nullified because of penalties (one by Hali).
The Chiefs were better than their record.
This team will continue to make plays and score on D/ST's like they have been for the majority of the last 4 seasons. I really don't get the unsustainable shit. [Reply]
Originally Posted by -King-:
Why would returns not be sustainable when they've been every year under Toub? Posted via Mobile Device
Return scores haven't been. They've gone 4,2,0,3 in ST TDs. D TDs are often a product of where the offense is on the play than the defense itself.
And who led the league in D TDs last year? The Chiefs, Chargers, and Falcons with five each. How many did they have the year before? 6, 1, and 4? The year before that? 2,2,3. The numbers are all over the place because return scores, especially on defense, are random.
I'd agree that the Chiefs are likely to gain yards relative to their opponents on special teams and that will help their win expectancy. But it would be foolish to bet on such an extreme number of return TDs again this year (9). [Reply]
Originally Posted by 'Hamas' Jenkins:
Return scores haven't been. They've gone 4,2,0,3 in ST TDs. D TDs are often a product of where the offense is on the play than the defense itself.
And who led the league in D TDs last year? The Chiefs, Chargers, and Falcons with five each. How many did they have the year before? 6, 1, and 4? The year before that? 2,2,3. The numbers are all over the place because return scores, especially on defense, are random.
I'd agree that the Chiefs are likely to gain yards relative to their opponents on special teams and that will help their win expectancy. But it would be foolish to bet on such an extreme number of return TDs again this year (9).
You're acting like the Chiefs haven't been winning the past 4 seasons regardless of those stats.
