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Nzoner's Game Room>***NON-POLITICAL COVID-19 Discussion Thread***
JakeF 10:28 PM 02-26-2020
A couple of reminders...

Originally Posted by Bwana:
Once again, don't come in this thread with some kind of political agenda, or you will be shown the door. If you want to go that route, there is a thread about this in DC.
Originally Posted by Dartgod:
People, there is a lot of good information in this thread, let's try to keep the petty bickering to a minimum.

We all have varying opinions about the impact of this, the numbers, etc. We will all never agree with each other. But we can all keep it civil.

Thanks!

Click here for the original OP:

Spoiler!

[Reply]
sedated 04:45 PM 08-12-2020
Originally Posted by Monticore:
Yes predicting the future of a new virus with little to no information about it and millions of variables is difficult
This is the thing that still dumbfounds me. "The 'experts' were wrong about X, so F everything they say!"
[Reply]
loochy 04:45 PM 08-12-2020
Originally Posted by DaFace:
Just for the record, here's the IHME model that everyone was using in March. They predicted 82k deaths by August 1, and we managed to double that. Perhaps your memory is a little fuzzy about what "they" were saying.

https://web.archive.org/web/20200331...ealthdata.org/
Well, if we doubled that then they were way off.
[Reply]
dirk digler 04:46 PM 08-12-2020
Originally Posted by loochy:
Well, if we doubled that then they were way off.
Their model sucks ass and I don't think anyone really pays them much attention any more.
[Reply]
petegz28 04:58 PM 08-12-2020
Originally Posted by Monticore:
I have misdiagnosed rare pathology at some that I have never before using my glorified fish finder , still wonder why I am not in jail and doctors still send me patients.
Cause Canada....
[Reply]
petegz28 04:59 PM 08-12-2020
Originally Posted by DaFace:
Just for the record, here's the IHME model that everyone was using in March. They predicted 82k deaths by August 1, and we managed to double that. Perhaps your memory is a little fuzzy about what "they" were saying.

https://web.archive.org/web/20200331...ealthdata.org/
I believe they also said 300k deaths by August 1st and at the beginning of July said we would have 600k deaths in the next 6 months. Maybe it wasn't the IHME but I thought it was.
[Reply]
stumppy 05:02 PM 08-12-2020
Greene County with a record 95 new cases today.
[Reply]
MahomesMagic 05:21 PM 08-12-2020
Howard Steen
@HowardSteen4
The use of PCR testing to count ‘cases’ is a major scandal. These tests are not designed as diagnostic tests. They cannot confirm an active infection. See expert witness testimony to this fact from the German Corona Committee evidence gathering.

The Problem of trying to determine SARS-CoV-2 infections using PCR Tests

[Reply]
lewdog 05:39 PM 08-12-2020
16 straight days of 1,000 deaths or more?

I honestly thought we’d be better than that by August.
[Reply]
Bugeater 05:56 PM 08-12-2020
Originally Posted by Donger:
It's not semantics. We do know what drives the spread of this bug: humans.

Have a great day.
Welp, guess we need to stop being humans in order to beat this.



I'm really starting to think we haven't a clue as to where most community transmission is happening, or even where it is most likely to happen. So we're clinging to masks as our lifeboat and praying we don't sink.
[Reply]
KCUnited 05:58 PM 08-12-2020
Transmitted by humans /first
[Reply]
petegz28 06:00 PM 08-12-2020
Originally Posted by lewdog:
16 straight days of 1,000 deaths or more?

I honestly thought we’d be better than that by August.
Not sure where you get your data but that is incredibly wrong. Just to help you out as recently as August 8th, 9th and 10th none of those days were over 1,000 deaths. Or are you speaking globally?
[Reply]
Bugeater 06:02 PM 08-12-2020
Originally Posted by KCUnited:
Transmitted by humans /first
Interesting theory...tell me more...
[Reply]
tk13 06:04 PM 08-12-2020
Yeah, I think the correct stat is looking at the average number of deaths/day for the last week.

We have averaged "1000 deaths/day over the last week" for the last 16 days. Just a sign that the overall trend isn't going great.
[Reply]
KCUnited 06:05 PM 08-12-2020
Originally Posted by Bugeater:
Interesting theory...tell me more...
Just stating facts in one post
[Reply]
lewdog 06:07 PM 08-12-2020
Originally Posted by petegz28:
Not sure where you get your data but that is incredibly wrong. Just to help you out as recently as August 8th, 9th and 10th none of those days were over 1,000 deaths. Or are you speaking globally?
Sorry, weekly average/day. Weekly numbers matter more as the daily totals are too inaccurate in reporting time and delays.

https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.wxi...st-12/33581651
[Reply]
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