Originally Posted by Bwana:
Once again, don't come in this thread with some kind of political agenda, or you will be shown the door. If you want to go that route, there is a thread about this in DC.
Originally Posted by Dartgod:
People, there is a lot of good information in this thread, let's try to keep the petty bickering to a minimum.
We all have varying opinions about the impact of this, the numbers, etc. We will all never agree with each other. But we can all keep it civil.
Thanks!
Click here for the original OP:
Spoiler!
Apparently the CoronaVirus can survive on a inanimate objects, such as door knobs, for 9 days.
California coronavirus case could be first spread within U.S. community, CDC says
By SOUMYA KARLAMANGLA, JACLYN COSGROVE
FEB. 26, 2020 8:04 PM
The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention is investigating what could be the first case of novel coronavirus in the United States involving a patient in California who neither recently traveled out of the country nor was in contact with someone who did.
“At this time, the patient’s exposure is unknown. It’s possible this could be an instance of community spread of COVID-19, which would be the first time this has happened in the United States,” the CDC said in a statement. “Community spread means spread of an illness for which the source of infection is unknown. It’s also possible, however, that the patient may have been exposed to a returned traveler who was infected.”
The individual is a resident of Solano County and is receiving medical care in Sacramento County, according to the state Department of Public Health.
The CDC said the “case was detected through the U.S. public health system — picked up by astute clinicians.”
Officials at UC Davis Medical Center expanded on what the federal agency might have meant by that in an email sent Wednesday, as reported by the Davis Enterprise newspaper.
The patient arrived at UC Davis Medical Center from another hospital Feb. 19 and “had already been intubated, was on a ventilator, and given droplet protection orders because of an undiagnosed and suspected viral condition,” according to an email sent by UC Davis officials that was obtained by the Davis Enterprise.
The staff at UC Davis requested COVID-19 testing by the CDC, but because the patient didn’t fit the CDC’s existing criteria for the virus, a test wasn’t immediately administered, according to the email. The CDC then ordered the test Sunday, and results were announced Wednesday. Hospital administrators reportedly said in the email that despite these issues, there has been minimal exposure at the hospital because of safety protocols they have in place.
A UC Davis Health spokesperson declined Wednesday evening to share the email with The Times.
Since Feb. 2, more than 8,400 returning travelers from China have entered California, according to the state health department. They have been advised to self-quarantine for 14 days and limit interactions with others as much as possible, officials said.
“This is a new virus, and while we are still learning about it, there is a lot we already know,” Dr. Sonia Angell, director of the California Department of Public Health, said in a statement. “We have been anticipating the potential for such a case in the U.S., and given our close familial, social and business relationships with China, it is not unexpected that the first case in the U.S. would be in California.”
It is not clear how the person became infected, but public health workers could not identify any contacts with people who had traveled to China or other areas where the virus is widespread. That raises concern that the virus is spreading in the United States, creating a challenge for public health officials, experts say.
“It’s the first signal that we could be having silent transmission in the community,” said Lawrence Gostin, director of the World Health Organization Collaborating Center on National and Global Health Law. “It probably means there are many more cases out there, and it probably means this individual has infected others, and now it’s a race to try to find out who that person has infected.”
On Tuesday, the CDC offered its most serious warning to date that the United States should expect and prepare for the coronavirus to become a more widespread health issue.
“Ultimately, we expect we will see coronavirus spread in this country,” said Nancy Messonnier, director of the CDC’s National Center for Immunization and Respiratory Diseases. “It’s not so much a question of if, but a question of when.”
According to the CDC’s latest count Wednesday morning, 59 U.S. residents have tested positive for the new strain of coronavirus — 42 of whom are repatriated citizens from a Diamond Princess cruise. That number has grown by two since Messonnier’s last count Tuesday, although the CDC was not immediately available to offer details on the additional cases.
More than 82,000 cases of coronavirus have been reported globally, and more than 2,700 people have died, with the majority in mainland China, the epicenter of the outbreak.
But public health leaders have repeatedly reminded residents that the health risk from the novel coronavirus to the general public remains low.
“While COVID-19 has a high transmission rate, it has a low mortality rate,” the state Department of Public Health said in a statement Wednesday. “From the international data we have, of those who have tested positive for COVID-19, approximately 80% do not exhibit symptoms that would require hospitalization. There have been no confirmed deaths related to COVID-19 in the United States to date.”
CDC officials have also warned that although the virus is likely to spread in U.S. communities, the flu still poses a greater risk.
Gostin said the news of potential silent transmission does not eliminate the possibility of containing the virus in the U.S. and preventing an outbreak.
“There are few enough cases that we should at least try,” he said. “Most of us are not optimistic that that will be successful, but we’re still in the position to try.”
Originally Posted by BigCatDaddy:
Here is the thing. Some are arguing it was ALWAYS the plan, not something that evolved.
It is possible, it is also possible if they would have said it was the plan from the start people would not have complied and we would be in worst shape right now.
I use similar technique with my kids sometimes for their own best interest. [Reply]
Originally Posted by SAUTO:
you argue both sides just to be a miserable fuck, dont you?
Sorry, but Donger reverses course with the regularity of a bumper car at the county fair.
Which is exactly what him saying "cases are dropping" when that isn't an objectively correct statement since a) we don't know how many fatalities are attributable to C-19 since there's no testing and b) there isn't enough testing to say with anywhere near statistical certainty that all current cases of C-19 have been identified and c) measuring the rate of case growth is not objective since you can simply change the period of time in which case growth is being measured within. [Reply]
Originally Posted by Monticore:
It is possible, it is also possible if they would have said it was the plan from the start people would not have complied and we would be in worst shape right now.
I use similar technique with my kids sometimes for their own best interest.
Originally Posted by Discuss Thrower:
Sorry, but Donger reverses course with the regularity of a bumper car at the county fair.
Which is exactly what him saying "cases are dropping" when that isn't an objectively correct statement since a) we don't know how many fatalities are attributable to C-19 since there's no testing and b) there isn't enough testing to say with anywhere near statistical certainty that all current cases of C-19 have been identified and c) measuring the rate of case growth is not objective since you can simply change the period of time in which case growth is being measured within.
The fact that hospital capacity is not being overrun by an exponential growth in new cases is an objective measure.
There is now an excess supply of ventilators throughout the country. [Reply]
Originally Posted by Discuss Thrower:
Sorry, but Donger reverses course with the regularity of a bumper car at the county fair.
Which is exactly what him saying "cases are dropping" when that isn't an objectively correct statement since a) we don't know how many fatalities are attributable to C-19 since there's no testing and b) there isn't enough testing to say with anywhere near statistical certainty that all current cases of C-19 have been identified and c) measuring the rate of case growth is not objective since you can simply change the period of time in which case growth is being measured within.
None of which is known.
New cases ARE tested, and those are dropping. And that is completely objective.
You don't get to just ignore actual data because it doesn't fit your doomsday scenario. [Reply]
Originally Posted by KCChiefsFan88:
The fact that hospital capacity is not being overrun by an exponential growth in new cases is an objective measure.
There is now an excess supply of ventilators throughout the country.
It's because when it is all said and done, and we look back on it. We will look at it as another Flu like seasonal bug. (again for people under 50)
I highly doubt an effective vaccine will ever be made. [Reply]
Originally Posted by BigCatDaddy:
It was it is now, but at least own it.
I agree if that was the initial plan just say it and why you did it , I am big on transparency , but it is possible they miscalculated as well.
The odds of multiple world leaders to agree and a such a plan would be difficult , but multiple countries coming to the same conclusion using the same data seems more realistic. [Reply]
Originally Posted by SAUTO:
mark cuban is thinking about running for president THIS YEAR.
isnt it probably a little late for that?
He can’t do it in the future as well? It’s now or never?
Why the fuck is it so hard to say that maybe guys like Musk and Cuban both have their agendas? Why do we only have to believe that the people wanting to open up do?
This is where I get very frustrated. I’m in the middle on this issue, but both sides are so fucking hard headed it is unbelievable. [Reply]
Considering that you apparently know that new cases are declining based on actual data, and you say it isn't happening, yes. You're ignoring it. [Reply]
Originally Posted by staylor26:
He can’t do it in the future as well? It’s now or never?
Why the **** is it so hard to say that maybe guys like Musk and Cuban both have their agendas? Why do we only have to believe that the people wanting to open up do?
This is where I get very frustrated. I’m in the middle on this issue, but both sides are so ****ing hard headed it is unbelievable.
Right. There is a middle ground here and that's the best course of action IMO. [Reply]
Originally Posted by PAChiefsGuy:
Right. There is a middle ground here and that's the best course of action IMO.
I’m a firm believer that life is complicated and there are always problems that don’t have a perfect solution (most political issues for example). You get 2 sides that are convinced their side is right and then it becomes tribal. The truth or the best solution is almost always somewhere in the middle. [Reply]
