ChiefsPlanet Mobile
Page 2883 of 3903
« First < 1883238327832833287328792880288128822883 288428852886288728932933298333833883 > Last »
Nzoner's Game Room>***NON-POLITICAL COVID-19 Discussion Thread***
JakeF 10:28 PM 02-26-2020
A couple of reminders...

Originally Posted by Bwana:
Once again, don't come in this thread with some kind of political agenda, or you will be shown the door. If you want to go that route, there is a thread about this in DC.
Originally Posted by Dartgod:
People, there is a lot of good information in this thread, let's try to keep the petty bickering to a minimum.

We all have varying opinions about the impact of this, the numbers, etc. We will all never agree with each other. But we can all keep it civil.

Thanks!

Click here for the original OP:

Spoiler!

[Reply]
Donger 01:02 PM 08-20-2020
Originally Posted by Marcellus:
How do you explain 3x the death rate as Italy who got hit well before NY?
I'm not sure we know. I'd imagine that population density played a part.

Do you acknowledge that NY has done a really good job of driving down, and keeping down, new cases?
[Reply]
Marcellus 01:06 PM 08-20-2020
Originally Posted by Donger:
I'm not sure we know. I'd imagine that population density played a part.

Do you acknowledge that NY has done a really good job of driving down, and keeping down, new cases?
No Donger I think the virus is running its course.
[Reply]
Donger 01:08 PM 08-20-2020
Originally Posted by O.city:
What does time have to do with reaching HI?

If they were having 100k infections per day, yeah they probably got there fairly quick.
You answered your own question. They peaked right around April 9, after seeing real growth around March 10. They hit 5,000/day halfway.

So, even assuming the actual was 100,000/day for the 30 days, that's 3,000,000 cases. That's 15.8% of the population. I know that you think that's enough to reach HI, and you may end up being right, but I really would be surprised.
[Reply]
O.city 01:09 PM 08-20-2020
Too many places have hit certain levels and immediately come down for there to be a coincidence.

I dont' think that necessarily means they're done by any means though.
[Reply]
Donger 01:10 PM 08-20-2020
Originally Posted by Marcellus:
No Donger I think the virus is running its course.
I see. So you think that NY reached HI, and that is why their cases have dropped and stayed very low. Is that correct?
[Reply]
O.city 01:11 PM 08-20-2020
Originally Posted by Donger:
You answered your own question. They peaked right around April 9, after seeing real growth around March 10. They hit 5,000/day halfway.

So, even assuming the actual was 100,000/day for the 30 days, that's 3,000,000 cases. That's 15.8% of the population. I know that you think that's enough to reach HI, and you may end up being right, but I really would be surprised.
Their serology testing is higher than that even, so paired with our new knowledge apparent that for every seroconvert, there is potentially 2 who had a mild infection that was beaten back by CD4 and 8 cells, we would be alot further along in our ability to keep infections down.
[Reply]
Donger 01:11 PM 08-20-2020
Originally Posted by O.city:
Too many places have hit certain levels and immediately come down for there to be a coincidence.

I dont' think that necessarily means they're done by any means though.
Do you completely dismiss mitigation efforts as having an impact on driving down cases?
[Reply]
O.city 01:12 PM 08-20-2020
Originally Posted by Donger:
Do you completely dismiss mitigation efforts as having an impact on driving down cases?
They will help. I don't think it's effect is very much.
[Reply]
Donger 01:16 PM 08-20-2020
Originally Posted by O.city:
They will help. I don't think it's effect is very much.
That seems odd, but okay.

I hope you're right about HI. I really am. Does that mean that in places where you think it has been achieved, there will be no "second wave" since it isn't possible?
[Reply]
Go Royals 01:22 PM 08-20-2020
Originally Posted by Donger:
It was actually a really good way of saying that after taking it in the ass, New York has demonstrated a successful way to drive down the R0 of this bug.

As a nation, we had a very similar plan. It just wasn't followed.
By taking it in the ass, what you really mean is tons and tons of people died?
[Reply]
Donger 01:25 PM 08-20-2020
Originally Posted by Go Royals:
By taking it in the ass, what you really mean is tons and tons of people died?
Yes. Their total number of dead and per capita are relatively awful.
[Reply]
Marcellus 01:25 PM 08-20-2020
Originally Posted by Go Royals:
By taking it in the ass, what you really mean is tons and tons of people died?
Only 3.5X the national average by population, no biggie.
[Reply]
O.city 01:29 PM 08-20-2020
Originally Posted by Donger:
That seems odd, but okay.

I hope you're right about HI. I really am. Does that mean that in places where you think it has been achieved, there will be no "second wave" since it isn't possible?
It's still possible there would be outbreaks, but theoretically, there would be enough of a break to keep from there being a true wave.

I think if there wasn't some kind of immunity helping, we would already be seeing second waves in places that were hit hard as they relax some of the restrictions.
[Reply]
Donger 01:30 PM 08-20-2020
Originally Posted by O.city:
It's still possible there would be outbreaks, but theoretically, there would be enough of a break to keep from there being a true wave.

I think if there wasn't some kind of immunity helping, we would already be seeing second waves in places that were hit hard as they relax some of the restrictions.
That makes sense, thanks. Without importing new people, that seems to be logical.

Have you reviewed NY's re-opening plan?
[Reply]
O.city 01:32 PM 08-20-2020
Originally Posted by Donger:
That makes sense, thanks. Without importing new people, that seems to be logical.

Have you reviewed NY's re-opening plan?
I haven't looked too much at it. I assume they're going along pretty slow.
[Reply]
Page 2883 of 3903
« First < 1883238327832833287328792880288128822883 288428852886288728932933298333833883 > Last »
Up