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Washington DC and The Holy Land>2020 General Election Poll Thread
Eleazar 05:17 PM 09-02-2020
Current RCP National Average and 2016 at the same point - 9/24:


[Reply]
Redbled 09:34 AM 09-07-2020
I’ve never answered a political call and never will.

In 2016 I voted for Trump as the lesser of two evils. Wife voted Gary Johnson.

This year I’m voting Trump to help our country survive. Wife has watched the riots and will vote Trump as well. She can’t stand him.

The virus was Biden’s main hope and people are starting to be over it. Sometimes too much.
[Reply]
Eleazar 08:28 PM 09-07-2020
Originally Posted by Redbled:
Iíve never answered a political call and never will.
How do you know they are political calls if you've never answered one?
[Reply]
RodeoPants2 08:30 PM 09-07-2020
Two polls today had Biden +8 in WI. Post Kenosha. One of the polls was noted trump ball washer Rasmussen.
[Reply]
Hammock Parties 10:57 PM 09-07-2020
Originally Posted by RodeoPants2:
Two polls today had Biden +8 in WI. Post Kenosha. One of the polls was noted trump ball washer Rasmussen.
You can have Wisconsin. We'll take Oregon. Good trade.
[Reply]
cosmo20002 11:12 PM 09-07-2020
Originally Posted by Redbled:
Iíve never answered a political call and never will.

In 2016 I voted for Trump as the lesser of two evils. Wife voted Gary Johnson.

This year Iím voting Trump to help our country survive. Wife has watched the riots and will vote Trump as well. She canít stand him.

The virus was Bidenís main hope and people are starting to be over it. Sometimes too much.
So...she likes the riots? Logic:-)




:-)
[Reply]
Sorry 11:20 PM 09-07-2020
Originally Posted by cosmo20002:
So...she likes the riots? Logic:-)




:-)
lol Trumps ability to make a cult like following is fucking incredible.
[Reply]
scho63 02:56 AM 09-08-2020
Trump loses popular vote by 4 to 4.5 million but crushes Biden in Electoral college by 50+
[Reply]
GloryDayz 06:26 AM 09-08-2020
Originally Posted by cosmo20002:
So...she likes the riots? Logic:-)




:-)
What's wrong with liking the riots?
[Reply]
RodeoPants2 09:09 AM 09-08-2020

[Reply]
Hammock Parties 09:11 AM 09-08-2020
Absolutely no way Missouri will be that close. That's how you know the poll is skewed horribly.
[Reply]
Hammock Parties 09:12 AM 09-08-2020
A real Missouri poll.

FLORIDA DUDE POLL. Missouri Trump 60%, Biden 33%.

— FloridaDude297 (@FloridaDude297) September 2, 2020

[Reply]
Eleazar 09:13 AM 09-08-2020
Per 538, the national polling average with 56 days until election day:

2020: Biden +7.5
2016: Clinton +2.0
2012: Obama +3.5
2008: McCain +1.2
2004: Bush +7.5
2000: Gore +2.9
1996: Clinton +16.0
1992: Clinton +7.8
1988: Bush +4.1
1984: Reagan +19.7
1980: Reagan +3.4
1976: Carter +13.4
[Reply]
Eleazar 09:20 AM 09-08-2020
I updated this to include the (actual result)


Per 538, the national polling average with 56 days until election day: (actual result)

2020: Biden +7.5 (?)
2016: Clinton +2.0 (Clinton +2.1)
2012: Obama +3.5* (Obama +3.9)
2008: McCain +1.2* (Obama +7.2)
2004: Bush +7.5* (Bush +2.4)
2000: Gore +2.9 (Gore +0.5)
1996: Clinton +16.0 (Clinton +8.5)
1992: Clinton +7.8 (Clinton +5.6)
1988: Bush +4.1 (Bush +7.8)
1984: Reagan +19.7 (Reagan +18.2)
1980: Reagan +3.4 (Reagan +9.7)
1976: Carter +13.4 (Carter + 2.1)

* - Obama 12, McCain, and Bush 04 were having their convention bounces at this time
[Reply]
Eleazar 10:22 AM 09-08-2020
Another visual representation of the race in national polls. Still showing fairly remarkable stability throughout 2020.


[Reply]
Eleazar 10:41 AM 09-08-2020
Transplanted from the Politico article in its own thread:

...while national polls have generated a portrait of Biden holding a commanding lead, it’s something of a mirage. In the swing states that matter, it is trench warfare: Biden’s advantage, according to the RealClearPolitics polling average, is within the margin of error in half of the eight [key] states. And Trump is a president whose support has been notoriously difficult for pollsters to survey.
[Reply]
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