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Washington DC and The Holy Land>2020 General Election Poll Thread
Eleazar 05:17 PM 09-02-2020
Current RCP National Average and 2016 at the same point - 9/24:


[Reply]
Hammock Parties 06:33 PM 09-05-2020
Here's a recent, accurate poll for you. You've been red-pilled.

FLORIDA DUDE POLL. Texas Trump 54%, Biden 38%.

— FloridaDude297 (@FloridaDude297) September 4, 2020

[Reply]
RodeoPants2 07:09 PM 09-05-2020
Originally Posted by Hammock Parties:
Yes. They've released some fake polls since then.

I guarantee you won't feel good about them on Nov. 3.

Because they are fake.
What evidence do you have to support your claim that this poll is fake?
[Reply]
Hammock Parties 07:15 PM 09-05-2020
Originally Posted by RodeoPants2:
What evidence do you have to support your claim that this poll is fake?
The fact that it reports false numbers.
[Reply]
RodeoPants2 07:19 PM 09-05-2020
Originally Posted by Hammock Parties:
The fact that it reports false numbers.
What evidence do you have to support your claim that the numbers are false?
[Reply]
Over Yonder 07:29 PM 09-05-2020
Originally Posted by SuperBowl4:
Why not vote for a third party candidate? Both these parties have put up losers to be elected. Don't keep buying into this two party choice.
I don't want to speak for Glory, but for me I can't vote third party because one way or the other, the Democrat or the Republican will be president. If I vote third party, I am voting Democrat. I would be pulling a vote from the Republicans (Trump in this instance)

I might throw my vote away and write in someone, but only if I am convinced Trump will win Missouri. I don't want to vote Trump, but I do know he is the better of two bad options. Lesser of two evils if you will. And I'm growing weary of voting that way :-)
[Reply]
Hammock Parties 07:34 PM 09-05-2020
Originally Posted by RodeoPants2:
What evidence do you have to support your claim that the numbers are false?
It's Texas.

Would you believe a poll showing Trump leading in California?

Get the fuck outta here.
[Reply]
Eleazar 07:34 PM 09-05-2020
Originally Posted by Hammock Parties:
The fact that it reports false numbers.
:-)
[Reply]
GloryDayz 08:28 PM 09-05-2020
Originally Posted by SuperBowl4:
Why not vote for a third party candidate? Both these parties have put up losers to be elected. Don't keep buying into this two party choice.
I'll consider your submission.
[Reply]
Hammock Parties 12:37 PM 09-06-2020
muh Texas!

TEXAS
Trump 48% (+2)
Biden 46%
Jorgensen 1%
Hawkins 1%@UTTyler/@dallasnews, LV, 8/28-9/2https://t.co/E4aNGDcIiO

— Political Polls (@Politics_Polls) September 6, 2020

[Reply]
RodeoPants2 12:40 PM 09-06-2020
Originally Posted by Hammock Parties:
muh Texas!

Just to make sure I'm following, you're bragging about a trump +2 in TX?
[Reply]
Hammock Parties 12:52 PM 09-06-2020
Originally Posted by RodeoPants2:
Just to make sure I'm following, you're bragging about a trump +2 in TX?
Yes. All you have to do is add 8 points to it.
[Reply]
Hammock Parties 01:12 PM 09-06-2020

This map is interesting not because it reflects reality but because it reflects how the Left views the state of the race. They really think IA, OH, NC, GA, and FL are tossups. They are in for a rude surprise. https://t.co/MUq4DAG237

— PollWatch (@PollWatch2020) September 6, 2020

[Reply]
Eleazar 09:04 AM 09-07-2020
Rasmussen and others noting that third party voters are imperiling Trump's margins in battleground states:


Originally Posted by :
Third-party voters from 2016 are breaking for Biden, imperil Trump margins in battlegrounds

"It's a warning sign" for the Trump campaign, said pollster Scott Rasmussen. "Maybe it's a yellow flag as opposed to a red flag. And it is one of many things that could change in the three states that shocked everybody: Pennsylvania Michigan and Wisconsin."

...

During the 2016 election, the number of third-party voters far exceeded President Trump's margin of victory in places like Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. NBC News/Wall Street Journal polls from 2020 found that third-party voters from 2016 say they back Biden by a 2-to-1 margin. The polling found 47% percent said they plan to vote for Biden, 20% plan to vote for Trump, and 33% are unsure or say they’re backing "another candidate.”

"Here's why this is significant: In 2016, Trump won Michigan by 10,704 votes, while the combined Johnson/Stein vote was 223,599. (So Biden getting 47 percent of that third-party vote to Trump's 20 percent easily overturns that '16 margin.)," NBC News reported on Monday. "In 2016, Trump won Pennsylvania by 44,292 votes, while there were 196,656 Johnson/Stein voters. (Again, Biden winning those third-party voters by a 2-to-1 margin reverses that outcome.) And in 2016, Trump won Wisconsin by 22,748 votes, and the combined Johnson/Stein total was 137,746. (Ditto: Hillary Clinton would likely be president today if she had won those third-party voters by a 47 percent to 20 percent split.)"

For the Trump campaign "it's a warning sign," said veteran pollster Scott Rasmussen, author of the Just the News Daily Poll. "Maybe it's a yellow flag as opposed to a red flag. And it is one of many things that could change in the three states that shocked everybody: Pennsylvania Michigan and Wisconsin."

However, Rasmussen said that any polling on third-party voters should be read with caution, given their small size relative to the general population, making sampling more difficult.

...

The L.A. Times also reported on a 2020 shift tracked by the University of Southern California Dornsife Daybreak Poll. "Another big difference from four years ago: Third-party candidates get only 2% support now, much less than in 2016, when smaller parties took 5% of the vote."


https://justthenews.com/politics-pol...how-could-they
[Reply]
Eleazar 09:06 AM 09-07-2020
Two more added to the average at the end of last week - national average remains about the same.




[Reply]
Eleazar 09:09 AM 09-07-2020
This one shows where the national polls are today vs where they were in 2016 at the same time:


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