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Washington DC and The Holy Land>2020 General Election Poll Thread
Eleazar 05:17 PM 09-02-2020
Current RCP National Average and 2016 at the same point - 9/24:


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Eleazar 11:30 AM 09-05-2020
Originally Posted by BigCatDaddy:
Here is how it's going to play out. These polls are bullshit to further an agenda. As the election gets closer the polls will narrow to virtually even and when Trump wins, the polls can claim they were on it the whole time things just changed at the last minute.

Bookmark that shit.
Races change over time. It's considerably different than it was a year ago, wouldn't you say?
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KChiefs1 11:39 AM 09-05-2020
Originally Posted by SFfan79:
I get what you're doing, but, again, all the polls are misleading at best. When a lot of people who support Trump (like me) refuse to do any polls (like me), then just how accurate are the polls really?

Interesting to look at, but in today's climate I don't think it's giving an accurate picture.

I always lie & say Iím voting Biden.
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BigCatDaddy 01:03 PM 09-05-2020
Originally Posted by Eleazar:
Races change over time. It's considerably different than it was a year ago, wouldn't you say?
See, you know I'm right.
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Hammock Parties 01:07 PM 09-05-2020
Originally Posted by Eleazar:
Races change over time. It's considerably different than it was a year ago, wouldn't you say?
Yes. Black people have been redpilled.
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displacedinMN 03:41 PM 09-05-2020
I always wonder. How many available votes determine the election.

We know there are always the ones that vote party no matter what.

Who is left. they determine the election.
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Hammock Parties 03:41 PM 09-05-2020

1) Even with poll tightening for Election Day Eve 2016, the following overestimated the Dem:

Econ/YouGov: Clinton +4%
ABC/WP: Clinton +3
Fox News Clinton +4
NBC News/WSJ: Clinton +5
Monmouth: +6
CBS News: Clin+4
Reuters: Clin+5

Average: Clinton +4.4
Actual Result: Clinton +2.1

— PollWatch (@PollWatch2020) September 5, 2020


3) The above does not mean Big Media will overestimate Biden by 2% before Election Day this time, but so far we have not seen evidence they have adjusted.

POINT: Based on past performance, Big Media could overestimate Biden by at least 2 points on Election Eve 2020.

— PollWatch (@PollWatch2020) September 5, 2020


Karl Rove on the race: "I've see private polls that show Trump leading in Arizona & North Carolina."

Everyone has said this about internals. This is another reason not to believe the public polls.

— David Chapman (@davidchapman141) September 5, 2020

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Hammock Parties 04:46 PM 09-05-2020

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VAChief 05:05 PM 09-05-2020
Captured at Texas Trump boat rally.


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SuperBowl4 05:12 PM 09-05-2020
TRUMP is campaigning on a promise to vaccinate for his "national emergency" that destroyed the American way of life making MAGA actually MAW(Make America Worse)? No thanks CHUMP! Not buying into your Bill Gates everyone must be vaccinated BS
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GloryDayz 05:13 PM 09-05-2020
Originally Posted by Eleazar:
A whole slew of new polls from this week are in; RCP average now updated for about 10 new post-convention polls.

The RCP average moves a tiny bit in Biden's favor vs earlier this week, it's now Biden +7.1





Looking at only the Likely Voters surveys, you end up with Biden +2, +4, +8, and +10 - some pretty wild variations, but to this point Likely Voters polls still show Biden staked to a lead that averages 5 or 6. The ones with lower stated margins of error seem to center around a Biden lead in this range at the moment.
This is why I'm probably voting for Biden, but I'm still not sure.
[Reply]
SuperBowl4 05:16 PM 09-05-2020
Originally Posted by GloryDayz:
This is why I'm probably voting for Biden, but I'm still not sure.
Why not vote for a third party candidate? Both these parties have put up losers to be elected. Don't keep buying into this two party choice.
[Reply]
RodeoPants2 05:53 PM 09-05-2020
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...general/texas/

Biden has led in 3 of the 5 most recent TX polls, and the latest one has him +3
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Hammock Parties 06:00 PM 09-05-2020
Originally Posted by RodeoPants2:
https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com...general/texas/

Biden has led in 3 of the 5 most recent TX polls, and the latest one has him +3
you need to stop reading fake polls

+3 for Biden is actually +5 or MORE for Trump

Texas polls moving decisively in favor of Trump...
CBS News/YouGov7/7 - 7/10 Trump +1
Quinnipiac 7/16 - 7/20Biden +1
Trafalgar 8/1 - 8/5Trump +6
Rice Univ./YouGov8/4 - 8/13 Trump +7https://t.co/V0sGm9YOTm

— Jonathan Garber (@BondsFx) August 20, 2020

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RodeoPants2 06:30 PM 09-05-2020
Originally Posted by Hammock Parties:
you need to stop reading fake polls

+3 for Biden is actually +5 or MORE for Trump


That tweet is over two weeks old
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Hammock Parties 06:32 PM 09-05-2020
Originally Posted by RodeoPants2:
That tweet is over two weeks old
Yes. They've released some fake polls since then.

I guarantee you won't feel good about them on Nov. 3.

Because they are fake.
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