ChiefsPlanet Mobile
Page 405 of 3903
« First < 305355395401402403404405 4064074084094154555059051405 > Last »
Nzoner's Game Room>***NON-POLITICAL COVID-19 Discussion Thread***
JakeF 10:28 PM 02-26-2020
A couple of reminders...

Originally Posted by Bwana:
Once again, don't come in this thread with some kind of political agenda, or you will be shown the door. If you want to go that route, there is a thread about this in DC.
Originally Posted by Dartgod:
People, there is a lot of good information in this thread, let's try to keep the petty bickering to a minimum.

We all have varying opinions about the impact of this, the numbers, etc. We will all never agree with each other. But we can all keep it civil.

Thanks!

Click here for the original OP:

Spoiler!

[Reply]
Stanley Nickels 09:47 PM 03-17-2020
Originally Posted by FAX:
Thanks. I did mention that those were "my words and interpretation", did I not?

But you're right ... if the 80,000 cases in China represent 14% of the total "potentially undocumented", that's easy math and should be a reasonable number for the time being.

But while we're here, let's think this through a moment ...

For every 1 diagnosis they estimate 6 undocumented, right?

How did the "estimated" undocumented get the disease? From the documented? From another population of unknown and therefore "undocumented"? From each other?

FAX
The estimated undocumented would have contracted it from the known carriers who had the disease prior to the time frame used for this analysis (10-23 Jan 2020). In Bayesian simulation you have to account for some unknowns, both known and unknown (thanks for that one, Mr. Rumsfeld). Hate typing long answers on phone so I will revisit this when I get to my desk tomorrow.
[Reply]
SupDock 09:48 PM 03-17-2020
Originally Posted by eDave:
I got you. Good night, sweet prince


Barely any deaths among young people in Italy and South Korea. And Italy was hit by a tsunami.

Here deaths by age group in Italy pic.twitter.com/jTGr85RliN

— COVID-19/SARS-CoV-2 update Norway (@Covid19Norway) March 17, 2020


I think he was going for the reply. I posted the Dallas county info earlier and TLO responded

I think this is reassuring information. It's clear some young people are getting quite sick, but seem to die very infrequently
[Reply]
Stanley Nickels 09:54 PM 03-17-2020
Originally Posted by SupDock:


I think he was going for the reply. I posted the Dallas county info earlier and TLO responded

I think this is reassuring information. It's clear some young people are getting quite sick, but seem to die very infrequently
For those of you viewing the Italian death chart in the Tweet above, please note that the proportions in the middle column represent fatalities in each age group relative to ALL fatalities; the actual "fatality rate" (ie, how likely the people at each age group are to die in Italy) is shown in the RIGHT column. Still alarming but important to note the distinction.
[Reply]
FAX 09:54 PM 03-17-2020
Originally Posted by Stanley Nickels:
The estimated undocumented would have contracted it from the known carriers who had the disease prior to the time frame used for this analysis (10-23 Jan 2020). In Bayesian simulation you have to account for some unknowns, both known and unknown (thanks for that one, Mr. Rumsfeld). Hate typing long answers on phone so I will revisit this when I get to my desk tomorrow.
Thanks. I'd very much like to work through these sims. Frankly, I have a lot of questions.

It's the unknown unknowns that trouble me the most ... on either and both sides of the spectrum.

FAX
[Reply]
Stanley Nickels 09:57 PM 03-17-2020
Originally Posted by FAX:
Thanks. I'd very much like to work through these sims. Frankly, I have a lot of questions.

It's the unknown unknowns that trouble me the most ... on either and both sides of the spectrum.

FAX
Totally understand. Please trust that the peer review process (while MUCH, MUCH faster than anything I ever deal with) has ensured that your concerns are at least accounted for in the modeling. Will catch up with you tomorrow.
[Reply]
Titty Meat 09:58 PM 03-17-2020
Oh good lord! Shooting at the Sun Fresh by me in Westport at 10:15 on a Tuesday night. I hope it wasnt over something stupid like toilet. 2020.... man...
[Reply]
Hammock Parties 10:10 PM 03-17-2020
I feel like this is a powder keg that's about to blow.

I just drove down to the Waldo strip and it was dead.

24-hour Hyvee at 75th and State Line closes at 10 PM now.
[Reply]
LiveSteam 10:18 PM 03-17-2020
Originally Posted by Titty Meat:
Oh good lord! Shooting at the Sun Fresh by me in Westport at 10:15 on a Tuesday night. I hope it wasnt over something stupid like toilet. 2020.... man...
Omaha had a active shooter at the Hy-Vee on 180th & Q.

Thats the rich and well off folks Hy Vee
[Reply]
oaklandhater 10:18 PM 03-17-2020
what the fuck is going on in FL


https://www.nbcnews.com/feature/nbc-...A2JsdPmwdQsnzY

Close down shit you assholes.
[Reply]
ptlyon 10:19 PM 03-17-2020
Originally Posted by Titty Meat:
Oh good lord! Shooting at the Sun Fresh by me in Westport at 10:15 on a Tuesday night. I hope it wasnt over something stupid like toilet. 2020.... man...
Originally Posted by Hammock Parties:
I feel like this is a powder keg that's about to blow.

I just drove down to the Waldo strip and it was dead.

24-hour Hyvee at 75th and State Line closes at 10 PM now.
Get a hold of your pussy selves. This is martial law now. What people have been asking for. Get used to it, going to be this way for a while.
[Reply]
oaklandhater 10:22 PM 03-17-2020
Iran states that 15% of people who died of coronavirus were under 40 on a total of 988 reported deaths. In Italy just 2 people under 40 have died on a total of 2500 reported deaths.

https://time.com/5804706/iran-corona...rce=reddit.com


worrying.
[Reply]
Megatron96 10:24 PM 03-17-2020
Originally Posted by oaklandhater:
what the **** is going on in FL


https://www.nbcnews.com/feature/nbc-...A2JsdPmwdQsnzY

Close down shit you assholes.
It's FL. The same state where they rape pool noodles. Other people's pool noodles. Because raping your own pool noodle is immoral.
[Reply]
oaklandhater 10:24 PM 03-17-2020
https://www.equibbler.com/usa-corona...nd-100-deaths/


With around 6000 coronavirus cases and 100 death US public health officials warns the residents that if they don't take call to action seriously, the country may approach the situation in italy
[Reply]
eDave 10:27 PM 03-17-2020
Vegas is closed.
[Reply]
SupDock 10:46 PM 03-17-2020

We can now read the Imperial College report on COVID-19 that led to the extreme measures we've seen in the US this week. Read it; it's terrifying. I'll offer a summary in this thread; please correct me if I've gotten it wrong.https://t.co/AwE2cHIbeJ

— Jeremy C. Young (@jeremycyoung) March 17, 2020


Follow the link for doom and gloom
[Reply]
Page 405 of 3903
« First < 305355395401402403404405 4064074084094154555059051405 > Last »
Up