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Nzoner's Game Room>***NON-POLITICAL COVID-19 Discussion Thread***
JakeF 10:28 PM 02-26-2020
A couple of reminders...

Originally Posted by Bwana:
Once again, don't come in this thread with some kind of political agenda, or you will be shown the door. If you want to go that route, there is a thread about this in DC.
Originally Posted by Dartgod:
People, there is a lot of good information in this thread, let's try to keep the petty bickering to a minimum.

We all have varying opinions about the impact of this, the numbers, etc. We will all never agree with each other. But we can all keep it civil.

Thanks!

Click here for the original OP:

Spoiler!

[Reply]
Pasta Little Brioni 04:05 PM 09-03-2020
Originally Posted by petegz28:
There is no concern over icu beds for covid at the moment. Trust me.

Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk
Yup
[Reply]
sedated 04:10 PM 09-03-2020
Originally Posted by O.city:
Just FYI, the Moderna vaccine has been under development since 2003 and the original Sars outbreak. So there you go, 17 years.
Huh? They couldn't get it finalized for 17 years but when a new disease comes around they manage to get it ready for distribution in a matter of months?
[Reply]
Pants 04:15 PM 09-03-2020
Originally Posted by sedated:
Huh? They couldn't get it finalized for 17 years but when a new disease comes around they manage to get it ready for distribution in a matter of months?
They probably shelved it due to the fact that both MERS and SARS were curbed before they could spread due to their relatively slow spread.
[Reply]
TLO 05:36 PM 09-03-2020
Interesting read on IFR

https://www.acpjournals.org/doi/10.7326/M20-5352
[Reply]
petegz28 08:10 AM 09-04-2020
Originally Posted by TLO:
Interesting read on IFR

https://www.acpjournals.org/doi/10.7326/M20-5352
On another note the Worldometer numbers were better this week
[Reply]
R Clark 08:23 AM 09-04-2020
Tin foil hat time , they had a vaccine ready or close when this hit
[Reply]
Kidd Lex 08:40 AM 09-04-2020
Originally Posted by sedated:
Huh? They couldn't get it finalized for 17 years but when a new disease comes around they manage to get it ready for distribution in a matter of months?
How do you test for safety/efficacy when there is no pandemic or subjects to RCT? Ethically you don’t.
[Reply]
petegz28 10:10 AM 09-04-2020
This is a neat trick....

Shelby County woman who passed away 6 months ago gets letter saying she is COVID-19 positive

https://www.kens5.com/article/news/i...M4y7h1rBtfXO8Y

Originally Posted by :
Whittington said when he called the health department, he was told she took a COVID-19 test June 20th, which was clearly impossible. She was cremated.

[Reply]
TLO 10:32 AM 09-04-2020
The IHME model is doubling down.

Originally Posted by :
410,451 COVID-19 deaths
based on Current projection scenario by January 1, 2021

[Reply]
TLO 10:34 AM 09-04-2020
Originally Posted by petegz28:
This is a neat trick....

Shelby County woman who passed away 6 months ago gets letter saying she is COVID-19 positive

https://www.kens5.com/article/news/i...M4y7h1rBtfXO8Y
:-)
[Reply]
htismaqe 10:41 AM 09-04-2020
Originally Posted by TLO:
:-)
We still have people up here being notified that they tested positive after they missed their scheduled test.
[Reply]
petegz28 11:13 AM 09-04-2020
Originally Posted by htismaqe:
We still have people up here being notified that they tested positive after they missed their scheduled test.
I know a few people like that. But then again I was told I was lying when I mentioned it on here so you must be lying.
[Reply]
petegz28 11:16 AM 09-04-2020
Originally Posted by TLO:
The IHME model is doubling down.
So they think roughly 1,800 deaths a day between now and then give or take?

Considering we have only seen 1,500 deaths a day twice in the last few months I'd say this is yet again another bullshit model.
[Reply]
petegz28 11:20 AM 09-04-2020
Originally Posted by TLO:
The IHME model is doubling down.
Originally Posted by petegz28:
So they think roughly 1,800 deaths a day between now and then give or take?

Considering we have only seen 1,500 deaths a day twice in the last few months I'd say this is yet again another bullshit model.
Even using the highest level in this last wave of the 7 day average we would fall almost 100,000 deaths short of their target. The 7 day moving average was last at 1,800 in May and has never broken 1,200 since then.
[Reply]
TLO 11:27 AM 09-04-2020
Originally Posted by petegz28:
Even using the highest level in this last wave of the 7 day average we would fall almost 100,000 deaths short of their target. The 7 day moving average was last at 1,800 in May and has never broken 1,200 since then.
:-)

With a vaccine on the horizon, as well as improved treatments for those seriously ill, I don't really see it. Even looking at mortality rates from 3 or 4 months ago compared to today for those hospitalised it's a night and day difference.
[Reply]
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