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Nzoner's Game Room>***NON-POLITICAL COVID-19 Discussion Thread***
JakeF 10:28 PM 02-26-2020
A couple of reminders...

Originally Posted by Bwana:
Once again, don't come in this thread with some kind of political agenda, or you will be shown the door. If you want to go that route, there is a thread about this in DC.
Originally Posted by Dartgod:
People, there is a lot of good information in this thread, let's try to keep the petty bickering to a minimum.

We all have varying opinions about the impact of this, the numbers, etc. We will all never agree with each other. But we can all keep it civil.

Thanks!

Click here for the original OP:

Spoiler!

[Reply]
loochy 09:50 AM 06-30-2020
Originally Posted by lewdog:
This is hospital data from the state of Arizona.
Ok, for the whole state.:-) So according to 2019 estimates, 82% of the population is under 65. I'm not sure how that delta compares with the rest of the country (or world).
[Reply]
lewdog 09:52 AM 06-30-2020
Originally Posted by loochy:
Indeed. But to Pete's defense, that's not what he asked. He asked about length of stay.
That’s a hard stat to track. I’ll reach out to some physicians and ask their opinion.

But if 58% of people are under 65 in the hospital and discharges were happening quick, we wouldn’t be reaching capacity here.
[Reply]
loochy 09:54 AM 06-30-2020
Originally Posted by lewdog:
That’s a hard stat to track. I’ll reach out to some physicians and ask their opinion.

But if 58% of people are under 65 in the hospital and discharges were happening quick, we wouldn’t be reaching capacity here.
I edited my post....it seems too early to get a length of stay metric. It would undoubtedly be skewed to short stays because there's only been a short time for this most recent spike. The unresolved/unreleased patients wouldn't show up in the number yet.
[Reply]
eDave 10:16 AM 06-30-2020
Ronazona.

Cases: While this is the largest daily case total to date, we are playing catchup with the reporting issue from yesterday.

Testing: Highest PCR testing ever, but again due to catchup.

Spread: Overall PCR positive test percentage shot up from 11.7% to 12% (based on 532K tests, up from a 6.6% low) and the average for this week is 21% (based on 844 cases, up from 20% last week).

Hospital Utilization: COVID Hospitalizations are up about 2.6% (another all time high). ICU beds for COVID patients are up 0.5%. (Overall ICU bed usage went down from 88% to 86%). Ventilators in use for COVID dropped 2% for the 2nd day in a row.
[Reply]
eDave 10:18 AM 06-30-2020
Originally Posted by Marcellus:
Arizona has a fairly old average population doesn't it?
Average Ages (2018)

[Reply]
TLO 10:20 AM 06-30-2020
Originally Posted by eDave:
Ronazona.

Cases: While this is the largest daily case total to date, we are playing catchup with the reporting issue from yesterday.

Testing: Highest PCR testing ever, but again due to catchup.

Spread: Overall PCR positive test percentage shot up from 11.7% to 12% (based on 532K tests, up from a 6.6% low) and the average for this week is 21% (based on 844 cases, up from 20% last week).

Hospital Utilization: COVID Hospitalizations are up about 2.6% (another all time high). ICU beds for COVID patients are up 0.5%. (Overall ICU bed usage went down from 88% to 86%). Ventilators in use for COVID dropped 2% for the 2nd day in a row.
12% - Wow. We've been sitting around 5.5% - 5.6% in Missouri. I think our high was around 10% in April.
[Reply]
Red Dawg 10:21 AM 06-30-2020

Did you score?? #ToeDragSwag @tkelce https://t.co/KSGFCThoUf

— Patrick Mahomes II (@PatrickMahomes) June 30, 2020

[Reply]
eDave 10:23 AM 06-30-2020
Whoops.
[Reply]
lewdog 10:25 AM 06-30-2020
Originally Posted by petegz28:
Great. But that's not what I asked. /facts

Sent from my SM-G950U using Tapatalk
Where’s your dad getting his info?

Also, if he ever needs rehab let me know!
[Reply]
loochy 10:25 AM 06-30-2020
Originally Posted by Red Dawg:
So, was Pat running from a defender with Corona or something?
[Reply]
petegz28 10:27 AM 06-30-2020
Originally Posted by lewdog:
Where’s your dad getting his info?

Also, if he ever needs rehab let me know!
I think it's just anecdotal chit-chat all the retirees are yapping about. What he said was they are hearing that because most of these cases are younger people they are getting admitted but aren't staying in the hospital very long. So that does inflate the number of beds used but for how long?

eDave's post I thought was encouraging where it stated that number of beds is up but number of ICU beds are down.
[Reply]
petegz28 10:30 AM 06-30-2020
Okay so the Worldometer number to stay under today is 871 if we want to continue the downtrend in new deaths. 871. Go play it as a Pick 3 even.
[Reply]
TLO 11:34 AM 06-30-2020
Originally Posted by petegz28:
Okay so the Worldometer number to stay under today is 871 if we want to continue the downtrend in new deaths. 871. Go play it as a Pick 3 even.
I'm optimistic we may come in quite a bit lower than 871 today.
[Reply]
petegz28 11:47 AM 06-30-2020
Fauci out semi-fear mongering saying we could go to 100k cases a day "if things don't turn around". That's over double where we are now. I am not saying he is wrong but I remember being told we would have 3k deaths day by June 1st as well and we went in the complete opposite direction.

He did express concern with people gathering in mass crowds so shut down more bars I guess? Let the people riot in the streets.

I didn't listen to his testimony but did he express any kind of goal or metrics? We have completely flattened the curve. Even with the rise in cases thus far and thankfully it is not translating into deaths.

So you have to ask what is Fauci's goal? 10k cases a day? 0? He wanted more testing and naturally an increase in cases will go along with that so I wish these people would be a bit more clear. Maybe he was and it wasn't stated in the article I read.
[Reply]
Donger 11:50 AM 06-30-2020
How many times does pete have to have things explained to him before he understands? It's absolutely bizarre to behold.
[Reply]
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