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Nzoner's Game Room>***NON-POLITICAL COVID-19 Discussion Thread***
JakeF 10:28 PM 02-26-2020
A couple of reminders...

Originally Posted by Bwana:
Once again, don't come in this thread with some kind of political agenda, or you will be shown the door. If you want to go that route, there is a thread about this in DC.
Originally Posted by Dartgod:
People, there is a lot of good information in this thread, let's try to keep the petty bickering to a minimum.

We all have varying opinions about the impact of this, the numbers, etc. We will all never agree with each other. But we can all keep it civil.

Thanks!

Click here for the original OP:

Spoiler!

[Reply]
petegz28 01:07 PM 05-04-2020
Originally Posted by SAUTO:
I think it would have at least doubled without locking down. Look at the numbers in NY and NJ (and I realize that's a totally different way of life there ) but they are still going up 8 weeks after locking down.

The numbers would be crazy if we hadn't done what we did so far. Imo
The hospitalization rate in NYC is and has been on a steady decline.
[Reply]
Donger 01:12 PM 05-04-2020
Originally Posted by BleedingRed:
Right but do you think it would have been double had we not locked down, how much did we mitigate it? Or would those people have died all the same over a longer period of time?

I don't know the answers, and its worth discussing.
Considering how accurate the model has been with mitigation efforts, I see no reason to dispute the model on estimated deaths without mitigation.
[Reply]
TLO 01:12 PM 05-04-2020
Originally Posted by SAUTO:
It's going down...
We've officially become a hot spot in Buchanan County. 341 cases now compared to the 60 or so we had a week ago.

Had a death recorded today too. No information on the person who passed.
[Reply]
O.city 01:12 PM 05-04-2020
Originally Posted by SAUTO:
It's going down...
What is?
[Reply]
dirk digler 01:13 PM 05-04-2020
Originally Posted by DaFace:
Zero? No. But there are a dozen countries that are seeing very little in terms of new cases at this point, and when they pop up, they aggressively contact trace to minimize spread.

Every state with the backing of the federal government should have followed the South Korea model and we would have been much better off.
[Reply]
TLO 01:13 PM 05-04-2020
Originally Posted by SAUTO:
It's going down...
I'm yelling timber
You better move, you better dance
Let's make a night, you won't remember
I'll be the one, you won't forget
[Reply]
SAUTO 01:14 PM 05-04-2020
Originally Posted by petegz28:
The hospitalization rate in NYC is and has been on a steady decline.
Lol. Over 1k in new hospitals a day isn't a decline imo...
[Reply]
SAUTO 01:14 PM 05-04-2020
Originally Posted by O.city:
What is?
Nothing. I was being sarcastic.
[Reply]
mr. tegu 01:16 PM 05-04-2020
Originally Posted by SAUTO:
No my statement implies 70k died in the past 2 months. Just like I said

Your statement states that. The implication I’m referring to from that statement is that it implies 70k deaths in the known infection timeline (2 months), as that is the information available. And that’s fine. But if that information changes then so does our thoughts on it. 70k in four months isn’t great but it’s better.
[Reply]
Monticore 01:16 PM 05-04-2020
Originally Posted by Megatron96:
I found one of these in my truck a couple years ago. I haven't moved that fast in 30 years:


And this thing is about half the size of that Japanese hornet.
Looks like Murder hornets are up here too, they behead all the bees they kill and feed them to their young.
[Reply]
petegz28 01:18 PM 05-04-2020
Originally Posted by DaFace:
Zero? No. But there are a dozen countries that are seeing very little in terms of new cases at this point, and when they pop up, they aggressively contact trace to minimize spread.
That sounds good and I'd like to believe it on its face but when I see the amount of "asymptomatic" people running around here I have to wonder what the real deal is? I know Germany was being touted and then a few days ago I saw a story about how they might have to lock down again.
[Reply]
Monticore 01:19 PM 05-04-2020
Originally Posted by petegz28:
The hospitalization rate in NYC is and has been on a steady decline.
They also changed the criteria for hospitalizations and might still be adjusting that.
[Reply]
petegz28 01:19 PM 05-04-2020
Originally Posted by SAUTO:
Lol. Over 1k in new hospitals a day isn't a decline imo...
Cuomo just had the chart up and the hospitalization rate has been in decline for a couple weeks now. But I guess he lied....
[Reply]
Monticore 01:21 PM 05-04-2020
Originally Posted by petegz28:
Cuomo just had the chart up and the hospitalization rate has been in decline for a couple weeks now. But I guess he lied....
Decline total or decline in growth?
[Reply]
SAUTO 01:21 PM 05-04-2020
Originally Posted by mr. tegu:
Your statement states that. The implication I’m referring to from that statement is that it implies 70k deaths in the known infection timeline (2 months), as that is the information available. And that’s fine. But if that information changes then so does our thoughts on it. 70k in four months isn’t great but it’s better.
I can't wrap my head around how anything in a timeline changes the fact almost 70k died in 2 months.


The information on dates doesn't change that fact. It never can or will.


Even if it was here for 10 years it killed almost 70 k in the past 2 months.
[Reply]
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